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{{cite news|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/21/business/21draftcnd.html|title=Text of Draft Proposal for Bailout Plan|date=September 20, 2008|publisher=New York Times}}</ref>
{{cite news|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/21/business/21draftcnd.html|title=Text of Draft Proposal for Bailout Plan|date=September 20, 2008|publisher=New York Times}}</ref>


The day after the change was announced, on October 7, Fed Chairman [[Ben Bernanke]] expressed some confusion about it, saying, "We're not quite sure what we have to pay in order to get the market rate, which includes some credit risk, up to the target. We're going to experiment with this and try to find what the right spread is."<ref name=FedRaisesRate>Lanman, S. (October 22, 2008) [http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aaJhKjPBWPXc&refer=worldwide "Fed Raises Rate It Pays on Banks' Reserve Balances (Update2)"] ''Bloomberg''</ref> The Fed adjusted the rate on October 22, after the initial rate they set October 6 failed to keep the benchmark U.S. overnight interest rate close to their policy target,<ref name=FedRaisesRate /><ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (October 22, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20081022a.htm "Federal Reserve announces it will alter the formula used to determine the interest rate paid to depository institutions on excess balances"] ''FRB Press Release''</ref> and again on November 5 for the same reason.<ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (November 5, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20081105a.htm "Board announces it will alter formulas used to determine interest rates paid to depository institutions on required reserve balances and excess reserve balances"] ''FRB Press Release''</ref>
The day after the change was announced, on October 7, Fed Chairman [[Ben Bernanke]] expressed some confusion about it, saying, "We're not quite sure what we have to pay in order to get the market rate, which includes some credit risk, up to the target. We're going to experiment with this and try to find what the right spread is."<ref name=FedRaisesRate>Lanman, S. (October 22, 2008) [http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aaJhKjPBWPXc&refer=worldwide "Fed Raises Rate It Pays on Banks' Reserve Balances (Update2)"] ''Bloomberg''</ref> The Fed adjusted the rate on October 22, after the initial rate they set October 6 failed to keep the benchmark U.S. overnight interest rate close to their policy target,<ref name=FedRaisesRate /><ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (October 22, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20081022a.htm "Federal Reserve announces it will alter the formula used to determine the interest rate paid to depository institutions on excess balances"] ''FRB Press Release''</ref> and again on November 5 for the same reason.<ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (November 5, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20081105a.htm "Board announces it will alter formulas used to determine interest rates paid to depository institutions on required reserve balances and excess reserve balances"] ''FRB Press Release''</ref>

The [[Congressional Budget Office]] estimated that payment of interest on reserve balances would cost the American taxpayers about one tenth of the present 0.25% interest rate on $800 billion in deposits:

{|class="wikitable" style="margin: 1em auto 1em auto"
|+ Estimated Budgetary Effects<ref>Congressional Budget Office (May 18, 2006) [http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=7219&type=0 "CBO Cost Estimate, Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act of 2006,"] Table 1</ref>
|-
! Year || 2006 || 2007 || 2008 || 2009 || 2010 || 2011 || 2012 || 2013 || 2014 || 2015 || 2016
|-
! Millions of dollars || 0 || -192 || -192 || -202 || -212 || -221 || -242 || -253 || -266 || -293 || -308
|-
|colspan=12 align=center|(Negative numbers represent expenditures; losses in revenue not included.)
|}

0.25% simple interest on $800 billion is $2 billion, not $202 million as shown for 2009. But those expenditures pale in comparison to the lost tax revenues world-wide resulting from decreased economic activity from damage to the short-term [[commercial paper]] and associated credit markets.


