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North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline
Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 700n
autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of North
Carolina. The interviews were conducted June 5th
and 8th
, 2014. This survey
has a margin of error of +/- 3.7% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This
survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
Democrat................................................................44%
Republican..............................................................37%
Independent............................................................19%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
Extremely likely.......................................................87%
Very likely.................................................................9%
Somewhat likely........................................................4%
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on
Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power
plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new
regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
Total Support ..........................................................42%
Total Oppose ..........................................................42%
Strongly support......................................................32%
Somewhat support .................................................10%
Strongly oppose ......................................................33%
Somewhat oppose ....................................................9%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................16%
Magellan ID#: NCNMA-060514 North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.7%, 700n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on
creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his
attention on creating jobs and growing our economy?
Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........75%
Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........17%
Unsure or no opinion................................................8%
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After
hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the
new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030,
which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
More likely to support the new regulation...............29%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............42%
No difference in your decision................................24%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................5%
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target
limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
More likely to support the new regulation...............24%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............45%
No difference in your decision................................25%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................6%
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills
will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy
herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers.
More likely to support the new regulation...............23%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............54%
No difference in your decision................................20%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
Magellan ID#: NCNMA-060514 North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.7%, 700n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar
carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030,
and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy.
More likely to support the new regulation...............15%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............57%
No difference in your decision................................24%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4%
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or
oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama
Administration’s new carbon emission regulation?
More likely to support a candidate that supports .....35%
More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....51%
Unsure or no opinion .............................................14%
T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................54%
Man ........................................................................46%
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................6%
30-44......................................................................19%
45-54......................................................................21%
55-64......................................................................23%
65+.........................................................................30%
Unsure or no opinion................................................1%
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if
you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you
belong to another racial group.
White......................................................................77%
Black or African American ......................................20%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1%
Another ethnic group ................................................2%
Magellan ID#: NCNMA-060514 North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.7%, 700n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a North Carolina voter file. The
survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting
demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 5th
and 8th
, 2014. Three attempts
were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error
of 3.7% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 2-1
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
REPUBLICAN 259
37.0
136
42.2
123
32.6
12
28.4
44
33.0
58
39.1
60
37.5
80
38.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
237
44.0
3
35.8
13
9.3
6
45.3
DEMOCRAT 308
44.0
121
37.7
187
49.3
17
41.5
65
48.6
57
38.7
74
46.0
94
44.7
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
182
33.8
2
33.0
118
84.1
6
42.7
INDEPENDENT 133
19.0
65
20.1
68
18.1
13
30.0
24
18.4
33
22.1
27
16.5
36
17.2
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
120
22.3
2
31.2
9
6.6
2
12.0
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 3-1
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 612
87.4
293
90.9
319
84.4
33
79.4
125
94.2
128
87.3
138
85.4
181
86.2
232
89.7
128
94.6
104
84.4
259
84.2
104
85.2
156
83.5
120
90.3
61
94.1
59
86.6
479
88.9
5
73.3
115
82.1
12
87.7
VERY LIKELY 65
9.3
25
7.9
40
10.5
6
14.8
7
5.3
13
9.1
18
11.0
20
9.5
21
8.2
7
5.1
14
11.6
38
12.4
18
14.8
20
10.9
6
4.3 0.8
5
7.6
47
8.7
1
15.6
16
11.4
1
9.4
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 23
3.3
4
1.2
19
5.1
2
5.8
1
0.5
5
3.6
6
3.5
9
4.3
5
2.1
1
0.4
5
4.0
10
3.4
10
5.6
7
5.5
3
5.2
4
5.7
13
2.4
1
11.1
9
6.5 2.9
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 4-1
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what
you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
TOTAL SUPPORT 295
42.1
138
42.9
157
41.4
23
54.0
62
47.0
51
34.8
78
48.2
79
37.7
44
16.8
26
19.2
17
14.2
186
60.5
77
63.6
109
58.5
65
48.9
35
54.0
30
44.0
203
37.6
2
33.2
83
59.4
7
48.7
TOTAL OPPOSE 292
41.8
148
46.0
144
38.1
