4 March 2020
Company Update | Sector: Retail
V-MART
BSE SENSEX
38,409
S&P CNX
11,251
CMP: INR2,150
TP: INR2,700 (+26%)
Upgrade to Buy
Value retailer with a well-run business
Long runway for growth
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
VMART IN
18
39 / 0.5
2867 / 1604
12/6/-22
54
48.0
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
FY20E FY21E FY22E
Y/E March
Sales
17.2 21.6 26.5
EBITDA
1.5
1.9
2.3
Adj. PAT
0.9
1.1
1.4
EBITDA Margin (%)
8.6
8.8
8.9
Adj. EPS (INR)
50.7 62.4 76.7
EPS Gr. (%)
28.5 23.0 22.9
BV/Sh. (INR)
276.9 339.3 416.1
Ratios
Net D:E
-0.2 -0.2 -0.3
RoE (%)
20.2 20.3 20.3
RoCE (%)
20.8 20.8 20.7
Payout (%)
0.0
0.0
0.0
Valuations
P/E (x)
42.4 34.4 28.0
The V-Mart edge – limited threat from national/regional players
EV/EBITDA (x)
25.9 20.0 16.0
Our channel checks across three cities in UP, Bihar and West Bengal indicated
EV/Sales (x)
2.2
1.8
1.4
V-Mart commands a strong competitive position in the value retail industry.
Div. Yield (%)
0.0
0.0
0.0
Our recent channel checks and meetings with regional value retailers
corroborated the advantage V-Mart enjoys over national and regional players.
Focus on lower-tier locations with early mover advantage, better product profile
at attractive price points and operational efficiencies appear to be working in the
company’s favor even as consumer spending remains weak.
The company has built a strong brand recall, a wide product assortment and
efficient cost/WC position. This has translated into better footfall/throughput
and lower cost/employee churn versus peers operating at same locations.
V-Mart’s EBITDA has grown only modestly and margin has contracted by 230bp
over FY18-20 due to a sharp fall in same-store sales growth (SSSG). However, we
note that this is more of an industry phenomenon and V-Mart will be quick to
capture opportunities once the operating environment recovers.
The company’s disciplined store expansion over the last five years based solely
on internal accruals has ensured a well-capitalized net cash balance sheet.
We upgrade V-Mart to Buy as it stands to benefit from (a) its strong cost
leadership at a time when regional players are facing pressure, (b) tailwinds from
better monsoon and agricultural output and (c) low SSSG/margin base. Also, the
~32% correction in the stock price from its peak in Aug’18 provides an attractive
entry point, in our view.
The company has a highly efficient cost structure and working capital position
Shareholding pattern (%)
compared to regional players, as reflected in its higher sales throughput,
As On
Dec-19 Sep-19 Dec-18
EBITDA margin profile and cash conversion ratio. Also, the threat from large
Promoter
52.0
52.0
54.0
national players is limited in that they cater to a different segment with a
DII
10.3
8.1
4.7
FII
26.1
28.3
30.0
different customer profile, product variety and price range. Average selling
Others
11.7
11.6
11.4
price (ASP) and bill size at large national players is almost double, which limits
FII Includes depository receipts
the risk of customer uptrading, particularly as V-Mart operates in lower-tier
Stock Performance (1-year)
cities where customers prefer brands that offer value products at a low price.
V-Mart Retail
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
Sensex - Rebased
Competition benign in a weak environment
V-Mart has been delivering modest SSSG in recent times. However, according to
our channel checks, this is more of an industry phenomenon than company
specific issue, as evident from the performances of almost all regional and
national players. Most stores we visited were delivering flat-to-declining SSSG
and running 10-15% below targets with stretching working capital. Several
regional players are closing down stores as their aggressive debt-funded
expansion and high working capital led to huge write-down, making such stores
unviable. That said, consolidation of about 200 regional stores in the
northern/eastern belts and a subdued base (with weak SSSG for the second
straight year) point toward return of market stability in FY21.
Research Analyst: Aliasgar Shakir(Aliasgar.Shakir@motilaloswal.com);
+91 22 6129 1565
Suhel Shaikh
(Suhel.Ahmad@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 5036 2611 /
Anshul Aggarwal
(Anshul.Aggarwal@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 5036 2511
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
MotilalOswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Potential revival in FY21 could drive healthy margin upside
V-Mart’s EBITDA increased modestly to INR1.5b over FY18-20, with the margin down
230bp due to moderation in SSSG from 9% in FY18 to 3-4% in FY19/20. However,
good monsoon and healthy agricultural output (its largest customer source), along
with expectations of increased government spending on rural, will likely act as
catalyst for growth in FY21. We are factoring in 6% SSSG in FY21/22 and 65/70
annual store additions by V-Mart to arrive at revenue/PAT CAGR estimate of
24%/21% over FY20-22.
Cost and WC efficient, internally funded capex
V-Mart has maintained tight working capital and a well-capitalized balance sheet.
Over the last five years, it has funded store expansion through its internal accruals
and thus remained well capitalized in a bad market. This has allowed the company
to gain market share and further negotiate payments with its landlords/other
vendors to contain costs. It plans to continue its pace of stores addition at 20%
annually, again funded via its internal accruals.
Valuation: Upgrade to Buy
After languishing for the last 12 months due to weak earnings, the stock has
bounced back recently on the back of healthy earnings growth in 3QFY20. We have
turned positive on the stock on account of three factors (i) moderating competition
given ongoing consolidation in the regional market, which offers potential for
market share gains, (ii) low SSSG and margin base for the last five quarters (except
3QFY20), coupled with tailwinds from better monsoon and agricultural output and
(iii) huge runway for growth in the regional market. The stock has corrected by ~32%
from its peak in Aug’18 due to deceleration of PAT growth (9% CAGR) over FY18-20.
