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Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline
Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 747n
autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Colorado. The
interviews were conducted June 5th
and 8th
, 2014. This survey has a margin
of error of +/- 3.54% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was
weighted based upon past general election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
Republican..............................................................36%
Democrat................................................................34%
Unaffiliated.............................................................30%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
Extremely likely.......................................................90%
Very likely.................................................................6%
Somewhat likely........................................................4%
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on
Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power
plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new
regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
Total Support ..........................................................40%
Total Oppose ..........................................................48%
Strongly support......................................................33%
Somewhat support ...................................................7%
Strongly oppose ......................................................40%
Somewhat oppose ....................................................8%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................12%
Magellan ID#: CONMA-060514 Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.54%, 747n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on
creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his
attention on creating jobs and growing our economy?
Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........71%
Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........22%
Unsure or no opinion................................................7%
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After
hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the
new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030,
which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
More likely to support the new regulation...............25%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............45%
No difference in your decision................................28%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2%
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target
limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
More likely to support the new regulation...............23%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............48%
No difference in your decision................................26%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills
will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy
herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers.
More likely to support the new regulation...............21%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............55%
No difference in your decision................................23%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................1%
Magellan ID#: CONMA-060514 Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.54%, 747n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar
carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030,
and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy.
More likely to support the new regulation...............14%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............60%
No difference in your decision................................24%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2%
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or
oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama
Administration’s new carbon emission regulation?
More likely to support a candidate that supports .....35%
More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....54%
Unsure or no opinion .............................................11%
T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................52%
Man ........................................................................48%
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................6%
30-44......................................................................20%
45-54......................................................................20%
55-64......................................................................25%
65+.........................................................................28%
Unsure or no opinion................................................1%
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if
you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you
belong to another racial group.
White......................................................................79%
Hispanic or Latino...................................................13%
Black or African American ........................................3%
Another ethnic group ................................................5%
Magellan ID#: CONMA-060514 Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.54%, 747n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Colorado voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The
interviews were conducted on June 5th
and 8th
, 2014. Three attempts were made to
interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.54% at
the 95 percent confidence interval.
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 2-1
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
REPUBLICAN 269
36.0
130
36.4
138
35.6
13
29.6
50
33.6
51
34.5
71
38.1
80
38.4
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
228
38.7
21
21.5
3
14.0
17
44.6
DEMOCRAT 254
34.0
117
32.5
137
35.4
9
19.3
42
28.1
56
37.4
63
33.8
81
38.7
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
181
30.7
53
54.7
11
49.5
9
23.0
UNAFFILIATED 224
30.0
111
31.1
113
29.0
23
51.2
57
38.3
42
28.1
52
28.1
48
22.9
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
181
30.6
23
23.7
8
36.4
12
32.4
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 3-1
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 674
90.3
322
89.7
353
90.8
40
89.7
132
88.4
140
93.4
165
88.4
193
92.1
262
97.4
129
99.2
133
95.8
225
88.5
102
87.7
123
89.2
188
83.7
90
80.7
98
86.7
541
91.6
81
83.4
16
71.4
37
98.3
VERY LIKELY 45
6.0
24
6.7
21
5.3
10
6.4
8
5.2
14
7.4
12
5.9
5
1.7
1
0.8
3
2.5
20
8.0
9
8.0
11
8.0
20
8.9
14
12.3
6
5.6
35
6.0
7
7.4
2
8.1
1
1.7
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 28
3.7
13
3.6
15
3.8
5
10.3
8
5.2
2
1.4
8
4.2
4
2.0
2
0.9
2
1.7
9
3.5
5
4.3
4
2.8
16
7.3
8
7.0
9
7.6
14
2.4
9
9.2
5
20.6
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 4-1
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what
you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
TOTAL SUPPORT 300
40.2
153
42.7
147
37.9
12
26.5
58
39.0
62
41.2
81
43.3
86
40.9
31
11.4
22
16.8
9
6.2
184
72.4
85
72.6
99
72.3
86
38.3
46
41.5
40
35.1
240
40.7
37
38.2
9
41.0
14
36.4
TOTAL OPPOSE 360
48.2
167