14
34.2
57
42.9
66
45.0
58
36.1
94
44.6
172
66.4
96
70.4
76
61.9
66
21.3
27
22.2
39
20.7
55
41.2
26
39.6
29
42.7
257
47.6
3
48.8
28
20.4
4
26.7
STRONGLY SUPPORT 227
32.4
104
32.2
124
32.7
14
34.2
54
40.7
42
28.8
52
32.0
63
30.0
31
11.9
20
14.6
11
8.8
151
49.0
62
51.0
89
47.7
45
34.2
22
33.6
24
34.7
152
28.1
2
25.2
68
48.4
6
43.2
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 68
9.7
35
10.8
33
8.7
8
19.8
8
6.3
9
6.0
26
16.2
16
7.7
13
4.9
6
4.5
7
5.4
35
11.5
15
12.6
20
10.8
20
14.7
13
20.4
6
9.3
51
9.5
1
8.1
15
11.0
1
5.5
STRONGLY OPPOSE 229
32.7
125
38.8
104
27.5
7
17.6
44
33.0
47
31.8
52
32.1
77
36.6
142
54.8
86
63.4
56
45.3
44
14.1
17
14.0
27
14.2
43
32.6
22
33.5
22
31.8
206
38.2
3
43.8
18
12.8
2
13.4
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 63
9.1
23
7.3
40
10.6
7
16.6
13
9.9
19
13.2
7
4.0
17
7.9
30
11.5
9
7.0
20
16.6
22
7.2
10
8.2
12
6.5
11
8.6
4
6.1
7
11.0
51
9.4 5.0
11
7.5
2
13.3
UNSURE
NO OPINION
113
16.1
36
11.0
77
20.5
5
11.7
13
10.1
30
20.2
25
15.7
37
17.7
44
16.8
14
10.4
29
23.9
56
18.2
17
14.2
39
20.8
13
9.9
4
6.4
9
13.3
80
14.8
1
18.0
28
20.3
3
24.6
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 5-1
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our
economy?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
FOCUS ON NEW
REGULATION FOR
POWER PLANTS
116
16.5
56
17.5
59
15.7
16
37.5
15
11.3
22
15.0
26
16.4
36
17.0
7
2.8
4
2.8
3
2.7
81
26.2
35
28.7
46
24.5
28
21.1
18
27.4
10
15.2
90
16.7
23
16.5
3
20.4
FOCUS ON CREATING
JOBS AND GROW
ECONOMY
527
75.3
247
76.8
280
74.0
23
55.4
99
74.4
116
78.8
122
75.9
161
76.6
240
92.6
130
95.4
110
89.5
203
66.0
80
65.8
123
66.1
84
63.1
38
58.6
46
67.3
409
75.8
6
87.1
102
73.2
10
69.2
UNSURE
NO OPINION
57
8.2
18
5.6
39
10.3
3
7.1
19
14.3
9
6.2
12
7.7
14
6.5
12
4.7
2
1.8
10
7.8
24
7.8
7
5.5
17
9.3
21
15.8
9
14.0
12
17.5
40
7.5
1
12.9
14
10.3
1
10.4
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 6-1
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in
your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
199
28.5
93
28.7
107
28.3
16
39.0
45
34.2
41
27.7
39
24.3
56
26.5
38
14.5
21
15.6
16
13.4
128
41.5
55
45.0
73
39.3
34
25.5
17
25.8
17
25.2
140
26.0
2
28.6
51
36.6
6
43.3
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 295
42.2
141
43.8
154
40.9
14
34.0
41
31.0
65
44.1
75
46.6
96
45.9
165
63.6
89
65.7
75
61.2
80
25.9
27
21.8
53
28.5
51
38.4
25
38.8
26
37.9
258
47.9
4
60.8
30
21.5
3
19.2
NO DIFFERENCE 170
24.4
80
25.0
90
23.8
11
27.0
39
29.5
33
22.2
42
26.3
44
20.7
48
18.6
22
16.3
26
21.2
79
25.8
37
30.3
43
22.8
43
32.2
21
33.2
21
31.2
122
22.5
1
10.6
44
31.6
4
28.1
UNSURE
NO OPINION
35
5.0
8
2.5
27
7.1
7
5.3
9
6.0
4
2.8
14
6.8
8
3.2
3
2.4
5
4.2
21
6.8
3
2.8
18
9.4
5
4.0
1
2.2
4
5.7
19
3.5
14
10.3
1
9.4
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 7-1
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
170
24.3
87
26.9
83
22.0
10
24.9
40
29.9
31
21.3
43
26.6
44
20.8
18
6.8
9
7.0
8
6.6
118
38.4
55
45.6
63
33.7
34
25.7
22
33.5
12
18.2
116
21.5 5.5
48
34.6
5
36.7
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 313
44.7
161
49.8
152
40.3
14
34.0
48
36.0
71
48.3
79
49.1
96
45.8
178
68.7
103
75.5
75
61.1
84
27.1
34
28.0
49
26.5
51
38.6
24
36.9
27
40.2
283
52.6
3
46.7
22
15.5
4
30.9
NO DIFFERENCE 178
25.5
67
20.8
111
29.4
17
41.1
36
27.3
37
24.9
35
21.7
52
24.9
50
19.4
18
13.5
32
25.8
87
28.2
30
24.3
57
30.7
41
31.0
19
29.6
22
32.4
120
22.3
3
39.3
52
36.8
4
26.6
UNSURE
NO OPINION
39
5.6
8
2.4
31
8.3
9
6.8
8
5.5
4
2.5
18
8.5
13
5.2
5
3.9
8
6.5
19
6.3
2
2.0
17
9.1
6
4.7
6
9.2
19
3.6
1
8.4
18
13.0
1
5.8
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 8-1
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a