However, the improving prospects (PAT CAGR of ~23% over FY20-22E) will help
garner better valuation. We assign 20x EV/EBITDA on FY22E EBITDA of INR2.3b to
arrive at a target price of INR2,700 with implied P/E of 28x (closer to its five-year
average, but at a ~30% discount to its three-year average). We upgrade the stock to
Buy.
Exhibit 1: VMART: One-year forward P/E band
P/E (x)
Min (x)
Avg (x)
+1SD
85
65
45
25
5
Max (x)
-1SD
Exhibit 2: VMART: One-year forward EV/EBITDA band
50
40
EV/EBITDA (x)
Min (x)
Avg (x)
+1SD
Max (x)
-1SD
78.1
48.2
13.7
8.6
31.0
40.4
24.3
15.7
7.1
4.4
43.3
30
20
10
0
21.4
Source: Bloomberg, MOFSL
Source: Bloomberg, MOFSL
4 March 2020
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 3: Retail Industry Valuation Table
Company
ABFRL
DMART
FLFL
FRETAIL
SHOP
SPENCER
TRENT
VMART
RELIANCE RETAIL
Market Cap
(INR b)
193
1430
65
162
33
7
245
39
CMP
INR
249
2,200
320
305
374
85
703
2,150
FY18
440
191
57
27
31
-92
300
58
NA
P/E (x)
FY19
FY20E
171
99
160
109
44
55
23
24
49
-1,096
1,117
188
269
173
63
49
NA
NA
FY21E
65
77
45
21
42
107
100
40
NA
FY18
50
112
19
22
16
NA
132
34
NA
EV/EBITDA (x)
FY19
FY20E
FY21E
42
34
27
91
71
53
15
13
11
18
15
13
14
13
11
275
86
45
116
51
40
34
30
23
NA
NA
NA
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 4: Retail Industry return ratio comparison
Company
ABFRL
DMART
FLFL
FRETAIL
SHOP
SPENCER
TRENT
VMART
RELIANCE RETAIL
FY18
5
19
9
22
15
-8
6
25
16
RoE (%)
FY19
FY20E
10.1
14.9
18.3
22.0
9.8
6.4
21.1
13.6
7.1
-0.3
0.4
2.6
6.0
7.3
18.9
20.2
30.8
33.0
FY21E
20.0
24.5
7.0
11.8
8.1
4.3
9.7
20.3
30.2
FY18
18
17
9
19
9
-4
7
24
14
RoCE (%)
FY19
FY20E
23.8
4.8
17.7
21.1
11.7
8.2
17.7
11.4
7.4
-0.3
1.2
2.9
6.4
8.7
18.1
20.8
23.9
26.6
FY21E
14.4
23.7
8.1
11.0
8.4
4.7
8.6
20.8
25.7
FY18
16
22
9
20
9
-11
11
30
23
RoIC (%)
FY19E
FY20E
21
4
20
23
12
8
19
17
10
0
-3
-1
11
10
22
26
39
41
FY21E
13
26
8
19
10
5
10
27
39
Exhibit 5: Retail Industry revenue/EBITDA growth over FY20-22E
Company
ABFRL
DMART
FLFL
FRETAIL
SHOP
TRENT
VMART
RELIANCE RETAIL
FY20E
12%
24%
11%
3%
1%
30%
20%
35%
Revenue Growth
FY21E
14%
31%
12%
4%
7%
28%
25%
37%
FY22E
14%
22%
12%
12%
7%
27%
23%
33%
FY20E
24%
29%
9%
12%
5%
152%
11%
53%
EBITDA Growth
FY21E
26%
32%
11%
14%
16%
29%
28%
36%
FY22E
20%
20%
15%
15%
7%
29%
23%
20%
4 March 2020
3
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
The V-Mart edge!
Limited threat from both national and regional players
We visited more than 15 stores of regional/national retailers (incl. V-Mart) across
Varanasi, Patna and Kolkata. Below are the key takeaways based on our discussion
with store managers, zonal/regional managers, managements of unlisted regional
players, and franchisees of national players at these locations.
National players targeting different segment
Large national players such as Trent, Reliance Trends, FBB, Pantaloons, Max and
Brand Factory have opened multiple stores in tier 2/3 cities. However, their targeted
segment is different, as evident in their customer profile, store layout (open stores),
variety of products and price range. These players have a bigger average store size
ranging from 15k-30k sq. ft., which is nearly 2-4 times bigger in comparison to
regional players (V-Mart’s average store size is ~8,500 sq. ft.). They mostly target
brand-conscious customers.
National players have much lower footfall/sq. ft. and conversions compared to
regional players. However, their ASP and bill size are nearly double, implying that
they keep prices high to maintain profitability.
In that sense, regional players like V-Mart face limited cannibalization as they have
carved a niche for themselves with their value-centric offerings and low-cost
operating structures – rent, employee and other marketing costs. Thus, trusted
brands like V-Mart will continue to capitalize on opportunities stemming from
unlocked aspirations and unaddressed consumption needs in lower-tier locations.
The advantage over regional players
V-Mart clearly enjoys an edge over regional value retailers in terms of customers,
landlords and employees. It is a relatively well-known brand (has been an early
entrant in most markets) with deep penetration in the northern/eastern belts of
India (more than 2-3 stores in most small cities/towns, unlike fragmented presence
of peers). As a result, it has ~10% higher throughput than its regional peers.
Moreover, the company has contained its rent/sq. ft. at INR367 v/s INR455 for peers
(rent at 4.6% of revenue v/s 5.6% for its peers in FY19). According to our recent
channel checks, landlords usually offer properties to players with stable operations
for a longer tenure even if they are offered slightly lower rents. In fact, the
company’s employee and rental expenses have remained relatively low at ~15% of
its total cost.
