Professional Documents
Culture Documents
For 10/3/2012
Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870
Executive Summary
Last evening, October
3rd, Gravis Marketing,
a non-partisan
research firm
conducted a survey of
1,006 likely voters in
Nevada regarding
their likely vote for a
given presidential
candidate. The poll
carries a margin of
error of 3.1%.
Overall, among
likely voters, Obama
holds a 1.1% lead at
48.9% compared to
Romneys 47.8%,
with 3.3% of likely
voters still undecided.
In the Senate race,
Heller holds a 52.5%
to 35.8% advantage.
A summary of the results is presented in the following pages.
Survey Questions
1. Are you registered to vote? (Yes, No)
No crosstabs available for this question because if an individual answered no, the questionnaire
stopped.
Other
Romney
Obama
Very likely
Likely
Somewhat likely
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
2. How likely are you to vote in this years presidential elections? (Very unlikely, Unlikely,
Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Likely, Very likely)
Notes: Each label represents a given candidates take of the overall row, while the size of the dot
represents the overall percent of the total sample. Essentially, Obama has a 49% to 48.4% lead
among very likely voters, and this category is by far the largest group.
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of?
(Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
Other
Romney
Obama
Other
Republican
Democrat
% of Total
35.1%
% of Total
Party
33.1%
% of Total
31.9%
Obama holds the lead among Independents (48.9% to 43.6%), while Romney holds a lead among
party switchers (12.7% to 10.3%).
4
Other
Romney
Obama
Other
Hispanic
Black
White
% of Total
6.0%
15.6%
10.3%
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
68.2%
4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian,
Other)
Other
Obama
Romney
% of Total
Other
3.0%
Muslim
Jewish
Protestant/
Other
Christian
Catholic
4.4%
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
25.8%
29.0%
% of Total
37.8%
% of Total
5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic,
Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)
6
Other
Romney
Obama
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
7
Other
Romney
Obama
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
8. If the presidential election were held today, whom would you vote for? (Very likely Obama,
Likely Obama, Somewhat likely Obama, Undecided, Somewhat likely Romney, Likely Romney,
Very likely Romney)
Presidential race
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
9
Other
Romney
Obama
Unsure
Disapprove
Approve
% of Total
7.3%
% of Total
% of Total
49.1%
% of Total
43.5%
Other
Obama
10
Romney
% of Total
Other
Romney
Obama
11.5%
% of Total
% of Total
38.5%
% of Total
50.0%
10. If you had $1 million that needed to be managed, whom would you trust to manage your
money more?
11
Other
Romney
Obama
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
Other
Romney
Obama
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
% of Total
12. If the election were held today for Nevada Senate between Democrat Shelley Berkley and
Republican Dean Heller, whom would you vote for?
12
Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing sex and age for anticipated voting
proportions for the 2012 General Election.
13
Other
Romney
Obama
Unsure
Disapprove
Approve
% of Total
16.0%
% of Total
% of Total
37.7%
% of Total
46.3%
opened on:
Page 1
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Black
Race
Hispanic
Other
White
Total
Democrat
14.19
47.73
4.88
20.95
47.21
7.21
4.50
26.67
1.55
60.36
30.25
20.78
100.00
34.42
34.42
Independent/Other
13.29
41.67
4.26
13.29
27.92
4.26
6.52
36.00
2.09
66.91
31.26
21.47
100.00
32.09
32.09
Republican
3.24
10.61
1.09
11.34
24.87
3.80
6.48
37.33
2.17
78.94
38.49
26.43
100.00
33.49
33.49
Total
10.23
100.00
10.23
15.27
100.00
15.27
5.81
100.00
5.81
68.68
100.00
68.68
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
59.2753
65.2592
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Catholic
Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim
Other
Protestan
Total
Democrat
32.42
44.38
11.21
3.88
28.81
1.34
2.05
24.32
0.71
31.74
37.87
10.97
29.91
27.07
10.34
100.00
34.57
34.57
Independent/Other
22.03
27.81
7.02
8.42
57.63
2.68
3.71
40.54
1.18