short-term hit to consumers.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
157
22.5
81
25.1
77
20.3
11
25.9
34
25.6
35
23.9
36
22.5
39
18.6
21
8.0
15
11.3
5
4.3
103
33.3
44
36.5
58
31.3
34
25.6
21
32.5
13
19.1
107
19.8
1
8.1
45
32.3
5
35.6
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 375
53.6
178
55.4
197
52.2
18
43.1
63
47.4
89
60.6
85
52.5
117
55.8
211
81.3
110
80.8
101
81.9
100
32.5
39
32.1
61
32.7
65
48.8
30
45.7
35
51.8
323
59.9
5
65.4
42
29.7
6
44.9
NO DIFFERENCE 141
20.1
60
18.5
81
21.5
10
23.1
36
27.0
21
14.2
33
20.7
40
19.0
24
9.4
10
7.4
14
11.5
87
28.2
36
29.2
51
27.5
30
22.5
14
21.8
16
23.1
96
17.8
2
24.6
41
29.5
2
15.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
26
3.7
3
1.0
23
6.0
3
7.9
2
1.3
7
4.3
14
6.6
4
1.4
1
0.5
3
2.4
18
6.0
3
2.1
16
8.5
4
3.1
4
6.0
14
2.5 2.0
12
8.5
1
3.7
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 9-1
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs
to the economy.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
108
15.4
53
16.4
55
14.5
13
31.7
23
17.0
23
15.8
21
12.9
26
12.2
8
3.2
5
3.8
3
2.6
72
23.3
30
24.7
42
22.4
27
20.7
18
27.2
10
14.5
73
13.6
1
17.0
28
20.0
5
35.4
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 400
57.2
190
58.9
211
55.8
16
37.3
58
43.8
89
60.3
104
64.3
131
62.4
221
85.2
118
87.0
103
83.2
117
38.0
48
39.5
69
37.1
63
47.1
23
36.3
39
57.4
344
63.8
5
67.5
45
32.4
7
46.7
NO DIFFERENCE 170
24.3
73
22.7
97
25.7
10
24.8
47
35.4
35
23.9
35
22.0
40
19.2
29
11.1
12
8.8
17
13.7
101
32.8
38
31.4
63
33.8
40
30.3
23
35.8
17
25.1
113
20.9 5.1
55
39.1
2
16.6
UNSURE
NO OPINION
22
3.1
7
2.0
15
4.0
3
6.2
5
3.8
1
0.7
13
6.1
1
0.5
1
0.5
1
0.5
18
5.8
5
4.4
13
6.7
3
1.9 0.7
2
3.0
9
1.7
1
10.4
12
8.4 1.3
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 10-1
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
246
35.1
129
40.0
117
31.0
23
55.0
59
44.3
43
29.3
61
38.1
58
27.5
27
10.3
17
12.6
10
7.8
167
54.1
80
66.2
86
46.2
53
39.6
31
48.3
21
31.4
163
30.2
1
17.3
77
55.0
5
37.8
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 358
51.1
173
53.8
185
48.8
16
37.9
58
43.6
85
58.0
78
48.6
116
55.0
212
81.7
111
82.0
100
81.3
86
27.9
31
25.7
55
29.3
60
45.3
31
47.3
30
43.4
321
59.6
5
67.3
25
18.2
6
44.9
UNSURE
NO OPINION
96
13.8
20
6.2
76
20.2
3
7.1
16
12.1
19
12.7
21
13.3
37
17.5
21
8.0
7
5.4
13
10.9
56
18.0
10
8.2
46
24.4
20
15.1
3
4.3
17
25.2
55
10.2
1
15.3
38
26.8
2
17.3
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 11-1
T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
WOMAN 378
54.0
378
100.0
9
21.7
73
55.1
88
60.0
84
52.4
119
56.7
123
47.6
123
100.0
187
60.6
187
100.0
68
51.3
68
100.0
274
50.9
4
55.0
92
66.0
8
53.8
MAN 322
46.0
322
100.0
33
78.3
60
44.9
59
40.0
77
47.6
91
43.3
136
52.4
136
100.0
121
39.4
121
100.0
65
48.7
65
100.0
265
49.1
3
45.0
48
34.0
6
46.2
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 12-1
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
18-29 42
6.0
33
10.2
9
2.4
42
100.0
12
4.6
9
6.7
3
2.3
17
5.7
11
9.2
6
3.4
13
9.5
13
19.5
22
4.2
1
14.2
17
12.3
1
10.0
30-44 133
19.0
60
18.6
73
19.4
133
100.0
44
17.0
25
18.6
19
15.1
65
21.0
22
17.9
43
23.0
24
18.4
13
19.7
12
17.2
94
17.4
3
44.7
32
23.0
4
26.5
45-54 147
21.0
59
18.3
88
23.3
147
100.0
58
22.2
27
20.0
30
24.6
57
18.5
21
17.1
36
19.4
33
24.5
11
16.8
22
31.7
115
21.4
2
25.9
26
18.7
4
27.4
55-64 161
23.0
77
23.8
84
22.3
161
100.0
60
23.3
29
21.3
31
25.5
74
24.1
35
29.0
39
20.8
27
20.0
13
19.3
14
20.6
121
22.5
1
7.2
37
26.2
2
17.4
65+ 210
30.0
91
28.2
119
31.5
210
100.0
80
30.8
43
31.5
37
30.1
94
30.5
33
26.9
61
32.8
36
27.2
15
23.8
21
30.5
181
33.5 6.1
27
19.1
2
15.3
UNSURE
REFUSED
7
1.0
3
0.9
4
1.1
5
2.1
2
1.8
3
2.4
1
0.3
1
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.9
5
1.0 2.0
1