This allows V-Mart to offer products at attractive price points, manage its working
capital efficiently, and at the same time maintain healthy margins (8-9%).
4 March 2020
4
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Operating at optimum store size
The company operates an average store size of ~8.5k, which, in our view, is an
optimum level as it allows enhancing productivity, keeping costs in check and thus
boosting the EBITDA margin. Further, the company’s large scale of operations and
clustered-based approach facilitate economies of scale – an advantage over peers.
Exhibit 6: V-Mart’s lower store size v/s national players
Avg Store Size (sq. ft.)
28,571
Exhibit 7: Average bill size higher for national players
Avg Bill size (INR)
10,638
13,039
15,261
8364
756
2332
2200
1850
1800
FBB
Pantaloons
Westside
Brand
Factory
V Mart
V Mart
Westside
Brand
Factory
Pantaloons
FBB
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 8: V-Mart’s rentals much lower v/s national peers
12%
10%
7%
5%
11%
Exhibit 9: V-Mart’s higher footfall/sq. ft. v/s national players
Store Size
Footfall
V-Mart
Future
Retail
Trent
Future
Lifestyle
Shoppers
Stop
V Mart,
Varanasi
Westside,
Varanasi
Reliance
Trends,
Varanasi
Pantaloons,
Kolkata
Westside,
Kolkata
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 10: V-Mart’s superior throughput v/s peers
Revenue/sqft
33%
-2%
-37%
6
-6%
-26%
9
7
diff v/s Vmart
Exhibit 11: V-Mart’s lower rental v/s regional players
Rent/sq. ft.
6.3
4.6
5.3
6.1
27
-15%
8
367
522
687
401
0.4
384
279
% of revenue
4.9
5.2
-12%
13
9
-18%
8
10
10
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
4 March 2020
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 12: V-Mart’s better inventory/payable days
Inventory days
195
124
56
100 107
182
169
37
105
25
Payable days
191
182
230
165
32
8364
9
Exhibit 13: Smaller-store size supports margins
Avg. store size
32
11766
33
EBITDA margin (%)
34
15000
18
6500
7
7
Gross margin (%)
33
31
31
6500
11
8000
8
6308
5
5297
6
6
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 14: National players have higher gross margin and store size
Avg. Store Size
Gross Margin (%)
EBITDA Margin (%)
28571
55
32
15261
8364
9
V Mart
11.2
Westside
7.2
Pantaloons
44
13039
40
10638
7.6
FBB
12535
30.5
59
9.5
Lifestyle
7.2
Brand Factory
Source: Company, MOSL
4 March 2020
6
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Look at gain beyond near-term pain!
Potential revival in FY21 could drive healthy margin upside
Economic slowdown impacts industry sales
With economic slowdown impacting consumer spending, same-store sales growth
(SSSG) across stores has remained either flat or below internal targets, particularly
over the last six months. Further, the festive season was short-lived and the winter
season was slightly delayed. Some of the large franchisees indicated that the impact
of demonetization has not entirely faded, as the move eliminated cash from the
trading community, which accounts for nearly 70% of total sales.
Also, the recent protests impacted stores in the north-east region, which remained
closed in Assam for 7-10 days and in select cities in UP (such as Aligarh) for 1-2 days.
Footfalls were also impacted during this period.
yet V-Mart maintains leadership position
Despite the bleak market conditions, V-Mart has successfully maintained its
leadership position. The company’s revenue/sq. ft. declined by merely 2.2% YoY in
FY19 compared to an average decline of 9.3% (excluding Bazaar Kolkata) for peers.
Furthermore, V-Mart’s competitive edge is reflected in the marginal increase in its
NWC, as against a huge rise for other players which indicated a decline in
throughput.
With market poised for recovery from FY21…
The outlook for 1QFY21 and beyond appears promising with potential support from:
Agriculture economy:
With better monsoon this year and good wheat output,
the agriculture economy is expected to perform better.
Government spending:
Any government initiatives for infrastructure spending
and rural consumption should support growth.
Sector consolidation:
The doubling of stores over the last 3-4 years had created
supply surplus. However, for the last year, the sector has been consolidating
with closure of ~200 stores, which will likely bring in stability in the market. Also,
subdued SSSG for the last two years points toward a favorable base for growth
in FY21.
…V-Mart stands to gain further
Many of V-Mart’s competitors have shut their stores amidst the weak economic
environment. This could present the company with an opportunity to further
expand its market share while keeping its costs in check as new customers can be
served through its existing stores. This could potentially increase V-Mart’s
throughput on the same rent, driving an improvement in its EBITDA margin. The
company’s superior performance is evident in its higher throughput relative to its
competitors. Our workings indicate that volume-driven SSSG of 10% could improve
the company’s EBITDA margin by 60bp with RoCE at 25%. The margin can expand by
120bp if SSSG grows further to 20% with RoCE at 30%
(see exhibit 19).
