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Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline
Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for an 808n
autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Kentucky. The
interviews were conducted June 4th
and 5th
, 2014. This survey has a margin
of error of +/- 3.45% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was
weighted based upon past general election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
Republican..............................................................40%
Democrat................................................................56%
Independent..............................................................4%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
Extremely likely.......................................................89%
Very likely.................................................................7%
Somewhat likely........................................................4%
Magellan ID#: KYNMA-060414 Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.45%, 808n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on
Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power
plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new
regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
Total Support ..........................................................34%
Total Oppose ..........................................................52%
Strongly support......................................................25%
Somewhat support ...................................................9%
Strongly oppose ......................................................43%
Somewhat oppose ....................................................9%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................14%
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on
creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his
attention on creating jobs and growing our economy?
Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........14%
Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........80%
Unsure or no opinion................................................6%
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After
hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the
new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030,
which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
More likely to support the new regulation...............24%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............48%
No difference in your decision................................26%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2%
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target
limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
More likely to support the new regulation...............21%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............52%
No difference in your decision................................24%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
Magellan ID#: KYNMA-060414 Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.45%, 808n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills
will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy
herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers.
More likely to support the new regulation...............15%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............63%
No difference in your decision................................20%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2%
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar
carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030,
and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy.
More likely to support the new regulation...............12%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............67%
No difference in your decision................................19%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2%
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or
oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama
Administration’s new carbon emission regulation?
More likely to support a candidate that supports .....28%
More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....58%
Unsure or no opinion .............................................14%
T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................52%
Man ........................................................................48%
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................6%
30-44......................................................................20%
45-54......................................................................20%
55-64......................................................................23%
65+.........................................................................31%
Unsure or no opinion................................................0%
Magellan ID#: KYNMA-060414 Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.45%, 808n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if
you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you
belong to another racial group.
White......................................................................91%
Black or African American ........................................5%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1%
Another ethnic group ................................................3%
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Kentucky voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The
interviews were conducted on June 4th
and 5th
, 2014. Three attempts were made to
interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.45% at
the 95 percent confidence interval.
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 2-1
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
REPUBLICAN 323
40.0
165
42.5
158
37.7
15
30.9
83
51.6
65
40.2
70
37.5
88
35.7
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
304
41.2
5
53.9
5
12.7
9
46.3
DEMOCRAT 452
56.0
205
52.8
248
58.9
29
59.8
72
44.3
90
55.7
109
58.5
152
61.6
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
404
54.9
5
46.1
36
87.3
7
37.3
INDEPENDENT 32
4.0
18
4.7
14
3.4
4
9.3
7
4.0
7
4.1
8
4.1
7
2.8
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
29
4.0
3
16.4
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 3-1
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 719
89.0
343
88.4
376
89.5
40
83.4
148
91.8
140
86.7
168
90.2
221
89.6
303
93.7
154
93.4
149
94.0
394
87.0
176
86.1
217
87.7
23
70.3
13
69.3
10
71.7
655
88.9
10
100.0
37
88.7
17
89.5
VERY LIKELY 57
7.0
30
7.7
27
6.4
4
8.5
7
4.4
12
7.7
14
7.5
18
7.2
14
4.4
6
3.9
8
4.9
38
8.4
19
9.4
19
7.5
5
14.6
4
23.0
1
3.9
52
7.1
3
6.2
2
10.5
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 32
4.0
15
3.9
17
4.0
4
8.1
6
3.8
9
5.6
4
2.3
8
3.2
6
1.9
4
2.7
2
1.1
21
4.6
9
4.5
12
4.7
5
15.0
1
7.7
3
24.4
30
4.1
2
5.2
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 4-1
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what
you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
TOTAL SUPPORT 277
34.3
123
31.6
154
36.7
17
34.5
49
30.3
52
32.2
75
40.2
84
33.9
51
15.7
28
17.1
23
14.2
213
47.0
87
42.4
126
50.9
13
41.3
8
41.8
6
40.7