0.7 3.4
North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 13-1
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 700
100.0
322
100.0
378
100.0
42
100.0
133
100.0
147
100.0
161
100.0
210
100.0
259
100.0
136
100.0
123
100.0
308
100.0
121
100.0
187
100.0
133
100.0
65
100.0
68
100.0
539
100.0
7
100.0
140
100.0
14
100.0
WHITE 539
77.0
265
82.2
274
72.5
22
53.4
94
70.7
115
78.3
121
75.4
181
86.1
237
91.5
122
89.9
115
93.3
182
59.1
83
68.6
99
52.9
120
90.2
59
91.8
61
88.7
539
100.0
BLACK
AFRICAN AMERICAN
140
20.0
48
14.8
92
24.5
17
40.9
32
24.2
26
17.8
37
22.8
27
12.7
13
5.0
9
6.8
4
3.1
118
38.2
35
28.5
83
44.6
9
6.9
4
5.8
5
8.0
140
100.0
HISPANIC
LATINO
7
1.0
3
1.0
4
1.0
1
2.4
3
2.4
2
1.2
1
0.3 0.2
3
1.0
1
1.1
1
0.9
2
0.8
1
0.6
2
0.8
2
1.6
1
1.5
1
1.8
7
100.0
OTHER 14
2.0
6
2.0
8
2.0
1
3.3
4
2.8
4
2.6
2
1.5
2
1.0
6
2.4
3
2.2
3
2.7
6
1.9
3
2.3
3
1.7
2
1.3
1
1.0
1
1.5
14
100.0

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North Carolina MNA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914

  • 1. ! ! ! ! ! North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 700n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of North Carolina. The interviews were conducted June 5th and 8th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.7% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Democrat................................................................44% Republican..............................................................37% Independent............................................................19% T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely.......................................................87% Very likely.................................................................9% Somewhat likely........................................................4% T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support ..........................................................42% Total Oppose ..........................................................42% Strongly support......................................................32% Somewhat support .................................................10% Strongly oppose ......................................................33% Somewhat oppose ....................................................9% Unsure or no opinion..............................................16%
  • 2. Magellan ID#: NCNMA-060514 North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.7%, 700n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........75% Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........17% Unsure or no opinion................................................8% I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. More likely to support the new regulation...............29% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............42% No difference in your decision................................24% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................5% T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. More likely to support the new regulation...............24% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............45% No difference in your decision................................25% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................6% T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. More likely to support the new regulation...............23% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............54% No difference in your decision................................20% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