4 March 2020
7
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 15: V-Mart – lower decline in throughput v/s peers
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
-2.2
52.7
2018
2019
Growth (%)
Exhibit 16: V-Mart – NWC increases at lower pace vs. peers
Net WC days (2018)
95
71
58
45
Net WC days (2019)
41
65
9
-9
47
65
62 68
-15.9
-11.1
2.2
-8.5
-19.8
-2.6
8 18
Source: Company, MOFSL
Source: Company, MOFSL
Exhibit 17: Slowdown across industry
SSSG FY19 (%)
SSSG 9MFY20 (%)
Exhibit 18: V-Mart’s sensitivity to SSSG
Revenue
82
6.5
2.3
EBIT
Break-Even (in Years)
89
3.7
2.7
3.9
1.4
1.4
-2.0
7
2.0
8
20%
Source: Company, MOFSL
V Mart
Shoppers Stop
Pantaloons
Bazaar Style
10%
Source: Company, MOFSL
Exhibit 19: SSSG sensitivity analysis
Revenue increased by
Revenue (FY19) (INR m)
Revenue
Gross Profit
Gross Margin %
Fixed Portion
Total
Variable Portion
Total
Total Operating Costs
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Increase in bps
EBTDA growth
EBIT
Break-even (in years)
RoCE
10%
82
26
32%
30%
5
70%
13
18
8
9.9%
63
17%
7
2.3
25%
20%
74
89
29
32%
30%
5
70%
14
20
9
10.4%
115
35%
8
2.0
30%
Source: Company, MOFSL
4 March 2020
8
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Ensuring consistent and measured growth
Measured store expansion vis-à-vis aggressive approach of peers
V-Mart
has consistently increased its
store
count by ~20% annually and thus
ensured
a
healthy mix of new stores (~60%
of
its stores are
new,
i.e.,
less than five
years old). That said it was measured expansion funded by cash generated from its
own operations. It’s prudent approach has also led to low capex/sq. ft. On the other
hand, most peers had expanded their store network aggressively, mainly using
external funds raised either through debt or equity. Moreover, they had to close
some of their stores when market conditions turned hostile.
Consistent growth led by healthy SSSG and new stores
V-Mart’s revenue increased at a CAGR (FY15-20) of ~20% to INR14.3b, and we
expect the growth rate to continue over FY20-22. Growth was led by healthy SSSG
and measured store expansion (driving sales from new stores). We note that price
competitiveness has pulled down its value SSSG during some periods, although the
company has done relatively well on volume SSSG.
V-Mart’s SSSG slowed down in FY16 due to subdued monsoon, the government’s
efforts to plug subsidy leakages, aggressive competition (looking to liquidate
inventory to maintain cash flows) and weak winter (affected winter-wear sales). The
company’s value SSSG also slowed down (3-4%) over FY19/20, while its volume SSSG
was better (7-8%) due to inventory liquidation driven by intensifying competition
amidst weak market conditions. V-Mart’s higher volume SSSG was reflected in its
improving transaction size, which came on the back of growing footfalls/conversions
and an increase in the number of pieces per customer.
Healthy throughput – a competitive edge
In terms of productivity, V-Mart has maintained healthy sales throughput, i.e.
revenue/sq. ft. of ~INR8-9k – a trend that we expect to continue. This provides it
with a competitive edge and also improves its margin profile.
Huge room for growth
Our channel checks and discussions with industry experts indicate that typically in a
tier 3-4 market with a population base of 20k and assuming annual spending of
INR2k on apparels, the market size works out to be ~INR4b. Assuming 4-5 players in
each market with ~10k sq. ft. store size and annual revenue of INR100m for each
store, we estimate total organized industry revenue of merely INR500m. Thus even
with 4-5 players in a tier 3 market does not crowd the market, indicating the huge
untapped potential. The increasing share of organized retailers in these markets will
lead the next leg of growth. We believe that V-Mart is well positioned to gain from
this shift. With its presence in the north and eastern regions, especially in UP, Bihar
and Jharkhand, V-Mart is set to gain from the favorable demographic profile.
4 March 2020
9
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 20: Expect revenue CAGR of 23% over FY19-22
50
Revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
Exhibit 21: Value SSSG declines in FY19/20
23
20
12
16
7
-1
Value SSSG (%)
13
9
4
3
6
6
25
12
5.7
7.2
8.1
24
22
15
8
17.2
27
10.0
12.2
14.3
21.6
26.5
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 22: Volume SSSG also declines in FY19
14
14
Volume SSSG (%)
11
8
5
1
13
Exhibit 23: Productivity to remain healthy at ~INR8.5k
Productivity (INR k)
1
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 24: Value SSSG quarterly trend
34.0
23.1
17.0
8.0
-4.0
8.0 10.0 7.0
1.2 0.0
11.0
3.5 5.2
1.0 2.0
SSSG (%)
Exhibit 25: Volume SSSG quarterly trend
36.0
27.4
13.0
4.0
-5.0
13.015.011.0
3.5
12.014.0
Volume SSSG (%)
8.0
4.0 6.0
-3.0
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
4 March 2020
10
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 26: EBITDA expected to stabilize from FY20
EBITDA (INR b)
10.0 10.2
9.1
8.8
7.7
8.5
EBITDA margin (%)
10.9
9.3
8.6
8.8
8.9
4.3
4.6
Exhibit 27: Rental cost maintained at ~5% of revenue
Rent/sq ft
4.9
4.5
4.3
% of revenue
4.6
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.8
1.3
1.3
1.5
1.9
2.3
341
372
394
378
365
367
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 28: Number of stores growing consistently at ~20%
Old stores
29.0
21.3
15
13.9
108
18
14.6
123
141
171
43
30
21.3
25.1
New stores
Stores growth (%)
Exhibit 29: ~60% stores less than five years old
42%
34%
Less than 2 years old
3-5 years old
More than 5 years old
20
69
19
89
24%
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 30: Rent/employee cost at ~15% of total cost
Raw Materials
8%
5%
8%
Employees Cost
7% 5%
8%
8%
5%
9%
Rent expenses
10%
5%
9%
Other Expenses
10%
5%
9%
8%
5%
10%
79%
80%
78%
77%
76%
77%
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Source: Company, MOSL
4 March 2020
11
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 31: ~75% of stores in Tier 2/3 cities
14%
16%
Tier 1
Tier 2
23%
46%
Tier 3
Tier 4
80%
Exhibit 32: Apparel constitutes 80% of overall revenue
7%
14%
Apparel
Non-Apparel
Kirana
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 33: Continuous uptrend in average bill price
Transaction Size (INR)
625
663
713
750
756
Exhibit 34: Average selling price improves historically
Total avg selling price
Apparel avg selling price
328
192
99
202
119
236
157
261
191
195
208
207
203
334
323
320
462
489
576
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
4 March 2020
12
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Efficient working capital with low gearing and capex
Working capital efficiency supports cash conversion
V-Mart’s forte in analytics, demand forecasting tools and supply chain management
allows it to manage inventory in a better way. Its lower turnaround time from
design to store facilitates timely ordering and warehouse inventory reduction.