46.4
194
49.9
26
57.4
78
51.9
68
45.5
83
44.3
104
49.7
211
78.4
107
82.2
104
74.9
36
14.2
14
12.1
22
16.0
113
50.6
45
40.6
68
60.6
298
50.4
39
40.0
5
20.2
19
51.9
STRONGLY SUPPORT 246
32.9
128
35.6
118
30.4
12
26.5
42
28.3
48
32.1
67
36.1
74
35.6
17
6.5
12
9.6
5
3.6
163
64.1
79
67.4
84
61.3
66
29.3
37
33.0
29
25.6
199
33.8
29
30.4
9
41.0
8
21.2
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 54
7.3
25
7.0
29
7.5
16
10.7
14
9.1
13
7.2
11
5.3
13
4.9
9
7.3
4
2.6
21
8.3
6
5.2
15
10.9
20
9.1
10
8.6
11
9.5
41
7.0
8
7.8
6
15.2
STRONGLY OPPOSE 301
40.3
140
39.2
160
41.3
21
46.7
63
42.2
58
38.8
69
37.2
88
42.0
184
68.4
100
76.9
84
60.4
26
10.2
6
5.5
19
14.1
91
40.6
34
30.2
57
50.8
241
40.9
37
38.1
5
20.2
18
47.9
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 60
8.0
26
7.3
34
8.6
5
10.6
14
9.7
10
6.7
13
7.2
16
7.7
27
10.0
7
5.3
20
14.4
10
4.0
8
6.6
3
1.8
23
10.0
12
10.3
11
9.8
56
9.5
2
1.9
2
4.0
UNSURE
NO OPINION
86
11.6
39
10.9
47
12.2
7
16.2
14
9.1
20
13.3
23
12.4
20
9.4
27
10.2
1
1.0
26
18.9
34
13.4
18
15.3
16
11.8
25
11.1
20
17.9
5
4.3
52
8.8
21
21.8
9
38.8
4
11.7
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 5-1
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our
economy?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
FOCUS ON NEW
REGULATION FOR
POWER PLANTS
162
21.7
90
25.2
72
18.4
11
25.4
30
20.2
36
23.8
44
23.8
38
18.4
16
5.8
8
5.9
8
5.6
103
40.6
52
44.6
51
37.2
43
19.4
31
27.5
13
11.3
129
21.8
17
17.5
3
14.6
13
35.4
FOCUS ON CREATING
JOBS AND GROW
ECONOMY
531
71.1
248
69.1
283
73.0
27
60.5
119
79.8
109
73.0
123
65.7
150
71.5
245
91.0
120
92.3
124
89.7
121
47.8
52
44.3
70
50.8
165
73.6
76
67.8
89
79.3
415
70.3
75
77.6
18
79.7
23
61.6
UNSURE
NO OPINION
54
7.2
21
5.7
33
8.6
6
14.0
5
3.2
20
10.5
21
10.1
9
3.2
2
1.8
6
4.7
29
11.6
13
11.1
16
12.0
16
7.0
5
4.7
11
9.4
47
7.9
5
4.9
1
5.7
1
3.0
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 6-1
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in
your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
185
24.8
100
28.0
85
21.9
8
18.3
33
21.9
45
29.9
45
24.3
52
24.9
18
6.6
14
10.9
4
2.6
128
50.6
60
51.5
68
49.8
39
17.5
26
23.5
13
11.5
143
24.2
29
29.6
8
35.7
6
16.4
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 336
45.0
150
41.8
186
47.9
19
42.7
73
48.8
65
43.4
75
39.9
102
49.0
191
71.0
87
66.9
104
74.9
46
18.1
19
16.6
27
19.4
99
44.0
43
38.6
56
49.4
284
48.1
36
37.0
5
20.2
12
31.5
NO DIFFERENCE 211
28.2
103
28.8
107
27.7
17
38.9
44
29.4
37
24.8
62
33.4
47
22.6
56
20.6
28
21.8
27
19.5
72
28.5
35
30.4
37
26.9
83
36.9
39
35.3
43
38.6
153
26.0
29
29.5
10
44.1
19
50.0
UNSURE
NO OPINION
15
2.0
5
1.4
10
2.6
3
1.9
4
2.4
7
3.6
5
1.7 0.4
4
2.9
7
2.8
2
1.5
5
3.9
3
1.5
3
2.6
1
0.5
10
1.8
4
3.9
1
2.2
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 7-1
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
172
23.0
97
27.0
75
19.3
11
25.4
28
19.0
43
29.1
43
22.9
43
20.6
20
7.3
11
8.2
9
6.5
114
44.9
59
50.4
55
40.1
38
16.9
27
24.4
11
9.5
130
22.0
22
22.7
8
37.0
11
30.1
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 357
47.8
164
45.7
193
49.6
25
56.2
74
49.9
67
45.0
85
45.4
103
49.2
203
75.6
97
74.1
107
76.9
42
16.5
19
16.6
23
16.4
112
49.8
48
43.0
64
56.6
301
51.0
35
35.7
5
20.2
16
44.1
NO DIFFERENCE 195
26.1
90
25.2
105
26.9
8
18.4
46
31.1
32
21.3
52
28.1
53
25.4
40
14.9
23
17.7
17
12.2
84
33.2
33
28.3
51
37.3
71
31.5
34
30.7
36
32.3
143
24.3
32
33.3
10
42.7
10
25.7
UNSURE
NO OPINION
24
3.2
8
2.1
16
4.2
7
4.6
7
3.7
10
4.8
6
2.2
6
4.3
14
5.5
5
4.7
8
6.1
4
1.7
2
1.9
2
1.6
16
2.7
8
8.2
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 8-1
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a