246
33.4
2
16.6
22
53.6
6
33.1
TOTAL OPPOSE 416
51.5
233
60.2
183
43.6
20
40.3
86
53.2
88
54.6
94
50.5
128
52.0
228
70.5
124
75.2
104
65.6
178
39.2
104
51.0
73
29.5
11
34.2
5
27.6
6
42.6
384
52.1
6
59.8
15
36.2
11
57.3
STRONGLY SUPPORT 206
25.5
90
23.2
116
27.6
17
34.5
35
21.8
31
19.1
58
31.1
65
26.2
27
8.5
18
11.0
9
5.9
170
37.7
68
33.2
102
41.4
8
25.2
4
21.2
4
30.4
182
24.7
2
16.6
18
44.4
4
18.4
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 71
8.8
33
8.4
38
9.1
14
8.5
21
13.1
17
9.1
19
7.7
23
7.2
10
6.2
13
8.3
42
9.4
19
9.2
24
9.5
5
16.1
4
20.6
1
10.3
64
8.7
4
9.1
3
14.8
STRONGLY OPPOSE 345
42.6
188
48.5
156
37.2
17
35.1
64
39.3
79
49.0
80
43.2
104
42.4
205
63.4
112
67.8
93
58.8
132
29.3
72
35.1
60
24.4
7
22.6
5
24.9
3
19.6
318
43.2
6
59.8
9
21.7
11
57.3
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 72
8.9
45
11.6
27
6.4
3
5.2
22
13.9
9
5.6
13
7.3
24
9.6
23
7.1
12
7.4
11
6.8
45
10.0
32
15.8
13
5.1
4
11.6 2.7
3
23.0
66
8.9
6
14.5
UNSURE
NO OPINION
115
14.2
32
8.2
83
19.7
12
25.3
27
16.5
21
13.2
17
9.3
35
14.1
45
13.8
13
7.7
32
20.1
62
13.8
14
6.7
49
19.6
8
24.5
6
30.6
2
16.7
106
14.4
2
23.5
4
10.2
2
9.6
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 5-1
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our
economy?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
FOCUS ON NEW
REGULATION FOR
POWER PLANTS
115
14.3
58
14.9
58
13.8
8
16.6
24
14.7
16
9.7
29
15.8
39
15.7
22
6.8
12
7.4
10
6.2
89
19.6
44
21.6
44
17.9
5
14.5
1
6.3
4
25.1
103
14.0
3
26.0
6
13.9
4
18.4
FOCUS ON CREATING
JOBS AND GROW
ECONOMY
649
80.3
315
81.2
334
79.5
37
76.9
134
83.2
137
84.5
142
76.6
196
79.4
291
90.0
148
89.7
143
90.4
334
73.8
152
74.2
182
73.4
24
74.8
15
83.7
9
63.5
592
80.4
8
74.0
35
83.1
15
75.4
UNSURE
NO OPINION
43
5.4
15
3.9
28
6.8
3
6.4
3
2.1
9
5.8
14
7.5
12
4.9
10
3.1
5
2.9
5
3.4
30
6.6
8
4.1
21
8.7
3
10.6
2
10.0
2
11.4
41
5.6
1
3.0
1
6.2
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 6-1
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in
your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
191
23.7
94
24.3
97
23.1
12
24.1
39
23.9
30
18.7
50
27.1
60
24.5
36
11.0
26
15.5
10
6.3
149
32.9
66
32.0
83
33.7
7
20.7
3
16.6
4
25.9
173
23.4
1
9.4
14
34.8
3
16.0
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 384
47.5
214
55.2
170
40.4
19
38.4
73
45.2
85
52.5
87
47.1
119
48.2
218
67.5
119
72.0
99
62.7
155
34.3
89
43.5
66
26.7
10
32.3
6
34.6
4
29.4
356
48.3
5
47.3
10
23.3
13
68.4
NO DIFFERENCE 210
26.0
72
18.6
138
32.8
18
37.5
48
29.5
42
25.8
45
24.1
56
22.8
64
19.7
18
11.0
45
28.7
134
29.7
48
23.6
86
34.7
12
38.1
6
33.0
6
44.7
189
25.6
4
43.3
14
33.1
3
15.6
UNSURE
NO OPINION
23
2.8
7
1.9
16
3.7
2
1.3
5
3.0
3
1.7
11
4.5
6
1.9
2
1.5
4
2.2
14
3.1
2
1.0
12
4.8
3
8.9
3
15.9
19
2.6
4
8.8
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 7-1
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
167
20.6
76
19.7
90
21.5
10
20.2
34
21.0
34
21.1
40
21.4
49
19.9
32
9.9
17
10.4
15
9.5
130
28.7
57
27.7
73
29.5
5
15.1
2
13.3
2
17.4
151
20.5
1
14.2
10
24.9
4
21.0
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 417
51.6
229
59.1
188
44.7
20
40.3
94
57.9
84
52.3
89
47.8
130
52.6
232
71.7
121
73.6
111
69.8
173
38.1
101
49.3
72
28.9
13
39.7
7
38.2
6
41.7
388
52.6
6
59.8
10
24.5
13
68.4
NO DIFFERENCE 194
24.0
79
20.3
116
27.5
19
39.5
30
18.6
39
24.1
50
26.9
55
22.1
46
14.2
25
15.0
21
13.4
134
29.7
46
22.4
89
35.8
14
43.2
8
44.9
6
41.0
173
23.5
2
16.6
17
41.6
2
10.6
UNSURE
NO OPINION
30
3.7
4
1.0
26
6.2
4
2.5
4
2.5
7
3.8
13
5.4
13
4.1
2
1.1
12
7.3
16
3.5
1
0.6
15
5.9
1
2.0
1
3.6
25
3.4
1
9.4
4
9.0
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 8-1