Further, lower payables provide it bargaining power with vendors and thus ensure
fresh inventory and lower prices for its products. Also, prudent store additions help
in restricting dead inventory and liquidity crunch. This is reflected in V-Mart’s cash
conversion (CFO/EBITDA), which has consistently remained at above 50% since FY15
(except in FY18 when it was at 48%). In FY19, V-Mart’s cash conversion stood at 57%
compared to 44% for its closest peer One India Family Mart.
Low gearing and capex support healthy FCF and return profile
Over the last five years, when regional players were aggressively adding stores, V-
Mart was gradual in store addition (20% annually) using internal accruals. As a
result, the company’s balance sheet has remained well capitalized with a net cash
position since FY16. This allowed it to tackle pressures well amidst the tough last
two years when smaller players faced store closures and liquidity crunch. V-Mart’s
efficient working capital and high asset turnover have allowed it to consistently
deliver a superior RoCE even amidst a weak earnings environment.
Exhibit 35: Cash conversion remains healthy
Cash Conversion
74%
81%
48%
21%
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Source: MOFSL, Company
57%
Exhibit 36: Higher cash conversion v/s regional peers
Cash Conversion
57%
-103%
1%
44%
-1%
16%
-70%
63%
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 37: V-Mart remains net cash positive since FY16
0.8
363
Net Debt (INR b)
0.7
-210
392
-0.1
72
54
-391
-530
Net Debt/Equity (x)
-772
Exhibit 38: Return ratios remain healthy
40
30
20
10
0
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
RoIC (%)
-97
0.0 0.0 0.0
-1,131
-2,130
-1,508
-0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2
-0.2 -0.3
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
4 March 2020
13
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 39: Improvement trend in V-Mart’s NWC
Net WC days
Inventory days
Payable days
151
130
93
58
2014
77
53
2015
70
131
140
83
61
57
2017
135
73
124
68
62
56
2019
2016
2018
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 40: V-Mart’s measured store expansion
V Mart
V2 Retail
Baazar Kolkata
Citylife
1India Family Mart
Vishal Megamart
Citykart
V-Baazar
Baazar Style
2014
30
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2015
21
6
21
61
-
18
-
-
-
2016
15
32
6
26
-
(3)
-
-
55
2017
2018
2019
18
21
24
76
20
63
7
25
98
147
67
5
-
108
84
171
6
-
38
61
41
-
189
104
61
186
43
Source: Company, MOFSL
Exhibit 41: V-Mart funding capex through internal sources for last five years
(Amount in INR m)
OCF
Capex
FCF
FY14
110
-332
-222
FY15
399
-335
64
FY16
461
-260
201
FY17
687
-145
542
FY18
643
-478
166
FY19
763
-407
357
FY20E
913
-587
326
FY21E
1,023
-699
324
FY22E
1,315
-746
569
Source: Company, MOFSL
4 March 2020
14
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Valuation and view
Strong competitive positioning, upgrading to Buy
V-Mart appears well placed to compete with regional/national players with its
strategic business model and stands to benefit significantly once the market revives.
We assign 20x EV/EBITDA on FY22E EBITDA of INR2.3b and upgrade the stock to Buy
with a target price of INR2,700. We have factored in 23% PAT CAGR over FY20-22
with an implied P/E of 28x, which is closer to its five-year average but at a ~30%
discount to its three-year average despite the much higher growth expectation.
Valuation buffer v/s historical multiple and industry average
V-Mart trades at 16x EV/EBITDA multiple and on 28x P/E FY22E, building in
EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 26%/23% over FY20-22. Over the last two years (FY18-20), its
EBITDA/PAT CAGR has been at modest at 6%/9%. However, with expectation of an
improving PAT CAGR, the stock is likely to garner better valuation. On a P/E basis,
the stock trades at 28x, closer to its five-year average but at ~30% discount to
industry average of 40x.
Strong upside from three-year perspective
Over the last five years, V-Mart has added stores at a rate of ~20% annually, which
have been funded by its internal accruals. Given its mid-to-high single-digit SSSG, the
company could deliver 20%+ revenue growth consistently. This could drive 25-30%
PAT CAGR consistently for the foreseeable future. At 25% growth assumption until
FY24, it reaches EPS of ~INR120. At a 30x P/E, this could garner TP of ~IN3,600 (67%
upside).
Long runway of growth
V-Mart has demonstrated consistent growth trajectory in the past, and we believe
that its growth momentum will continue due to the under-penetration of value
retailers in India’s hinterland and the company’s stronger competitive positioning.
Further, even amidst a weak market, V-Mart has exhibited strong cost control and
earnings growth in the recent quarter. Moreover, the consolidation in the industry
could sharpen its competitive edge. We believe that India’s economic revival could
fuel V-Mart’s growth and help it come back on its earlier growth path. Hence, we
believe that the stock deserves premium valuations.
