Noah Smith, Columnist

Peak Finance Looks Like It's Over

The industry's best days are in the past as disruptive technologies and new regulations squeeze profits.

Hoping for a sunrise, worried it's a sunset.

Photographer: Gary Hershorn/getty images
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It’s time to ask a scary question: How much of the financial industry will soon be obsolete?

There are many examples of technologies that have been replaced by something newer and better -- film replaced by digital cameras, typewriters replaced by word processors. Finance isn’t quite like that -- businesses will always need to finance their investments and their day-to-day expenses, property buyers will always need mortgages and everyone will always need places to save their money. As long as capitalism lives, there will be a financial industry.