short-term hit to consumers.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
155
20.8
95
26.6
60
15.4
15
33.6
24
16.3
36
24.2
38
20.5
39
18.6
16
5.9
8
6.2
8
5.5
103
40.7
56
48.4
47
34.2
36
16.1
31
27.5
5
4.7
114
19.3
22
22.8
8
33.9
12
31.2
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 410
54.9
174
48.6
236
60.7
30
66.4
86
57.8
78
52.0
94
50.6
120
57.2
220
81.9
100
76.8
120
86.8
61
23.9
18
15.5
43
31.1
129
57.6
56
50.4
73
64.8
343
58.1
37
38.1
11
49.6
19
52.0
NO DIFFERENCE 169
22.7
81
22.6
88
22.7
39
25.9
34
23.1
49
26.1
45
21.6
32
11.9
22
17.0
10
7.0
83
32.5
38
32.3
45
32.7
55
24.5
21
19.1
34
29.9
125
21.2
36
37.2
2
8.0
6
16.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
12
1.6
8
2.2
4
1.1
1
0.8
5
2.9
5
2.6
1
0.3
1
0.7
7
2.9
5
3.9
3
2.0
4
1.7
3
2.9
1
0.6
8
1.4
2
1.9
2
8.5
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 9-1
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs
to the economy.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
104
13.9
66
18.3
38
9.9
11
25.4
19
12.6
28
18.7
20
10.5
24
11.6
13
5.0
8
5.9
6
4.0
68
26.7
40
34.3
28
20.3
23
10.1
18
16.0
5
4.3
77
13.0
14
14.4
4
18.4
9
23.9
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 450
60.2
200
55.9
249
64.2
27
60.5
96
64.1
93
62.3
103
55.2
126
60.0
229
85.3
105
80.8
124
89.6
84
33.0
37
31.6
47
34.2
136
60.8
58
52.1
78
69.4
359
60.8
60
62.1
12
53.4
19
50.3
NO DIFFERENCE 177
23.7
84
23.6
93
23.9
6
14.0
35
23.3
28
18.9
58
31.3
49
23.4
24
9.1
17
13.3
7
5.1
95
37.3
36
30.6
59
43.0
58
26.0
31
28.2
27
23.7
144
24.4
20
20.6
4
17.2
10
25.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
16
2.2
8
2.3
8
2.1
6
3.0
11
5.0
2
0.6
2
1.3
7
2.9
4
3.5
3
2.5
7
3.1
4
3.7
3
2.5
11
1.8
3
2.9
2
11.0
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 10-1
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
260
34.7
140
39.1
119
30.7
15
33.6
40
27.0
62
41.3
76
40.4
64
30.8
25
9.2
17
12.8
8
5.9
170
67.1
82
69.9
89
64.6
64
28.8
42
37.7
22
19.8
205
34.8
34
35.3
9
40.7
11
28.7
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 402
53.9
181
50.5
221
57.0
27
60.5
89
59.6
80
53.3
88
47.2
116
55.5
228
85.0
109
83.8
119
86.1
47
18.4
19
16.0
28
20.5
127
56.8
53
47.6
74
65.8
329
55.7
48
49.1
9
40.8
17
45.5
UNSURE
NO OPINION
85
11.4
37
10.4
48
12.3
3
5.9
20
13.4
8
5.3
23
12.3
29
13.6
16
5.8
5
3.5
11
8.0
37
14.5
16
14.1
20
14.9
32
14.5
16
14.6
16
14.3
56
9.5
15
15.6
4
18.5
10
25.8
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 11-1
T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
WOMAN 388
52.0
388
100.0
26
57.1
65
43.5
79
53.1
108
58.0
104
49.8
138
51.5
138
100.0
137
54.1
137
100.0
113
50.3
113
100.0
317
53.6
51
52.7
8
37.7
12
32.7
MAN 359
48.0
359
100.0
19
42.9
84
56.5
70
46.9
78
42.0
105
50.2
130
48.5
130
100.0
117
45.9
117
100.0
111
49.7
111
100.0
274
46.4
46
47.3
14
62.3
25
67.3
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 12-1
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
18-29 45
6.0
19
5.4
26
6.6
45
100.0
13
4.9
3
2.5
10
7.2
9
3.4
5
4.3
4
2.7
23
10.2
11
9.9
12
10.6
30
5.1
7
7.4
5
20.6
3
8.5
30-44 149
20.0
84
23.6
65
16.7
149
100.0
50
18.7
30
23.3
20
14.3
42
16.5
25
21.8
17
12.1
57
25.6
29
25.7
29
25.4
109
18.4
23
23.6
6
25.9
12
31.8
45-54 149
20.0
70
19.5
79
20.4
149
100.0
51
19.1
29
21.9
23
16.6
56
22.0
24
20.4
32
23.3
42
18.7
18
15.9
24
21.5
113
19.1
29
29.6
2
9.7
6
15.0
55-64 187
25.0
78
21.9
108
27.9
187
100.0
71
26.5
27
20.4
45
32.2
63
24.8
24
20.6
39
28.4
52
23.4
28
24.9
25
22.0
155
26.3
15
15.8
3
14.7
13
34.4
65+ 209
28.0
105
29.3
104
26.8
209
100.0
80
29.9
41
31.6
39
28.3
81
31.8
38
32.9
43
31.0
48
21.4
26
22.9
22
19.9
180
30.4
20
20.3
6
26.9
4
10.3
UNSURE
REFUSED
7
1.0
1
0.4
6
1.6
2
0.9
1
0.4
2
1.4
4
1.4
4
2.6
1
0.6
1
0.7
1
0.6
4
0.6