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a
short-term hit to consumers.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
121
15.0
68
17.5
54
12.8
7
14.3
20
12.3
19
11.5
35
18.8
41
16.7
20
6.1
16
9.5
4
2.6
97
21.5
50
24.4
47
19.1
5
14.2
2
13.0
2
15.6
110
14.9
8
19.7
3
17.6
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 510
63.2
262
67.5
249
59.2
25
51.0
112
69.1
111
68.9
111
59.5
151
61.4
259
80.2
131
79.7
128
80.8
235
51.9
122
59.3
113
45.7
16
50.4
9
49.1
7
52.2
473
64.1
9
90.6
15
35.9
14
71.6
NO DIFFERENCE 161
20.0
55
14.1
107
25.5
17
34.7
30
18.6
30
18.5
39
20.8
44
18.0
40
12.3
16
9.8
24
14.9
111
24.6
32
15.7
79
31.9
11
32.6
6
34.3
4
30.4
142
19.2
1
9.4
17
40.5
2
10.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
15
1.8
4
0.9
11
2.6
2
1.1
2
0.9
10
3.9
5
1.4
2
1.1
3
1.7
9
2.0
1
0.6
8
3.2
1
2.8
1
3.6 1.8
13
1.8
2
4.0
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 9-1
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs
to the economy.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
99
12.2
55
14.3
44
10.4
10
20.9
23
14.2
18
11.2
18
9.9
29
11.9
17
5.3
12
7.2
5
3.5
78
17.1
42
20.5
35
14.3
4
12.5
1
7.9
3
18.2
92
12.4
1
14.2
4
9.7
2
9.8
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 539
66.7
268
69.0
271
64.5
23
48.1
118
72.9
117
72.5
114
61.5
164
66.7
267
82.7
135
81.7
133
83.8
254
56.2
123
59.8
132
53.2
17
53.1
10
57.4
7
47.5
495
67.1
6
59.8
24
56.8
14
74.4
NO DIFFERENCE 149
18.5
58
14.9
92
21.8
15
30.9
21
12.9
24
14.9
46
24.7
42
17.1
32
9.9
16
9.8
16
10.0
108
23.9
36
17.7
72
29.1
9
28.6
5
29.1
4
28.1
130
17.7
3
26.0
13
32.1
3
15.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
21
2.6
7
1.8
14
3.3
2
1.4
7
3.9
11
4.3
7
2.0
2
1.3
4
2.7
13
2.8
4
1.9
9
3.5
2
5.8
1
5.6
1
6.2
20
2.8
1
1.4
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 10-1
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
224
27.7
98
25.3
126
30.0
18
37.4
35
21.8
36
22.0
67
35.8
69
27.9
41
12.6
23
14.1
17
11.0
174
38.4
71
34.4
103
41.6
10
30.8
4
23.3
6
40.4
200
27.2
19
45.9
5
23.9
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 465
57.6
242
62.4
223
53.1
19
39.9
101
62.3
106
65.9
98
52.6
141
57.1
254
78.6
131
79.5
123
77.7
195
43.1
100
49.0
95
38.2
16
50.3
11
59.4
5
38.7
435
59.0
8
83.4
8
19.6
14
71.6
UNSURE
NO OPINION
119
14.7
48
12.3
71
16.8
11
22.7
26
15.9
20
12.1
21
11.6
37
15.0
29
8.8
11
6.4
18
11.3
84
18.5
34
16.6
50
20.1
6
18.9
3
17.4
3
20.9
102
13.8
2
16.6
14
34.4
1
4.6
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 11-1
T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
WOMAN 420
52.0
420
100.0
30
62.1
80
49.5
95
58.5
90
48.4
122
49.6
158
49.0
158
100.0
248
54.7
248
100.0
14
43.9
14
100.0
376
51.0
7
65.0
29
69.9
9
45.1
MAN 388
48.0
388
100.0
18
37.9
82
50.5
67
41.5
96
51.6
124
50.4
165
51.0
165
100.0
205
45.3
205
100.0
18
56.1
18
100.0
361
49.0
4
35.0
13
30.1
11
54.9
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 12-1
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
18-29 48
6.0
18
4.7
30
7.2
48
100.0
15
4.6
5
3.0
10
6.4
29
6.4
12
5.6
17
7.1
4
13.9
2
10.9
3
17.8
45
6.2
3
7.5
30-44 162
20.0
82
21.1
80
19.0
162
100.0
83
25.8
45
27.3
38
24.3
72
15.8
33
16.3
38
15.5
7
20.2
3
18.4
3
22.5
139
18.9
4
41.5
14
32.9
4
22.4
45-54 162
20.0
67
17.3
95
22.5
162
100.0
65
20.1
27
16.6
38
23.8
90
19.9
35
17.0
55
22.2
7
20.4
5
26.6
2
12.5
147
20.0
3
30.8
7
16.4
4
22.0
55-64 186
23.0
96
24.7
90
21.4
186
100.0
70
21.5
38
22.9
32
20.1
109
24.0
53
26.1
55
22.3
8
23.3
5
25.7
3
20.3
171
23.2
2
21.8
5
11.8
8
41.4
65+ 246
30.5
124
32.0
122
29.1
246
100.0
88
27.2
50
30.3
38
24.0
152
33.5
71
34.6
81
32.7
7
21.2
3
18.4
4
24.7
230
31.2
1
5.9
13
31.4
3
14.2
UNSURE
