Getting lucky with a seasonal trend!

When The Actuary Horse Racing Tips service first started out in 2008 it sole aim was to prove conclusively that by following methodical selection processes a regular profit could be made from horse racing. Having used my speed figures profitably for some time prior to starting the blog I already knew that I would provide this conclusive proof.

What was always disappointing in those early years was the hit and miss of the summer months where we tended to tread water. On closer analysis, what was most notable during the summer months was the prevalence of class ruling over speed. This manifested itself in numerous ways and may be a topic to discuss at greater length in future posts.

After a lengthy study the 'Speed and Class' method was introduced to the portfolio in 2010 and I can still remember now the voices of derision as this method got off to a miserable start and was initially subsidize by the other three methods of selection.

It is somewhat ironic that a service introduced to eradicate the summer blues, today outstrips the profitability of the other three methods and are the flagship of the service. Although I take little notice of strike rate over profitability I am well aware of the comfort that a decent strike rate provides subscribers.

So for the record, the strike rate thus far for 2013 on 'Speed and Class' selections records as follows:

Sept 2013 50%, Aug 2013 46.7%, Jul 2013 36.8%, Jun 2013 36.8%, May 2013 35.7%, Apr 2013 35.7%, Mar 2013 39.6%, Feb 2013 35.7%, Jan 2013 30.7%.

It has been some years since we last recorded a drought through the summer months and as a speed handicapper weaving a class factor in to selections was a bitter pill to swallow but a pill that I will happily continue to take.