  • 3. Magellan ID#: NCNMA-060514 North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.7%, 700n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. More likely to support the new regulation...............15% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............57% No difference in your decision................................24% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4% T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administration’s new carbon emission regulation? More likely to support a candidate that supports .....35% More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....51% Unsure or no opinion .............................................14% T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Woman...................................................................54% Man ........................................................................46% T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................6% 30-44......................................................................19% 45-54......................................................................21% 55-64......................................................................23% 65+.........................................................................30% Unsure or no opinion................................................1% T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another racial group. White......................................................................77% Black or African American ......................................20% Hispanic or Latino.....................................................1% Another ethnic group ................................................2%
  • 4. Magellan ID#: NCNMA-060514 North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.7%, 700n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a North Carolina voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 5th and 8th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.7% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 5. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 REPUBLICAN 259 37.0 136 42.2 123 32.6 12 28.4 44 33.0 58 39.1 60 37.5 80 38.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 237 44.0 3 35.8 13 9.3 6 45.3 DEMOCRAT 308 44.0 121 37.7 187 49.3 17 41.5 65 48.6 57 38.7 74 46.0 94 44.7 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 182 33.8 2 33.0 118 84.1 6 42.7 INDEPENDENT 133 19.0 65 20.1 68 18.1 13 30.0 24 18.4 33 22.1 27 16.5 36 17.2 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 120 22.3 2 31.2 9 6.6 2 12.0
  • 6. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 612 87.4 293 90.9 319 84.4 33 79.4 125 94.2 128 87.3 138 85.4 181 86.2 232 89.7 128 94.6 104 84.4 259 84.2 104 85.2 156 83.5 120 90.3 61 94.1 59 86.6 479 88.9 5 73.3 115 82.1 12 87.7 VERY LIKELY 65 9.3 25 7.9 40 10.5 6 14.8 7 5.3 13 9.1 18 11.0 20 9.5 21 8.2 7 5.1 14 11.6 38 12.4 18 14.8 20 10.9 6 4.3 0.8 5 7.6 47 8.7 1 15.6 16 11.4 1 9.4 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 23 3.3 4 1.2 19 5.1 2 5.8 1 0.5 5 3.6 6 3.5 9 4.3 5 2.1 1 0.4 5 4.0 10 3.4 10 5.6 7 5.5 3 5.2 4 5.7 13 2.4 1 11.1 9 6.5 2.9
  • 7. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 TOTAL SUPPORT 295 42.1 138 42.9 157 41.4 23 54.0 62 47.0 51 34.8 78 48.2 79 37.7 44 16.8 26 19.2 17 14.2 186 60.5 77 63.6 109 58.5 65 48.9 35 54.0 30 44.0 203 37.6 2 33.2 83 59.4 7 48.7 TOTAL OPPOSE 292 41.8 148 46.0 144 38.1 14 34.2 57 42.9 66 45.0 58 36.1 94 44.6 172 66.4 96 70.4 76 61.9 66 21.3 27 22.2 39 20.7 55 41.2 26 39.6 29 42.7 257 47.6 3 48.8 28 20.4 4 26.7 STRONGLY SUPPORT 227 32.4 104 32.2 124 32.7 14 34.2 54 40.7 42 28.8 52 32.0 63 30.0 31 11.9 20 14.6 11 8.8 151 49.0 62 51.0 89 47.7 45 34.2 22 33.6 24 34.7 152 