Exhibit 42: Valuation based on FY22E EBITDA
EBITDA
Less Net debt
Total Value
Shares o/s (m)
CMP (INR)
Upside (%)
Methodology
FY22 EV/EBITDA
Driver (INR m)
2,342
Multiple
20
Fair Value (INRm)
47,345
-1,508
48,853
18.1
Value/sh (INR)
2,616
-83
2,700
2,150
26
Source: MOFSL, Company
4 March 2020
15
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Exhibit 43: V-Mart’s PEG at a comfortable 1.4x
8.3
5.5
2.8
0.0
-2.8
V-Mart Retail PEG Ratio
120.0
80.0
40.0
0.0
-40.0
Exhibit 44: V-Mart’s P/E converging with EPS growth
Expected EPS Growth (1 year, %)
V-Mart PE (x)
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 45: V-Mart’s P/E lower than industry average
MOSL NAME
Retail
Aditya Birla Fashion
Avenue Supermarts
Future Lifestyle
Future Retail
Jubilant
Shoppers Stop
Titan
Trent
V-Mart Retail
Current
P/E (x)
40.2
42.7
63.5
29.5
18.2
36.9
41.4
42.6
59.4
28
Average PE (x)
38.2
76.7
56.4
35.8
27.0
55.2
378.4
33.8
65.0
24.7
10 YR PE (x)
+1SD PE (x)
52.2
122.1
63.7
51.4
36.5
86.4
1,291.0
44.3
77.3
37.8
-1SD PE (x)
24.2
31.3
49.1
20.3
17.6
24.0
-534.2
23.3
52.6
11.5
5 year Average
Average (x)
35.9
76.7
56.4
34.7
27.0
46.6
221.0
39.1
63.6
28.0
Source: MOSL, Company
4 March 2020
16
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Financials and valuations - standalone
Standalone - Income Statement
Y/E March
Total Income from Operations
Change (%)
Raw Materials
Employees Cost
Rent and lease expenses
Advertising & Sales Promotion
Other Expenses
Total Expenditure
% of Sales
EBITDA
Margin (%)
Depreciation
EBIT
Int. and Finance Charges
Other Income
PBT bef. EO Exp.
EO Items
PBT after EO Exp.
Total Tax
Tax Rate (%)
Reported PAT
Adjusted PAT
Change (%)
Margin (%)
FY14
5,750
49.9
4,041
383
249
136
418
5,227
90.9
522
9.1
109
414
42
7
378
0
378
127
33.5
252
252
43.2
4.4
FY15
7,202
25.3
5,143
489
328
148
457
6,566
91.2
636
8.8
46
590
42
22
571
-17
553
180
32.5
374
385
53.2
5.4
FY16
8,093
12.4
5,712
623
400
191
547
7,472
92.3
620
7.7
190
430
31
12
411
12
423
147
34.7
276
268
-30.4
3.3
FY17
10,017
23.8
7,028
783
452
0
908
9,170
91.5
848
8.5
186
662
35
41
668
0
668
229
34.3
439
439
63.7
4.4
FY18
12,224
22.0
8,303
984
526
0
1,083
10,896
89.1
1,328
10.9
229
1,099
15
41
1,125
0
1,125
348
30.9
777
777
76.9
6.4
FY19
14,337
17.3
9,703
1,257
658
394
996
13,008
90.7
1,329
9.3
276
1,053
16
59
1,096
-98
998
382
38.3
616
715
-8.0
5.0
FY20E
17,223
20.1
11,643
1,576
949
474
1,102
15,743
91.4
1,480
8.6
330
1,149
37
70
1,182
0
1,182
264
22.3
918
918
28.5
5.3
FY21E
21,582
25.3
14,589
1,986
1,219
593
1,295
19,683
91.2
1,899
8.8
404
1,495
37
90
1,548
0
1,548
418
27.0
1,130
1,130
23.0
5.2
(INR m)
FY22E
26,458
22.6
17,885
2,434
1,508
728
1,561
24,116
91.2
2,342
8.9
492
1,850
37
90
1,902
0
1,902
514
27.0
1,388
1,388
22.9
5.2
Standalone - Balance Sheet
Y/E March
Equity Share Capital
Total Reserves
Net Worth
Total Loans
Deferred Tax Liabilities
Capital Employed
Net Fixed Assets
Capital WIP
Total Investments
Curr. Assets, Loans & Adv.
Inventory
Account Receivables
Cash and Bank Balance
Loans and Advances
Curr. Liability & Prov.