3
3.4
1
2.2
Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 13-1
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 747
100.0
359
100.0
388
100.0
45
100.0
149
100.0
149
100.0
187
100.0
209
100.0
269
100.0
130
100.0
138
100.0
254
100.0
117
100.0
137
100.0
224
100.0
111
100.0
113
100.0
590
100.0
97
100.0
22
100.0
37
100.0
WHITE 590
79.0
274
76.3
317
81.5
30
66.7
109
72.8
113
75.6
155
83.1
180
85.9
228
84.9
108
82.6
120
87.0
181
71.3
74
63.5
107
77.9
181
80.7
92
82.3
89
79.1
590
100.0
HISPANIC
LATINO
97
13.0
46
12.8
51
13.2
7
15.9
23
15.3
29
19.2
15
8.2
20
9.4
21
7.8
10
7.7
11
7.9
53
20.9
31
26.5
22
16.2
23
10.3
5
4.5
18
16.0
97
100.0
BLACK
AFRICAN AMERICAN
22
3.0
14
3.9
8
2.2
5
10.3
6
3.9
2
1.5
3
1.8
6
2.9
3
1.2
2
1.2
2
1.2
11
4.4
7
5.7
4
3.2
8
3.6
6
5.2
2
2.1
22
100.0
OTHER 37
5.0
25
7.0
12
3.1
3
7.1
12
8.0
6
3.7
13
6.9
4
1.8
17
6.2
11
8.5
6
4.0
9
3.4
5
4.3
4
2.6
12
5.4
9
8.1
3
2.8
37
100.0

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Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914

  • 1. ! ! ! ! ! Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 747n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Colorado. The interviews were conducted June 5th and 8th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.54% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican..............................................................36% Democrat................................................................34% Unaffiliated.............................................................30% T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely.......................................................90% Very likely.................................................................6% Somewhat likely........................................................4% T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support ..........................................................40% Total Oppose ..........................................................48% Strongly support......................................................33% Somewhat support ...................................................7% Strongly oppose ......................................................40% Somewhat oppose ....................................................8% Unsure or no opinion..............................................12%
  • 2. Magellan ID#: CONMA-060514 Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.54%, 747n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........71% Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........22% Unsure or no opinion................................................7% I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. More likely to support the new regulation...............25% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............45% No difference in your decision................................28% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2% T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. More likely to support the new regulation...............23% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............48% No difference in your decision................................26% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3% T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. More likely to support the new regulation...............21% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............55% No difference in your decision................................23% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................1%