28.1 2 25.2 68 48.4 6 43.2 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 68 9.7 35 10.8 33 8.7 8 19.8 8 6.3 9 6.0 26 16.2 16 7.7 13 4.9 6 4.5 7 5.4 35 11.5 15 12.6 20 10.8 20 14.7 13 20.4 6 9.3 51 9.5 1 8.1 15 11.0 1 5.5 STRONGLY OPPOSE 229 32.7 125 38.8 104 27.5 7 17.6 44 33.0 47 31.8 52 32.1 77 36.6 142 54.8 86 63.4 56 45.3 44 14.1 17 14.0 27 14.2 43 32.6 22 33.5 22 31.8 206 38.2 3 43.8 18 12.8 2 13.4 SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 63 9.1 23 7.3 40 10.6 7 16.6 13 9.9 19 13.2 7 4.0 17 7.9 30 11.5 9 7.0 20 16.6 22 7.2 10 8.2 12 6.5 11 8.6 4 6.1 7 11.0 51 9.4 5.0 11 7.5 2 13.3 UNSURE NO OPINION 113 16.1 36 11.0 77 20.5 5 11.7 13 10.1 30 20.2 25 15.7 37 17.7 44 16.8 14 10.4 29 23.9 56 18.2 17 14.2 39 20.8 13 9.9 4 6.4 9 13.3 80 14.8 1 18.0 28 20.3 3 24.6
  • 8. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 FOCUS ON NEW REGULATION FOR POWER PLANTS 116 16.5 56 17.5 59 15.7 16 37.5 15 11.3 22 15.0 26 16.4 36 17.0 7 2.8 4 2.8 3 2.7 81 26.2 35 28.7 46 24.5 28 21.1 18 27.4 10 15.2 90 16.7 23 16.5 3 20.4 FOCUS ON CREATING JOBS AND GROW ECONOMY 527 75.3 247 76.8 280 74.0 23 55.4 99 74.4 116 78.8 122 75.9 161 76.6 240 92.6 130 95.4 110 89.5 203 66.0 80 65.8 123 66.1 84 63.1 38 58.6 46 67.3 409 75.8 6 87.1 102 73.2 10 69.2 UNSURE NO OPINION 57 8.2 18 5.6 39 10.3 3 7.1 19 14.3 9 6.2 12 7.7 14 6.5 12 4.7 2 1.8 10 7.8 24 7.8 7 5.5 17 9.3 21 15.8 9 14.0 12 17.5 40 7.5 1 12.9 14 10.3 1 10.4
  • 9. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 199 28.5 93 28.7 107 28.3 16 39.0 45 34.2 41 27.7 39 24.3 56 26.5 38 14.5 21 15.6 16 13.4 128 41.5 55 45.0 73 39.3 34 25.5 17 25.8 17 25.2 140 26.0 2 28.6 51 36.6 6 43.3 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 295 42.2 141 43.8 154 40.9 14 34.0 41 31.0 65 44.1 75 46.6 96 45.9 165 63.6 89 65.7 75 61.2 80 25.9 27 21.8 53 28.5 51 38.4 25 38.8 26 37.9 258 47.9 4 60.8 30 21.5 3 19.2 NO DIFFERENCE 170 24.4 80 25.0 90 23.8 11 27.0 39 29.5 33 22.2 42 26.3 44 20.7 48 18.6 22 16.3 26 21.2 79 25.8 37 30.3 43 22.8 43 32.2 21 33.2 21 31.2 122 22.5 1 10.6 44 31.6 4 28.1 UNSURE NO OPINION 35 5.0 8 2.5 27 7.1 7 5.3 9 6.0 4 2.8 14 6.8 8 3.2 3 2.4 5 4.2 21 6.8 3 2.8 18 9.4 5 4.0 1 2.2 4 5.7 19 3.5 14 10.3 1 9.4
  • 10. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 170 24.3 87 26.9 83 22.0 10 24.9 40 29.9 31 21.3 43 26.6 44 20.8 18 6.8 9 7.0 8 6.6 118 38.4 55 45.6 63 33.7 34 25.7 22 33.5 12 18.2 116 21.5 5.5 48 34.6 5 36.7 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 313 44.7 161 49.8 152 40.3 14 34.0 48 36.0 71 48.3 79 49.1 96 45.8 178 68.7 103 75.5 75 61.1 84 27.1 34 28.0 49 26.5 51 38.6 24 36.9 27 40.2 283 52.6 3 46.7 22 15.5 4 30.9 NO DIFFERENCE 178 25.5 67 20.8 111 29.4 17 41.1 36 27.3 37 24.9 35 21.7 52 24.9 50 19.4 18 13.5 32 25.8 87 28.2 30 24.3 57 30.7 41 31.0 19 29.6 22 32.4 120 22.3 3 39.3 52 36.8 4 26.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 39 5.6 8 2.4 31 8.3 9 6.8 8 5.5 4 2.5 18 8.5 13 5.2 5 3.9 8 6.5 19 6.3 2 2.0 17 9.1 6 4.7 6 9.2 19 3.6 1 8.4 18 13.0 1 5.8
  • 11. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 157 22.5 81 25.1 77 20.3 11 25.9 34 25.6 35 23.9 36 22.5 39 18.6 21 8.0 15 11.3 5 4.3 103 33.3 44 36.5 58 31.3 34 25.6 21 32.5 13 19.1 107 19.8 1 8.1 45 32.3 5 35.6 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 375 53.6 178 55.4 197 52.2 18 43.1 63 47.4 89 60.6 85 52.5 117 55.8 211 81.3 110 80.8 101 81.9 100 32.5 39 32.1 61 32.7 65 48.8 30 45.7 35 51.8 323 59.9 5 65.4 42 29.7 6 44.9 NO DIFFERENCE 141 20.1 60 18.5 81 21.5 10 23.1 36 27.0 21 14.2 33 20.7 40 19.0 24 9.4 10 7.4 14 11.5 87 28.2 36 29.2 51 27.5 30 22.5 14 21.8 16 23.1 96 17.8 2 24.6 41 29.5 2 15.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 26 3.7 3 1.0 23 6.0 3 7.9 2 1.3 7 4.3 14 6.6 4 1.4 1 0.5 3 2.4 18 6.0 3 2.1 16 8.5 4 3.1 4 6.0 14 2.5 2.0 12 8.5 1 3.7