Beginning December 18, the Fed directly established interest rates paid on required reserve balances and excess balances instead of specifying them with a formula based on the target federal funds rate.<ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (December 16, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20081216d.htm "Federal Reserve issues technical note concerning the calculation of interest rates on required reserve balances and excess balances for the maintenance periods ending December 17, 2008-December 16, 2008"] ''FRB Press Release''</ref><ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (December 31, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reqresbalances.htm "Interest on Required Reserve Balances and Excess Balances"] accessed January 5, 2008</ref><ref>Wilder, R. (January 7, 2009) [http://www.newsneconomics.com/2009/01/fomc-minutes-show-fed-is-trying-to.html "FOMC minutes show the Fed is trying to think outside the box"] ''News N Economics'' (excerpts of the December 15-16, 2008 [[Federal Open Market Committee]] meeting [http://federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20081216.htm minutes])</ref> On January 13, [[Ben Bernanke]] said, "In principle, the interest rate the Fed pays on bank reserves should set a floor on the overnight interest rate, as banks should be unwilling to lend reserves at a rate lower than they can receive from the Fed. In practice, the federal funds rate has fallen somewhat below the interest rate on reserves in recent months, reflecting the very high volume of excess reserves, the inexperience of banks with the new regime, and other factors. However, as excess reserves decline, financial conditions normalize, and banks adapt to the new regime, we expect the interest rate paid on reserves to become an effective instrument for controlling the federal funds rate."<ref>Bernanke, B. (January 13, 2009) [http://www.forbes.com/economy/2009/01/13/bernanke-lse-speech-markets-economy-cx_pm_0113fulltext.html "The Crisis and the Policy Response"] (London School of Economics)</ref>
Beginning December 18, the Fed directly established interest rates paid on required reserve balances and excess balances instead of specifying them with a formula based on the target federal funds rate.<ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (December 16, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20081216d.htm "Federal Reserve issues technical note concerning the calculation of interest rates on required reserve balances and excess balances for the maintenance periods ending December 17, 2008-December 16, 2008"] ''FRB Press Release''</ref><ref>Federal Reserve Board of Governors (December 31, 2008) [http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reqresbalances.htm "Interest on Required Reserve Balances and Excess Balances"] accessed January 5, 2008</ref><ref>Wilder, R. (January 7, 2009) [http://www.newsneconomics.com/2009/01/fomc-minutes-show-fed-is-trying-to.html "FOMC minutes show the Fed is trying to think outside the box"] ''News N Economics'' (excerpts of the December 15-16, 2008 [[Federal Open Market Committee]] meeting [http://federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20081216.htm minutes])</ref> On January 13, [[Ben Bernanke]] said, "In principle, the interest rate the Fed pays on bank reserves should set a floor on the overnight interest rate, as banks should be unwilling to lend reserves at a rate lower than they can receive from the Fed. In practice, the federal funds rate has fallen somewhat below the interest rate on reserves in recent months, reflecting the very high volume of excess reserves, the inexperience of banks with the new regime, and other factors. However, as excess reserves decline, financial conditions normalize, and banks adapt to the new regime, we expect the interest rate paid on reserves to become an effective instrument for controlling the federal funds rate."<ref>Bernanke, B. (January 13, 2009) [http://www.forbes.com/economy/2009/01/13/bernanke-lse-speech-markets-economy-cx_pm_0113fulltext.html "The Crisis and the Policy Response"] (London School of Economics)</ref>

Revision as of 22:19, 20 June 2009

In banking, excess reserves are bank reserves in excess of the reserve requirement set by a central bank (in the United States, the Federal Reserve System, called the Fed; in Canada, the Bank of Canada). They are reserves of cash more than the required amounts.[1] Holding excess reserves is generally considered costly and uneconomical as no interest is earned on the excess amount. Therefore, many banks minimize their excess reserve amounts by putting them to more productive use.

For banks in the U.S. Federal Reserve System, this is accomplished by making short-term (usually overnight) loans on the federal funds market to banks who may be short of their reserve requirements. However, some banks may choose to hold their excess reserves in order to facilitate upcoming transactions or meet contractual clearing balance requirements.

File:EXCRESNS.jpg
Excess reserves in the U.S., 1930-2009

Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008

On October 3, 2008, Section 128 of the Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 allowed the Fed to begin paying interest on excess reserve balances as well as required reserves. They began doing so three days later.[2] Banks had already begun increasing the amount of their money on deposit with the Fed at the beginning of September, up from about $10 billion total at the end of August, 2008, to $880 billion by the end of the second week of January, 2009.[3][4] In comparison, the increase in reserve balances reached only $65 billion after September 11, 2001 before falling back to normal levels within a month. Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's original bailout proposal under which the government would acquire up to $700 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities contained no provision to begin paying interest on reserve balances.[5]

The day after the change was announced, on October 7, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke expressed some confusion about it, saying, "We're not quite sure what we have to pay in order to get the market rate, which includes some credit risk, up to the target. We're going to experiment with this and try to find what the right spread is."[6] The Fed adjusted the rate on October 22, after the initial rate they set October 6 failed to keep the benchmark U.S. overnight interest rate close to their policy target,[6][7] and again on November 5 for the same reason.[8]

The Congressional Budget Office estimated that payment of interest on reserve balances would cost the American taxpayers about one tenth of the present 0.25% interest rate on $800 billion in deposits:

Estimated Budgetary Effects[9]
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Millions of dollars 0 -192 -192 -202 -212 -221 -242 -253 -266 -293 -308
(Negative numbers represent expenditures; losses in revenue not included.)

0.25% simple interest on $800 billion is $2 billion, not $202 million as shown for 2009. But those expenditures pale in comparison to the lost tax revenues world-wide resulting from decreased economic activity from damage to the short-term commercial paper and associated credit markets.