Account Payables
Other Current Liabilities
Provisions
Net Current Assets
Appl. of Funds
FY14
180
1,522
1,702
438
-22
2,117
700
10
342
1,862
1,677
0
23
162
797
647
92
58
1,065
2,117
FY15
180
1,869
2,049
306
-6
2,349
981
7
218
2,077
1,832
0
34
212
935
752
115
68
1,143
2,349
FY16
181
2,127
2,307
270
-42
2,535
1,103
23
324
2,340
2,044
0
43
253
1,255
956
217
82
1,085
2,535
FY17
181
2,520
2,700
357
-79
2,979
1,173
12
718
2,925
2,692
0
29
204
1,850
1,599
220
31
1,075
2,979
FY18
181
3,293
3,474
6
-92
3,388
1,447
35
340
3,584
3,071
0
196
317
2,019
1,668
309
42
1,565
3,388
FY19
181
3,911
4,093
0
-118
3,975
1,655
40
607
3,898
3,290
0
166
443
2,225
1,483
645
97
1,673
3,975
FY20E
181
4,830
5,011
0
-118
4,893
1,911
40
607
5,020
3,964
0
525
532
2,685
1,793
775
117
2,335
4,893
FY21E
181
5,960
6,141
0
-118
6,023
2,206
40
607
6,534
4,967
0
902
666
3,365
2,247
971
146
3,170
6,023
(INR m)
FY22E
181
7,348
7,530
0
-118
7,412
2,460
40
607
8,429
6,089
0
1,524
817
4,125
2,754
1,191
179
4,305
7,412
4 March 2020
17
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Financials and valuations - standalone
Ratios
Y/E March
Basic (INR)
EPS
Cash EPS
BV/Share
DPS
Payout (%)
Valuation (x)
P/E
Cash P/E
P/BV
EV/Sales
EV/EBITDA
Dividend Yield (%)
FCF per share
Return Ratios (%)
RoE
RoCE
RoIC
Working Capital Ratios
Fixed Asset Turnover (x)
Asset Turnover (x)
Inventory (Days)
Debtor (Days)
Creditor (Days)
Leverage Ratio (x)
Current Ratio
Interest Cover Ratio
Net Debt/Equity
FY14
13.9
19.9
94.0
1.3
10.6
FY15
21.3
23.8
113.2
1.5
8.7
107.4
96.0
20.2
5.8
65.5
0.1
3.5
20.6
18.4
20.8
7.3
3.1
93
0
38
2.2
14.2
0.0
FY16
14.8
25.3
127.5
1.3
9.9
154.3
90.3
17.9
5.1
67.1
0.1
11.1
12.3
11.7
13.3
7.3
3.2
92
0
43
1.9
13.8
0.0
FY17
24.3
34.5
149.2
0.0
0.0
94.3
66.3
15.3
4.2
49.2
0.0
30.0
17.5
16.4
19.9
8.5
3.4
98
0
58
1.6
18.8
-0.1
FY18
42.9
55.6
192.0
0.0
0.0
53.3
41.1
11.9
3.4
31.0
0.0
9.2
25.2
24.1
30.1
8.4
3.6
92
0
50
1.8
71.9
-0.2
FY19
39.5
54.8
226.1
1.7
6.0
57.9
41.8
10.1
2.9
31.0
0.1
19.7
18.9
18.1
21.8
8.7
3.6
84
0
38
1.8
65.3
-0.2
FY20E
50.7
69.0
276.9
0.0
0.0
45.1
33.1
8.3
2.4
27.6
0.0
18.0
20.2
20.8
25.9
9.0
3.5
84
0
38
1.9
30.8
-0.2
FY21E
62.4
84.7
339.3
0.0
0.0
36.6
27.0
6.7
1.9
21.3
0.0
17.9
20.3
20.8
26.6
9.8
3.6
84
0
38
1.9
40.0
-0.2
FY22E
76.7
103.9
416.1
0.0
0.0
29.8
22.0
5.5
1.5
17.0
0.0
31.5
20.3
20.7
27.8
10.8
3.6
84
0
38
2.0
49.5
-0.3
0.1
-12.2
15.8
14.1
18.4
8.2
2.7
106
0
41
2.3
9.7
0.0
Standalone - Cash Flow Statement
Y/E March
OP/(Loss) before Tax
Depreciation
Interest & Finance Charges
Direct Taxes Paid
(Inc)/Dec in WC
CF from Operations
Others
CF from Operating incl EO
(Inc)/Dec in FA
Free Cash Flow
(Pur)/Sale of Investments
Others
CF from Investments
Issue of Shares
Inc/(Dec) in Debt
Interest Paid
Dividend Paid
Others
CF from Fin. Activity
Inc/Dec of Cash
Opening Balance
Closing Balance
FY14
378
109
0
-120
-389
-21
132
110
-332
-222
62
6
-264
0
83
-42
-18
0
23
-130
153
23
FY15
553
46
0
-167
-227
205
195
399
-335
64
145
7
-183
9
-150
-40
-18
0
-199
17
16
34
FY16
423
190
0
-149
-207
257
204
461
-260
201
-101
12
-349
8
-20
-35
-48
0
-96
16
26
43
FY17
668
179
35
-243
69
709
-22
687
-145
542
-337
-245
-727
0
87
-37
-2
0
49
9
20
29
FY18
1,125
222
15
-381
-346
635
8
643
-478
166
395
-10
-92
9
-351
-15
-27
0
-384
167
29
196
FY19
993
268
16
-332
-270
674
89
763
-407
357
-339
55
-691
19
-3
-16
-44
0
-44
28
137
166
FY20E
1,182
330
37
-264
-303
983
-70
913
-587
326
0
113
-474
0
0
-37
0
0
-37
402
123
525
FY21E
1,548
404
37
-418
-458
1,113
-90
1,023
-699
324
0
133
-566
0
0
-37
0
0
-37
419
482
902
(INR m)
FY22E
1,902
492
37
-514
-513
1,405
-90
1,315
-746
569
0
133
-613
0
0
-37
0
0
-37
665
859
1,524
4 March 2020
18
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
Explanation of Investment Rating
Investment Rating
Expected return (over 12-month)
BUY
>=15%
SELL
< - 10%
NEUTRAL
< - 10 % to 15%
UNDER REVIEW
Rating may undergo a change
NOT RATED
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within
following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend.
Disclosures
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOFSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the
Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Investment Advisory Services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial
products. MOFSL is a subsidiary company of Passionate Investment Management Pvt. Ltd.. (PIMPL). MOFSL is a listed public company, the details in respect of which are
available on www.motilaloswal.com. MOFSL (erstwhile Motilal Oswal Securities Limited - MOSL) is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a
registered Trading Member with National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) and
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) for its stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL) National
Securities Depository Limited (NSDL),NERL, COMRIS and CCRL and is member of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and Insurance
Regulatory & Development Authority of India (IRDA) as Corporate Agent for insurance products.