REFUSED
4
0.5
1
0.2
3
0.8
2
0.7
2
1.4
1
0.3
1
0.4
1
0.3 1.0 2.2
4
0.5
Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 13-1
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 808
100.0
388
100.0
420
100.0
48
100.0
162
100.0
162
100.0
186
100.0
246
100.0
323
100.0
165
100.0
158
100.0
452
100.0
205
100.0
248
100.0
32
100.0
18
100.0
14
100.0
737
100.0
10
100.0
42
100.0
19
100.0
WHITE 737
91.2
361
93.1
376
89.4
45
93.6
139
86.3
147
91.2
171
91.9
230
93.4
304
93.9
154
93.2
150
94.7
404
89.4
193
94.0
212
85.5
29
90.2
15
82.5
14
100.0
737
100.0
BLACK
AFRICAN AMERICAN
42
5.1
13
3.2
29
6.9
3
6.4
14
8.5
7
4.2
5
2.6
13
5.3
5
1.6
5
3.2
36
8.0
7
3.5
29
11.7
42
100.0
HISPANIC
LATINO
10
1.3
4
0.9
7
1.6
4
2.6
3
1.9
2
1.2
1
0.2
5
1.7
1
0.8
4
2.7
5
1.0
2
1.1
2
1.0
10
100.0
OTHER 19
2.4
11
2.7
9
2.1
4
2.7
4
2.6
8
4.3
3
1.1
9
2.8
5
2.9
4
2.7
7
1.6
3
1.3
4
1.8
3
9.8
3
17.5
19
100.0

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Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

  • 1. ! ! ! ! ! Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for an 808n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Kentucky. The interviews were conducted June 4th and 5th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.45% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican..............................................................40% Democrat................................................................56% Independent..............................................................4% T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely.......................................................89% Very likely.................................................................7% Somewhat likely........................................................4%
  • 2. Magellan ID#: KYNMA-060414 Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.45%, 808n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support ..........................................................34% Total Oppose ..........................................................52% Strongly support......................................................25% Somewhat support ...................................................9% Strongly oppose ......................................................43% Somewhat oppose ....................................................9% Unsure or no opinion..............................................14% T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........14% Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........80% Unsure or no opinion................................................6% I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. More likely to support the new regulation...............24% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............48% No difference in your decision................................26% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2% T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. More likely to support the new regulation...............21% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............52% No difference in your decision................................24% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