  • 3. Magellan ID#: CONMA-060514 Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.54%, 747n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. More likely to support the new regulation...............14% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............60% No difference in your decision................................24% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2% T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administration’s new carbon emission regulation? More likely to support a candidate that supports .....35% More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....54% Unsure or no opinion .............................................11% T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Woman...................................................................52% Man ........................................................................48% T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................6% 30-44......................................................................20% 45-54......................................................................20% 55-64......................................................................25% 65+.........................................................................28% Unsure or no opinion................................................1% T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another racial group. White......................................................................79% Hispanic or Latino...................................................13% Black or African American ........................................3% Another ethnic group ................................................5%
  • 4. Magellan ID#: CONMA-060514 Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.54%, 747n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Colorado voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 5th and 8th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.54% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 5. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 REPUBLICAN 269 36.0 130 36.4 138 35.6 13 29.6 50 33.6 51 34.5 71 38.1 80 38.4 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 228 38.7 21 21.5 3 14.0 17 44.6 DEMOCRAT 254 34.0 117 32.5 137 35.4 9 19.3 42 28.1 56 37.4 63 33.8 81 38.7 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 181 30.7 53 54.7 11 49.5 9 23.0 UNAFFILIATED 224 30.0 111 31.1 113 29.0 23 51.2 57 38.3 42 28.1 52 28.1 48 22.9 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 181 30.6 23 23.7 8 36.4 12 32.4
  • 6. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 674 90.3 322 89.7 353 90.8 40 89.7 132 88.4 140 93.4 165 88.4 193 92.1 262 97.4 129 99.2 133 95.8 225 88.5 102 87.7 123 89.2 188 83.7 90 80.7 98 86.7 541 91.6 81 83.4 16 71.4 37 98.3 VERY LIKELY 45 6.0 24 6.7 21 5.3 10 6.4 8 5.2 14 7.4 12 5.9 5 1.7 1 0.8 3 2.5 20 8.0 9 8.0 11 8.0 20 8.9 14 12.3 6 5.6 35 6.0 7 7.4 2 8.1 1 1.7 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 28 3.7 13 3.6 15 3.8 5 10.3 8 5.2 2 1.4 8 4.2 4 2.0 2 0.9 2 1.7 9 3.5 5 4.3 4 2.8 16 7.3 8 7.0 9 7.6 14 2.4 9 9.2 5 20.6
  • 7. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 TOTAL SUPPORT 300 40.2 153 42.7 147 37.9 12 26.5 58 39.0 62 41.2 81 43.3 86 40.9 31 11.4 22 16.8 9 6.2 184 72.4 85 72.6 99 72.3 86 38.3 46 41.5 40 35.1 240 40.7 37 38.2 9 41.0 14 36.4 TOTAL OPPOSE 360 48.2 167 46.4 194 49.9 26 57.4 78 51.9 68 45.5 83 44.3 104 49.7 211 78.4 107 82.2 104 74.9 36 14.2 14 12.1 22 16.0 113 50.6 45 40.6 68 60.6 298 50.4 39 40.0 5 20.2 19 51.9 STRONGLY SUPPORT 246 32.9 128 35.6 118 30.4 12 26.5 42 28.3 48 32.1 67 36.1 74 35.6 17 6.5 12 9.6 5 3.6 163 64.1 79 67.4 84 61.3 66 29.3 37 33.0 29 25.6 