Beginning December 18, the Fed directly established interest rates paid on required reserve balances and excess balances instead of specifying them with a formula based on the target federal funds rate.[10][11][12] On January 13, Ben Bernanke said, "In principle, the interest rate the Fed pays on bank reserves should set a floor on the overnight interest rate, as banks should be unwilling to lend reserves at a rate lower than they can receive from the Fed. In practice, the federal funds rate has fallen somewhat below the interest rate on reserves in recent months, reflecting the very high volume of excess reserves, the inexperience of banks with the new regime, and other factors. However, as excess reserves decline, financial conditions normalize, and banks adapt to the new regime, we expect the interest rate paid on reserves to become an effective instrument for controlling the federal funds rate."[13]

Also on January 13, Financial Week said Mr. Bernanke admitted that a huge increase in banks' excess reserves is stifling the Fed's monetary policy moves and its efforts to revive private sector lending.[14] On January 7, 2009, the Federal Open Market Committee had decided that, "the size of the balance sheet and level of excess reserves would need to be reduced."[15] On January 15, Chicago Fed president and Federal Open Market Committee member Charles Evans said, "once the economy recovers and financial conditions stabilize, the Fed will return to its traditional focus on the federal funds rate. It also will have to scale back the use of emergency lending programs and reduce the size of the balance sheet and level of excess reserves. 'Some of this scaling back will occur naturally as market conditions improve on account of how these programs have been designed. Still, financial market participants need to be prepared for the eventual dismantling of the facilities that have been put in place during the financial turmoil,' he said."[16]

At the end of January, 2009, excess reserve balances at the Fed stood at $793 billion[17] but less than two weeks later on February 11, total reserve balances had fallen to $603 billion. On April 1, reserve balances had again increased to $806 billion.[18]

References

  1. ^ Sullivan, arthur (2003). Economics: Principles in action. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey 07458: Pearson Prentice Hall. p. 427. ISBN 0-13-063085-3. {{cite book}}: Unknown parameter |coauthors= ignored (|author= suggested) (help)CS1 maint: location (link)
  2. ^ Federal Reserve Board of Governors (October 6, 2008) "Board announces that it will begin to pay interest on depository institutions required and excess reserve balance" FRB press release
  3. ^ Crescenzi, T. (December 22, 2008) "Crescenzi: Banks Sitting on $1 Trillion Cash" CNBC
  4. ^ Krell, E. (December 10, 2008) "What Is Wrong With TARP?" Business Finance
  5. ^ "Text of Draft Proposal for Bailout Plan". New York Times. September 20, 2008.
  6. ^ a b Lanman, S. (October 22, 2008) "Fed Raises Rate It Pays on Banks' Reserve Balances (Update2)" Bloomberg
  7. ^ Federal Reserve Board of Governors (October 22, 2008) "Federal Reserve announces it will alter the formula used to determine the interest rate paid to depository institutions on excess balances" FRB Press Release
  8. ^ Federal Reserve Board of Governors (November 5, 2008) "Board announces it will alter formulas used to determine interest rates paid to depository institutions on required reserve balances and excess reserve balances" FRB Press Release
  9. ^ Congressional Budget Office (May 18, 2006) "CBO Cost Estimate, Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act of 2006," Table 1
  10. ^ Federal Reserve Board of Governors (December 16, 2008) "Federal Reserve issues technical note concerning the calculation of interest rates on required reserve balances and excess balances for the maintenance periods ending December 17, 2008-December 16, 2008" FRB Press Release
  11. ^ Federal Reserve Board of Governors (December 31, 2008) "Interest on Required Reserve Balances and Excess Balances" accessed January 5, 2008
  12. ^ Wilder, R. (January 7, 2009) "FOMC minutes show the Fed is trying to think outside the box" News N Economics (excerpts of the December 15-16, 2008 Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes)
  13. ^ Bernanke, B. (January 13, 2009) "The Crisis and the Policy Response" (London School of Economics)
  14. ^ Quinn, M. (January 13, 2009) "Bernanke admits Fed struggling to revive private lending" FinancialWeek.com
  15. ^ Irwin, N. (January 7, 2009) "Fed Expects Weak Economy, Fears 'Prolonged Retraction'" Washington Post
  16. ^ Cooke, K. (January 15, 2008) "Fed's Evans: U.S. in midst of serious recession" Reuters
  17. ^ Moyer, L. (February 3, 2009) "Banks Promise Loans but Hoard Cash" Forbes
  18. ^ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (February 16, 2009) "Series: WRESBAL, Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks" FRED Economic Data System