  • 3. Magellan ID#: KYNMA-060414 Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.45%, 808n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. More likely to support the new regulation...............15% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............63% No difference in your decision................................20% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2% T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. More likely to support the new regulation...............12% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............67% No difference in your decision................................19% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................2% T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administration’s new carbon emission regulation? More likely to support a candidate that supports .....28% More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....58% Unsure or no opinion .............................................14% T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Woman...................................................................52% Man ........................................................................48% T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................6% 30-44......................................................................20% 45-54......................................................................20% 55-64......................................................................23% 65+.........................................................................31% Unsure or no opinion................................................0%
  • 4. Magellan ID#: KYNMA-060414 Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.45%, 808n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another racial group. White......................................................................91% Black or African American ........................................5% Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1% Another ethnic group ................................................3% Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Kentucky voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 4th and 5th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.45% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 5. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 REPUBLICAN 323 40.0 165 42.5 158 37.7 15 30.9 83 51.6 65 40.2 70 37.5 88 35.7 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 304 41.2 5 53.9 5 12.7 9 46.3 DEMOCRAT 452 56.0 205 52.8 248 58.9 29 59.8 72 44.3 90 55.7 109 58.5 152 61.6 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 404 54.9 5 46.1 36 87.3 7 37.3 INDEPENDENT 32 4.0 18 4.7 14 3.4 4 9.3 7 4.0 7 4.1 8 4.1 7 2.8 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 29 4.0 3 16.4
  • 6. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 719 89.0 343 88.4 376 89.5 40 83.4 148 91.8 140 86.7 168 90.2 221 89.6 303 93.7 154 93.4 149 94.0 394 87.0 176 86.1 217 87.7 23 70.3 13 69.3 10 71.7 655 88.9 10 100.0 37 88.7 17 89.5 VERY LIKELY 57 7.0 30 7.7 27 6.4 4 8.5 7 4.4 12 7.7 14 7.5 18 7.2 14 4.4 6 3.9 8 4.9 38 8.4 19 9.4 19 7.5 5 14.6 4 23.0 1 3.9 52 7.1 3 6.2 2 10.5 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 32 4.0 15 3.9 17 4.0 4 8.1 6 3.8 9 5.6 4 2.3 8 3.2 6 1.9 4 2.7 2 1.1 21 4.6 9 4.5 12 4.7 5 15.0 1 7.7 3 24.4 30 4.1 2 5.2
  • 7. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 TOTAL SUPPORT 277 34.3 123 31.6 154 36.7 17 34.5 49 30.3 52 32.2 75 40.2 84 33.9 51 15.7 28 17.1 23 14.2 213 47.0 87 42.4 126 50.9 13 41.3 8 41.8 6 40.7 246 33.4 2 16.6 22 53.6 6 33.1 TOTAL OPPOSE 416 51.5 233 60.2 183 43.6 20 40.3 86 53.2 88 54.6 94 50.5 128 52.0 228 70.5 124 75.2 104 65.6 178 39.2 104 51.0 73 29.5 11 34.2 5 27.6 6 42.6 384 52.1 6 59.8 15 36.2 11 57.3 STRONGLY SUPPORT 206 25.5 90 23.2 116 27.6 17 34.5 35 21.8 31 19.1 58 31.1 65 26.2 27 8.5 18 11.0 9 5.9 170 37.7 68 33.2 102 41.4 8 25.2 4 21.2 4 30.4 182 24.7 2 16.6 18 