  • 12. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 108 15.4 53 16.4 55 14.5 13 31.7 23 17.0 23 15.8 21 12.9 26 12.2 8 3.2 5 3.8 3 2.6 72 23.3 30 24.7 42 22.4 27 20.7 18 27.2 10 14.5 73 13.6 1 17.0 28 20.0 5 35.4 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 400 57.2 190 58.9 211 55.8 16 37.3 58 43.8 89 60.3 104 64.3 131 62.4 221 85.2 118 87.0 103 83.2 117 38.0 48 39.5 69 37.1 63 47.1 23 36.3 39 57.4 344 63.8 5 67.5 45 32.4 7 46.7 NO DIFFERENCE 170 24.3 73 22.7 97 25.7 10 24.8 47 35.4 35 23.9 35 22.0 40 19.2 29 11.1 12 8.8 17 13.7 101 32.8 38 31.4 63 33.8 40 30.3 23 35.8 17 25.1 113 20.9 5.1 55 39.1 2 16.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 22 3.1 7 2.0 15 4.0 3 6.2 5 3.8 1 0.7 13 6.1 1 0.5 1 0.5 1 0.5 18 5.8 5 4.4 13 6.7 3 1.9 0.7 2 3.0 9 1.7 1 10.4 12 8.4 1.3
  • 13. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 246 35.1 129 40.0 117 31.0 23 55.0 59 44.3 43 29.3 61 38.1 58 27.5 27 10.3 17 12.6 10 7.8 167 54.1 80 66.2 86 46.2 53 39.6 31 48.3 21 31.4 163 30.2 1 17.3 77 55.0 5 37.8 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 358 51.1 173 53.8 185 48.8 16 37.9 58 43.6 85 58.0 78 48.6 116 55.0 212 81.7 111 82.0 100 81.3 86 27.9 31 25.7 55 29.3 60 45.3 31 47.3 30 43.4 321 59.6 5 67.3 25 18.2 6 44.9 UNSURE NO OPINION 96 13.8 20 6.2 76 20.2 3 7.1 16 12.1 19 12.7 21 13.3 37 17.5 21 8.0 7 5.4 13 10.9 56 18.0 10 8.2 46 24.4 20 15.1 3 4.3 17 25.2 55 10.2 1 15.3 38 26.8 2 17.3
  • 14. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 WOMAN 378 54.0 378 100.0 9 21.7 73 55.1 88 60.0 84 52.4 119 56.7 123 47.6 123 100.0 187 60.6 187 100.0 68 51.3 68 100.0 274 50.9 4 55.0 92 66.0 8 53.8 MAN 322 46.0 322 100.0 33 78.3 60 44.9 59 40.0 77 47.6 91 43.3 136 52.4 136 100.0 121 39.4 121 100.0 65 48.7 65 100.0 265 49.1 3 45.0 48 34.0 6 46.2
  • 15. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 18-29 42 6.0 33 10.2 9 2.4 42 100.0 12 4.6 9 6.7 3 2.3 17 5.7 11 9.2 6 3.4 13 9.5 13 19.5 22 4.2 1 14.2 17 12.3 1 10.0 30-44 133 19.0 60 18.6 73 19.4 133 100.0 44 17.0 25 18.6 19 15.1 65 21.0 22 17.9 43 23.0 24 18.4 13 19.7 12 17.2 94 17.4 3 44.7 32 23.0 4 26.5 45-54 147 21.0 59 18.3 88 23.3 147 100.0 58 22.2 27 20.0 30 24.6 57 18.5 21 17.1 36 19.4 33 24.5 11 16.8 22 31.7 115 21.4 2 25.9 26 18.7 4 27.4 55-64 161 23.0 77 23.8 84 22.3 161 100.0 60 23.3 29 21.3 31 25.5 74 24.1 35 29.0 39 20.8 27 20.0 13 19.3 14 20.6 121 22.5 1 7.2 37 26.2 2 17.4 65+ 210 30.0 91 28.2 119 31.5 210 100.0 80 30.8 43 31.5 37 30.1 94 30.5 33 26.9 61 32.8 36 27.2 15 23.8 21 30.5 181 33.5 6.1 27 19.1 2 15.3 UNSURE REFUSED 7 1.0 3 0.9 4 1.1 5 2.1 2 1.8 3 2.4 1 0.3 1 0.6 1 0.4 1 0.9 5 1.0 2.0 1 0.7 3.4
  • 16. North Carolina NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th and 8th, 2014, 700N, 3.7% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 700 100.0 322 100.0 378 100.0 42 100.0 133 100.0 147 100.0 161 100.0 210 100.0 259 100.0 136 100.0 123 100.0 308 100.0 121 100.0 187 100.0 133 100.0 65 100.0 68 100.0 539 100.0 7 100.0 140 100.0 14 100.0 WHITE 539 77.0 265 82.2 274 72.5 22 53.4 94 70.7 115 78.3 121 75.4 181 86.1 237 91.5 122 89.9 115 93.3 182 59.1 83 68.6 99 52.9 120 90.2 59 91.8 61 88.7 539 100.0 BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN 140 20.0 48 14.8 92 24.5 17 40.9 32 24.2 26 17.8 37 22.8 27 12.7 13 5.0 9 6.8 4 3.1 118 38.2 35 28.5 83 44.6 9 6.9 4 5.8 5 8.0 140 100.0 HISPANIC LATINO 7 1.0 3 1.0 4 1.0 1 2.4 3 2.4 2 1.2 1 0.3 0.2 3 1.0 1 1.1 1 0.9 2 0.8 1 0.6 2 0.8 2 1.6 1 1.5 1 1.8 7 100.0 OTHER 14 2.0 6 2.0 8 2.0 1 3.3 4 2.8 4 2.6 2 1.5 2 1.0 6 2.4 3 2.2 3 2.7 6 1.9 3 2.3 3 1.7 2 1.3 1 1.0 1 1.5 14 100.0