199 33.8 29 30.4 9 41.0 8 21.2 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 54 7.3 25 7.0 29 7.5 16 10.7 14 9.1 13 7.2 11 5.3 13 4.9 9 7.3 4 2.6 21 8.3 6 5.2 15 10.9 20 9.1 10 8.6 11 9.5 41 7.0 8 7.8 6 15.2 STRONGLY OPPOSE 301 40.3 140 39.2 160 41.3 21 46.7 63 42.2 58 38.8 69 37.2 88 42.0 184 68.4 100 76.9 84 60.4 26 10.2 6 5.5 19 14.1 91 40.6 34 30.2 57 50.8 241 40.9 37 38.1 5 20.2 18 47.9 SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 60 8.0 26 7.3 34 8.6 5 10.6 14 9.7 10 6.7 13 7.2 16 7.7 27 10.0 7 5.3 20 14.4 10 4.0 8 6.6 3 1.8 23 10.0 12 10.3 11 9.8 56 9.5 2 1.9 2 4.0 UNSURE NO OPINION 86 11.6 39 10.9 47 12.2 7 16.2 14 9.1 20 13.3 23 12.4 20 9.4 27 10.2 1 1.0 26 18.9 34 13.4 18 15.3 16 11.8 25 11.1 20 17.9 5 4.3 52 8.8 21 21.8 9 38.8 4 11.7
  • 8. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 FOCUS ON NEW REGULATION FOR POWER PLANTS 162 21.7 90 25.2 72 18.4 11 25.4 30 20.2 36 23.8 44 23.8 38 18.4 16 5.8 8 5.9 8 5.6 103 40.6 52 44.6 51 37.2 43 19.4 31 27.5 13 11.3 129 21.8 17 17.5 3 14.6 13 35.4 FOCUS ON CREATING JOBS AND GROW ECONOMY 531 71.1 248 69.1 283 73.0 27 60.5 119 79.8 109 73.0 123 65.7 150 71.5 245 91.0 120 92.3 124 89.7 121 47.8 52 44.3 70 50.8 165 73.6 76 67.8 89 79.3 415 70.3 75 77.6 18 79.7 23 61.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 54 7.2 21 5.7 33 8.6 6 14.0 5 3.2 20 10.5 21 10.1 9 3.2 2 1.8 6 4.7 29 11.6 13 11.1 16 12.0 16 7.0 5 4.7 11 9.4 47 7.9 5 4.9 1 5.7 1 3.0
  • 9. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 185 24.8 100 28.0 85 21.9 8 18.3 33 21.9 45 29.9 45 24.3 52 24.9 18 6.6 14 10.9 4 2.6 128 50.6 60 51.5 68 49.8 39 17.5 26 23.5 13 11.5 143 24.2 29 29.6 8 35.7 6 16.4 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 336 45.0 150 41.8 186 47.9 19 42.7 73 48.8 65 43.4 75 39.9 102 49.0 191 71.0 87 66.9 104 74.9 46 18.1 19 16.6 27 19.4 99 44.0 43 38.6 56 49.4 284 48.1 36 37.0 5 20.2 12 31.5 NO DIFFERENCE 211 28.2 103 28.8 107 27.7 17 38.9 44 29.4 37 24.8 62 33.4 47 22.6 56 20.6 28 21.8 27 19.5 72 28.5 35 30.4 37 26.9 83 36.9 39 35.3 43 38.6 153 26.0 29 29.5 10 44.1 19 50.0 UNSURE NO OPINION 15 2.0 5 1.4 10 2.6 3 1.9 4 2.4 7 3.6 5 1.7 0.4 4 2.9 7 2.8 2 1.5 5 3.9 3 1.5 3 2.6 1 0.5 10 1.8 4 3.9 1 2.2
  • 10. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 172 23.0 97 27.0 75 19.3 11 25.4 28 19.0 43 29.1 43 22.9 43 20.6 20 7.3 11 8.2 9 6.5 114 44.9 59 50.4 55 40.1 38 16.9 27 24.4 11 9.5 130 22.0 22 22.7 8 37.0 11 30.1 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 357 47.8 164 45.7 193 49.6 25 56.2 74 49.9 67 45.0 85 45.4 103 49.2 203 75.6 97 74.1 107 76.9 42 16.5 19 16.6 23 16.4 112 49.8 48 43.0 64 56.6 301 51.0 35 35.7 5 20.2 16 44.1 NO DIFFERENCE 195 26.1 90 25.2 105 26.9 8 18.4 46 31.1 32 21.3 52 28.1 53 25.4 40 14.9 23 17.7 17 12.2 84 33.2 33 28.3 51 37.3 71 31.5 34 30.7 36 32.3 143 24.3 32 33.3 10 42.7 10 25.7 UNSURE NO OPINION 24 3.2 8 2.1 16 4.2 7 4.6 7 3.7 10 4.8 6 2.2 6 4.3 14 5.5 5 4.7 8 6.1 4 1.7 2 1.9 2 1.6 16 2.7 8 8.2
  • 11. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 155 20.8 95 26.6 60 15.4 15 33.6 24 16.3 36 24.2 38 20.5 39 18.6 16 5.9 8 6.2 8 5.5 103 40.7 56 48.4 47 34.2 36 16.1 31 27.5 5 4.7 114 19.3 22 22.8 8 33.9 12 31.2 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 410 54.9 174 48.6 236 60.7 30 66.4 86 57.8 78 52.0 94 50.6 120 57.2 220 81.9 100 76.8 120 86.8 61 23.9 18 15.5 43 31.1 129 57.6 56 50.4 73 64.8 343 58.1 37 38.1 11 49.6 19 52.0 NO DIFFERENCE 169 22.7 81 22.6 88 22.7 39 25.9 34 23.1 49 26.1 45 21.6 32 11.9 22 17.0 10 7.0 83 32.5 38 32.3 45 32.7 55 24.5 21 19.1 34 29.9 125 21.2 36 37.2 2 8.0 6 16.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 12 1.6 8 2.2 4 1.1 1 0.8 5 2.9 5 2.6 1 0.3 1 0.7 7 2.9 5 3.9 3 2.0 4 1.7 3 2.9 1 0.6 8 1.4 2 1.9 2 8.5