44.4 4 18.4 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 71 8.8 33 8.4 38 9.1 14 8.5 21 13.1 17 9.1 19 7.7 23 7.2 10 6.2 13 8.3 42 9.4 19 9.2 24 9.5 5 16.1 4 20.6 1 10.3 64 8.7 4 9.1 3 14.8 STRONGLY OPPOSE 345 42.6 188 48.5 156 37.2 17 35.1 64 39.3 79 49.0 80 43.2 104 42.4 205 63.4 112 67.8 93 58.8 132 29.3 72 35.1 60 24.4 7 22.6 5 24.9 3 19.6 318 43.2 6 59.8 9 21.7 11 57.3 SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 72 8.9 45 11.6 27 6.4 3 5.2 22 13.9 9 5.6 13 7.3 24 9.6 23 7.1 12 7.4 11 6.8 45 10.0 32 15.8 13 5.1 4 11.6 2.7 3 23.0 66 8.9 6 14.5 UNSURE NO OPINION 115 14.2 32 8.2 83 19.7 12 25.3 27 16.5 21 13.2 17 9.3 35 14.1 45 13.8 13 7.7 32 20.1 62 13.8 14 6.7 49 19.6 8 24.5 6 30.6 2 16.7 106 14.4 2 23.5 4 10.2 2 9.6
  • 8. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 FOCUS ON NEW REGULATION FOR POWER PLANTS 115 14.3 58 14.9 58 13.8 8 16.6 24 14.7 16 9.7 29 15.8 39 15.7 22 6.8 12 7.4 10 6.2 89 19.6 44 21.6 44 17.9 5 14.5 1 6.3 4 25.1 103 14.0 3 26.0 6 13.9 4 18.4 FOCUS ON CREATING JOBS AND GROW ECONOMY 649 80.3 315 81.2 334 79.5 37 76.9 134 83.2 137 84.5 142 76.6 196 79.4 291 90.0 148 89.7 143 90.4 334 73.8 152 74.2 182 73.4 24 74.8 15 83.7 9 63.5 592 80.4 8 74.0 35 83.1 15 75.4 UNSURE NO OPINION 43 5.4 15 3.9 28 6.8 3 6.4 3 2.1 9 5.8 14 7.5 12 4.9 10 3.1 5 2.9 5 3.4 30 6.6 8 4.1 21 8.7 3 10.6 2 10.0 2 11.4 41 5.6 1 3.0 1 6.2
  • 9. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 191 23.7 94 24.3 97 23.1 12 24.1 39 23.9 30 18.7 50 27.1 60 24.5 36 11.0 26 15.5 10 6.3 149 32.9 66 32.0 83 33.7 7 20.7 3 16.6 4 25.9 173 23.4 1 9.4 14 34.8 3 16.0 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 384 47.5 214 55.2 170 40.4 19 38.4 73 45.2 85 52.5 87 47.1 119 48.2 218 67.5 119 72.0 99 62.7 155 34.3 89 43.5 66 26.7 10 32.3 6 34.6 4 29.4 356 48.3 5 47.3 10 23.3 13 68.4 NO DIFFERENCE 210 26.0 72 18.6 138 32.8 18 37.5 48 29.5 42 25.8 45 24.1 56 22.8 64 19.7 18 11.0 45 28.7 134 29.7 48 23.6 86 34.7 12 38.1 6 33.0 6 44.7 189 25.6 4 43.3 14 33.1 3 15.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 23 2.8 7 1.9 16 3.7 2 1.3 5 3.0 3 1.7 11 4.5 6 1.9 2 1.5 4 2.2 14 3.1 2 1.0 12 4.8 3 8.9 3 15.9 19 2.6 4 8.8
  • 10. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 167 20.6 76 19.7 90 21.5 10 20.2 34 21.0 34 21.1 40 21.4 49 19.9 32 9.9 17 10.4 15 9.5 130 28.7 57 27.7 73 29.5 5 15.1 2 13.3 2 17.4 151 20.5 1 14.2 10 24.9 4 21.0 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 417 51.6 229 59.1 188 44.7 20 40.3 94 57.9 84 52.3 89 47.8 130 52.6 232 71.7 121 73.6 111 69.8 173 38.1 101 49.3 72 28.9 13 39.7 7 38.2 6 41.7 388 52.6 6 59.8 10 24.5 13 68.4 NO DIFFERENCE 194 24.0 79 20.3 116 27.5 19 39.5 30 18.6 39 24.1 50 26.9 55 22.1 46 14.2 25 15.0 21 13.4 134 29.7 46 22.4 89 35.8 14 43.2 8 44.9 6 41.0 173 23.5 2 16.6 17 41.6 2 10.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 30 3.7 4 1.0 26 6.2 4 2.5 4 2.5 7 3.8 13 5.4 13 4.1 2 1.1 12 7.3 16 3.5 1 0.6 15 5.9 1 2.0 1 3.6 25 3.4 1 9.4 4 9.0
  • 11. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 121 15.0 68 17.5 54 12.8 7 14.3 20 12.3 19 11.5 35 18.8 41 16.7 20 6.1 16 9.5 4 2.6 97 21.5 50 24.4 47 19.1 5 14.2 2 13.0 2 15.6 110 14.9 8 19.7 3 17.6 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 510 63.2 262 67.5 249 59.2 25 51.0 112 69.1 111 68.9 111 59.5 151 61.4 259 80.2 131 79.7 128 80.8 235 51.9 122 59.3 113 45.7 16 50.4 9 49.1 7 52.2 473 64.1 9 90.6 15 35.9 14 71.6 NO DIFFERENCE 161 20.0 55 14.1 107 25.5 17 34.7 30 18.6 30 18.5 39 20.8 44 18.0 40 12.3 16 9.8 24 14.9 111 24.6 32 15.7 79 31.9 11 32.6 6 34.3 4 30.4 142 19.2 1 9.4 17 40.5 2 10.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 15 1.8 4 0.9 11 2.6 2 1.1 2 0.9 10 3.9 5 1.4 2 1.1 3 1.7 9 2.0 1 0.6 8 3.2 1 2.8 1 3.6 1.8 13 1.8 2 4.0