Details of associate entities of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are
available on the website at
http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/List%20of%20Associate%20companies.pdf
MOFSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and
buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other
compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have
any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report
MOFSL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report
should be aware that MOFSL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific
merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. Details of pending Enquiry Proceedings of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the
website at
https://galaxy.motilaloswal.com/ResearchAnalyst/PublishViewLitigation.aspx
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at
www.nseindia.com, www.bseindia.com.
Research Analyst views on Subject Company may vary based on Fundamental
research and Technical Research. Proprietary trading desk of MOFSL or its associates maintains arm’s length distance with Research Team as all the activities are segregated
from MOFSL research activity and therefore it can have an independent view with regards to Subject Company for which Research Team have expressed their views.
Regional Disclosures (outside India)
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity resident in a state, country or any jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability
or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL & its group companies to registration or licensing requirements within such jurisdictions.
For Hong Kong:
This report is distributed in Hong Kong by Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited, a licensed corporation (CE AYY-301) licensed and regulated by the Hong
Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) “SFO”. As per SEBI (Research Analyst
Regulations) 2014 Motilal Oswal Securities (SEBI Reg No. INH000000412) has an agreement with Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited for distribution of
research report in Hong Kong. This report is intended for distribution only to “Professional Investors” as defined in Part I of Schedule 1 to SFO. Any investment or investment activity
to which this document relates is only available to professional investor and will be engaged only with professional investors.” Nothing here is an offer or solicitation of these
securities, products and services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The Indian Analyst(s) who compile this report is/are not
located in Hong Kong & are not conducting Research Analysis in Hong Kong.
For U.S.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) is not a registered broker - dealer under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the"1934 act") and under
applicable state laws in the United States. In addition MOFSL is not a registered investment adviser under the U.S. Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the "Advisers
Act" and together with the 1934 Act, the "Acts), and under applicable state laws in the United States. Accordingly, in the absence of specific exemption under the Acts, any
brokerage and investment services provided by MOFSL , including the products and services described herein are not available to or intended for U.S. persons. This report is
intended for distribution only to "Major Institutional Investors" as defined by Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the Exchange Act and interpretations thereof by SEC (henceforth referred to as
"major institutional investors"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not major institutional investors. Any investment or investment activity to which
this document relates is only available to major institutional investors and will be engaged in only with major institutional investors. In reliance on the exemption from registration
provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") and interpretations thereof by the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission ("SEC") in order to conduct business with Institutional Investors based in the U.S., MOFSL has entered into a chaperoning agreement with a U.S. registered broker-
dealer, Motilal Oswal Securities International Private Limited. ("MOSIPL"). Any business interaction pursuant to this report will have to be executed within the provisions of this
chaperoning agreement.
The Research Analysts contributing to the report may not be registered /qualified as research analyst with FINRA. Such research analyst may not be associated persons of the U.S.
registered broker-dealer, MOSIPL, and therefore, may not be subject to NASD rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communication with a subject company, public
appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
For Singapore
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Motilal Oswal Capital Markets Singapore Pte Ltd (“MOCMSPL”) (Co.Reg. NO. 201129401Z) which is a holder of a capital markets
services license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore.As per the approved agreement under Paragraph 9 of Third Schedule of Securities and Futures Act (CAP 289) and
Paragraph 11 of First Schedule of Financial Advisors Act (CAP 110) provided to MOCMSPL by Monetary Authority of Singapore. Persons in Singapore should contact MOCMSPL
in respect of any matter arising from, or in connection with this report/publication/communication. This report is distributed solely to persons who qualify as “Institutional Investors”,
of which some of whom may consist of "accredited" institutional investors as defined in section 4A(1) of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“the
SFA”). Accordingly, if a Singapore person is not or ceases to be such an institutional investor, such Singapore Person must immediately discontinue any use of this Report and
inform MOCMSPL.
Specific Disclosures
1 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives does not have financial interest in the subject company, as they do not have equity holdings in the subject company.
2 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
3 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives have not received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
4 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have material conflict of interest in the subject company at the time of publication of research report
5 Research Analyst has not served as director/officer/employee in the subject company
6 MOFSL has not acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
7 MOFSL has not received compensation for investment banking/ merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
8 MOFSL has not received compensation for other than investment banking/merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
9 MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
10 MOFSL has not engaged in market making activity for the subject company
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
V-MART
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The associates of MOFSL may have:
- financial interest in the subject company
- actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
- received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
- other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
- acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
- be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the
company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies)
- received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months for investment banking / merchant banking / brokerage services or from other than said services.
The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not
consider demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from
clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the
research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
Terms & Conditions:
This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and
may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent
of MOFSL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in
nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty,
representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The
report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. MOFSL will not treat recipients as
customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Disclaimer:
The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or
distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent. This report and information herein is solely for
informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing
in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances.
The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this
document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this
document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views
expressed may not be suitable for all investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options, another derivative products as well as non-investment grade
securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of
the information and opinions contained in this document. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and
should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make
modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its associates, their directors and the employees may from
time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform or seek to
perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as a
separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting the document. This report has been prepared on the basis of
information that is already available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of MOFSL. The views expressed are those of the analyst, and the Company may or
may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on,
directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or
entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject MOFSL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in
all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
Neither the Firm, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost
revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information.
The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt MOFSL or any of its
affiliates or employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees responsible for any such
misuse and further agrees to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses, costs, damages,
expenses that may be suffered by the person
accessing this information due to any errors and delays.
Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263;
Website
www.motilaloswal.com.CIN
no.: L67190MH2005PLC153397.Correspondence Office Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road,
Malad(West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst:
INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance Corporate Agent: CA0579;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company
Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth
Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is
a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt.
Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group company of MOFSL.
Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no
assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in securities market is subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance
Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National
Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
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