  • 12. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 104 13.9 66 18.3 38 9.9 11 25.4 19 12.6 28 18.7 20 10.5 24 11.6 13 5.0 8 5.9 6 4.0 68 26.7 40 34.3 28 20.3 23 10.1 18 16.0 5 4.3 77 13.0 14 14.4 4 18.4 9 23.9 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 450 60.2 200 55.9 249 64.2 27 60.5 96 64.1 93 62.3 103 55.2 126 60.0 229 85.3 105 80.8 124 89.6 84 33.0 37 31.6 47 34.2 136 60.8 58 52.1 78 69.4 359 60.8 60 62.1 12 53.4 19 50.3 NO DIFFERENCE 177 23.7 84 23.6 93 23.9 6 14.0 35 23.3 28 18.9 58 31.3 49 23.4 24 9.1 17 13.3 7 5.1 95 37.3 36 30.6 59 43.0 58 26.0 31 28.2 27 23.7 144 24.4 20 20.6 4 17.2 10 25.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 16 2.2 8 2.3 8 2.1 6 3.0 11 5.0 2 0.6 2 1.3 7 2.9 4 3.5 3 2.5 7 3.1 4 3.7 3 2.5 11 1.8 3 2.9 2 11.0
  • 13. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 260 34.7 140 39.1 119 30.7 15 33.6 40 27.0 62 41.3 76 40.4 64 30.8 25 9.2 17 12.8 8 5.9 170 67.1 82 69.9 89 64.6 64 28.8 42 37.7 22 19.8 205 34.8 34 35.3 9 40.7 11 28.7 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 402 53.9 181 50.5 221 57.0 27 60.5 89 59.6 80 53.3 88 47.2 116 55.5 228 85.0 109 83.8 119 86.1 47 18.4 19 16.0 28 20.5 127 56.8 53 47.6 74 65.8 329 55.7 48 49.1 9 40.8 17 45.5 UNSURE NO OPINION 85 11.4 37 10.4 48 12.3 3 5.9 20 13.4 8 5.3 23 12.3 29 13.6 16 5.8 5 3.5 11 8.0 37 14.5 16 14.1 20 14.9 32 14.5 16 14.6 16 14.3 56 9.5 15 15.6 4 18.5 10 25.8
  • 14. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 WOMAN 388 52.0 388 100.0 26 57.1 65 43.5 79 53.1 108 58.0 104 49.8 138 51.5 138 100.0 137 54.1 137 100.0 113 50.3 113 100.0 317 53.6 51 52.7 8 37.7 12 32.7 MAN 359 48.0 359 100.0 19 42.9 84 56.5 70 46.9 78 42.0 105 50.2 130 48.5 130 100.0 117 45.9 117 100.0 111 49.7 111 100.0 274 46.4 46 47.3 14 62.3 25 67.3
  • 15. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 18-29 45 6.0 19 5.4 26 6.6 45 100.0 13 4.9 3 2.5 10 7.2 9 3.4 5 4.3 4 2.7 23 10.2 11 9.9 12 10.6 30 5.1 7 7.4 5 20.6 3 8.5 30-44 149 20.0 84 23.6 65 16.7 149 100.0 50 18.7 30 23.3 20 14.3 42 16.5 25 21.8 17 12.1 57 25.6 29 25.7 29 25.4 109 18.4 23 23.6 6 25.9 12 31.8 45-54 149 20.0 70 19.5 79 20.4 149 100.0 51 19.1 29 21.9 23 16.6 56 22.0 24 20.4 32 23.3 42 18.7 18 15.9 24 21.5 113 19.1 29 29.6 2 9.7 6 15.0 55-64 187 25.0 78 21.9 108 27.9 187 100.0 71 26.5 27 20.4 45 32.2 63 24.8 24 20.6 39 28.4 52 23.4 28 24.9 25 22.0 155 26.3 15 15.8 3 14.7 13 34.4 65+ 209 28.0 105 29.3 104 26.8 209 100.0 80 29.9 41 31.6 39 28.3 81 31.8 38 32.9 43 31.0 48 21.4 26 22.9 22 19.9 180 30.4 20 20.3 6 26.9 4 10.3 UNSURE REFUSED 7 1.0 1 0.4 6 1.6 2 0.9 1 0.4 2 1.4 4 1.4 4 2.6 1 0.6 1 0.7 1 0.6 4 0.6 3 3.4 1 2.2
  • 16. Colorado NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 747N, 3.54% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 747 100.0 359 100.0 388 100.0 45 100.0 149 100.0 149 100.0 187 100.0 209 100.0 269 100.0 130 100.0 138 100.0 254 100.0 117 100.0 137 100.0 224 100.0 111 100.0 113 100.0 590 100.0 97 100.0 22 100.0 37 100.0 WHITE 590 79.0 274 76.3 317 81.5 30 66.7 109 72.8 113 75.6 155 83.1 180 85.9 228 84.9 108 82.6 120 87.0 181 71.3 74 63.5 107 77.9 181 80.7 92 82.3 89 79.1 590 100.0 HISPANIC LATINO 97 13.0 46 12.8 51 13.2 7 15.9 23 15.3 29 19.2 15 8.2 20 9.4 21 7.8 10 7.7 11 7.9 53 20.9 31 26.5 22 16.2 23 10.3 5 4.5 18 16.0 97 100.0 BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN 22 3.0 14 3.9 8 2.2 5 10.3 6 3.9 2 1.5 3 1.8 6 2.9 3 1.2 2 1.2 2 1.2 11 4.4 7 5.7 4 3.2 8 3.6 6 5.2 2 2.1 22 100.0 OTHER 37 5.0 25 7.0 12 3.1 3 7.1 12 8.0 6 3.7 13 6.9 4 1.8 17 6.2 11 8.5 6 4.0 9 3.4 5 4.3 4 2.6 12 5.4 9 8.1 3 2.8 37 100.0