  • 12. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 99 12.2 55 14.3 44 10.4 10 20.9 23 14.2 18 11.2 18 9.9 29 11.9 17 5.3 12 7.2 5 3.5 78 17.1 42 20.5 35 14.3 4 12.5 1 7.9 3 18.2 92 12.4 1 14.2 4 9.7 2 9.8 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 539 66.7 268 69.0 271 64.5 23 48.1 118 72.9 117 72.5 114 61.5 164 66.7 267 82.7 135 81.7 133 83.8 254 56.2 123 59.8 132 53.2 17 53.1 10 57.4 7 47.5 495 67.1 6 59.8 24 56.8 14 74.4 NO DIFFERENCE 149 18.5 58 14.9 92 21.8 15 30.9 21 12.9 24 14.9 46 24.7 42 17.1 32 9.9 16 9.8 16 10.0 108 23.9 36 17.7 72 29.1 9 28.6 5 29.1 4 28.1 130 17.7 3 26.0 13 32.1 3 15.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 21 2.6 7 1.8 14 3.3 2 1.4 7 3.9 11 4.3 7 2.0 2 1.3 4 2.7 13 2.8 4 1.9 9 3.5 2 5.8 1 5.6 1 6.2 20 2.8 1 1.4
  • 13. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 224 27.7 98 25.3 126 30.0 18 37.4 35 21.8 36 22.0 67 35.8 69 27.9 41 12.6 23 14.1 17 11.0 174 38.4 71 34.4 103 41.6 10 30.8 4 23.3 6 40.4 200 27.2 19 45.9 5 23.9 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 465 57.6 242 62.4 223 53.1 19 39.9 101 62.3 106 65.9 98 52.6 141 57.1 254 78.6 131 79.5 123 77.7 195 43.1 100 49.0 95 38.2 16 50.3 11 59.4 5 38.7 435 59.0 8 83.4 8 19.6 14 71.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 119 14.7 48 12.3 71 16.8 11 22.7 26 15.9 20 12.1 21 11.6 37 15.0 29 8.8 11 6.4 18 11.3 84 18.5 34 16.6 50 20.1 6 18.9 3 17.4 3 20.9 102 13.8 2 16.6 14 34.4 1 4.6
  • 14. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 WOMAN 420 52.0 420 100.0 30 62.1 80 49.5 95 58.5 90 48.4 122 49.6 158 49.0 158 100.0 248 54.7 248 100.0 14 43.9 14 100.0 376 51.0 7 65.0 29 69.9 9 45.1 MAN 388 48.0 388 100.0 18 37.9 82 50.5 67 41.5 96 51.6 124 50.4 165 51.0 165 100.0 205 45.3 205 100.0 18 56.1 18 100.0 361 49.0 4 35.0 13 30.1 11 54.9
  • 15. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 18-29 48 6.0 18 4.7 30 7.2 48 100.0 15 4.6 5 3.0 10 6.4 29 6.4 12 5.6 17 7.1 4 13.9 2 10.9 3 17.8 45 6.2 3 7.5 30-44 162 20.0 82 21.1 80 19.0 162 100.0 83 25.8 45 27.3 38 24.3 72 15.8 33 16.3 38 15.5 7 20.2 3 18.4 3 22.5 139 18.9 4 41.5 14 32.9 4 22.4 45-54 162 20.0 67 17.3 95 22.5 162 100.0 65 20.1 27 16.6 38 23.8 90 19.9 35 17.0 55 22.2 7 20.4 5 26.6 2 12.5 147 20.0 3 30.8 7 16.4 4 22.0 55-64 186 23.0 96 24.7 90 21.4 186 100.0 70 21.5 38 22.9 32 20.1 109 24.0 53 26.1 55 22.3 8 23.3 5 25.7 3 20.3 171 23.2 2 21.8 5 11.8 8 41.4 65+ 246 30.5 124 32.0 122 29.1 246 100.0 88 27.2 50 30.3 38 24.0 152 33.5 71 34.6 81 32.7 7 21.2 3 18.4 4 24.7 230 31.2 1 5.9 13 31.4 3 14.2 UNSURE REFUSED 4 0.5 1 0.2 3 0.8 2 0.7 2 1.4 1 0.3 1 0.4 1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4 0.5
  • 16. Kentucky NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 808N, 3.45% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 808 100.0 388 100.0 420 100.0 48 100.0 162 100.0 162 100.0 186 100.0 246 100.0 323 100.0 165 100.0 158 100.0 452 100.0 205 100.0 248 100.0 32 100.0 18 100.0 14 100.0 737 100.0 10 100.0 42 100.0 19 100.0 WHITE 737 91.2 361 93.1 376 89.4 45 93.6 139 86.3 147 91.2 171 91.9 230 93.4 304 93.9 154 93.2 150 94.7 404 89.4 193 94.0 212 85.5 29 90.2 15 82.5 14 100.0 737 100.0 BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN 42 5.1 13 3.2 29 6.9 3 6.4 14 8.5 7 4.2 5 2.6 13 5.3 5 1.6 5 3.2 36 8.0 7 3.5 29 11.7 42 100.0 HISPANIC LATINO 10 1.3 4 0.9 7 1.6 4 2.6 3 1.9 2 1.2 1 0.2 5 1.7 1 0.8 4 2.7 5 1.0 2 1.1 2 1.0 10 100.0 OTHER 19 2.4 11 2.7 9 2.1 4 2.7 4 2.6 8 4.3 3 1.1 9 2.8 5 2.9 4 2.7 7 1.6 3 1.3 4 1.8 3 9.8 3 17.5 19 100.0