32.43
35.69
10.34
33.42
27.89
10.66
100.00
31.89
31.89
Republican
20.94
27.81
7.02
1.88
13.56
0.63
3.06
35.14
1.03
22.82
26.43
7.66
51.29
45.04
17.21
100.00
33.54
33.54
Total
25.26
100.00
4.66
100.00
2.92
100.00
28.97
100.00
38.20
100.00
100.00
100.00
25.26
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =
4.66
73.3123
71.8361
2.92
28.97
Page 2
38.20
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Age group
30-49
50-64
18-29
65+
Total
Democrat
20.46
45.88
7.09
34.94
27.64
12.11
27.36
38.26
9.48
17.24
37.50
5.98
100.00
34.66
34.66
Independent/Other
13.00
26.80
4.14
56.25
40.91
17.93
20.25
26.05
6.45
10.50
21.00
3.35
100.00
31.87
31.87
Republican
12.62
27.32
4.22
41.19
31.45
13.78
26.43
35.69
8.84
19.76
41.50
6.61
100.00
33.47
33.47
Total
15.46
100.00
15.46
43.82
100.00
43.82
24.78
100.00
24.78
15.94
100.00
15.94
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
50.0586
49.9864
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
Party
Men
Women
Total
Democrat
42.76
30.29
14.83
57.24
38.91
19.86
100.00
34.69
34.69
Independent/Other
54.25
35.34
17.30
45.75
28.59
14.59
100.00
31.90
31.90
Republican
50.36
34.36
16.83
49.64
32.50
16.59
100.00
33.41
33.41
Total
48.96
100.00
48.96
51.04
100.00
51.04
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
11.5015
11.5322
Pr = 0.003
Pr = 0.003
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
President overall
Obama
Romney
Unsure
Total
Democrat
85.71
62.10
30.34
12.67
9.39
4.49
1.61
17.07
0.57
100.00
35.40
35.40
Independent/Other
48.94
30.72
15.01
43.62
27.99
13.38
7.45
68.29
2.28
100.00
30.67
30.67
Republican
10.34
7.18
3.51
88.22
62.63
29.93
1.44
14.63
0.49
100.00
33.93
33.93
Total
48.86
100.00
48.86
47.80
100.00
47.80
3.34
100.00
3.34
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Total
Democrat
7.09
5.03
2.47
7.33
34.83
2.55
85.58
68.43
29.79
100.00
34.81
34.81
Independent/Other
52.66
33.17
16.30
10.37
43.82
3.21
36.97
26.28
11.44
100.00
30.95
30.95
Republican
88.70
61.81
30.37
4.57
21.35
1.56
6.73
5.29
2.30
100.00
34.24
34.24
Total
49.14
100.00
49.14
7.33
100.00
7.33
43.54
100.00
43.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 3
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
Democrat
81.19
73.65
28.35
8.33
5.81
2.91
10.48
31.88
3.66
100.00
34.91
34.91
Independent/Other
28.42
22.89
8.81
54.69
33.89
16.96
16.89
45.65
5.24
100.00
31.01
31.01
Republican
3.90
3.46
1.33
88.54
60.30
30.17
7.56
22.46
2.58
100.00
34.08
34.08
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
Democrat
80.24
70.21
28.13
11.90
50.51
4.17
7.86
5.33
2.75
100.00
35.06
35.06
Independent/Other
34.50
26.67
10.68
7.55
28.28
2.34
57.95
34.73
17.95
100.00
30.97
30.97
Republican
3.69
3.13
1.25
5.16
21.21
1.75
91.15
59.94
30.97
100.00
33.97
33.97
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 4
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Democrat
67.71
65.66
23.49
20.57
13.60
7.14
11.72
34.62
4.07
100.00
34.69
34.69
Independent/Other
29.29
25.00
8.94
50.89
29.60
15.54
19.82
51.54
6.05
100.00
30.53
30.53
Republican
9.61
9.34
3.34
85.71
56.80
29.81
4.68
13.85
1.63
100.00
34.78
34.78
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Party
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Democrat
30.29
22.88
10.59
26.37
57.71
9.22
43.34
40.19
15.16
100.00
34.98
34.98
Independent/Other
43.03
28.60
13.24
13.95
26.86
4.29
43.03
35.11
13.24
100.00
30.78
30.78
Republican
65.60
48.52
22.47
7.20
15.43
2.47
27.20
24.70
9.32
100.00
34.25
34.25
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 5
Page 6
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
Catholic
Religious affiliation
Jewish
Muslim
Other
Protestan
Total
Black
16.28
6.56
1.66
10.08
22.03
1.03
14.73
51.35
1.50
15.50
5.45
1.58
43.41
11.57
4.42
100.00
10.18
10.18
Hispanic
49.74
29.69
7.50
3.14
10.17
0.47
2.62
13.51
0.39
25.65
13.35
3.87
18.85
7.44
2.84
100.00
15.07
15.07
Other
21.92
5.00
1.26
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.11
8.11
0.24
57.53
11.44
3.31
16.44
2.48
0.95
100.00
5.76
5.76
White
21.51
58.75
14.84
4.58
67.80
3.16
1.14
27.03
0.79
29.29
69.75
20.21
43.48
78.51
29.99
100.00
68.98
68.98
Total
25.26
100.00
25.26
4.66
100.00
4.66
2.92
100.00
2.92
28.97
100.00
28.97
38.20
100.00
38.20
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
18-29
Age group
30-49
50-64
65+
Total
Black
25.58
17.01
2.63
44.19
10.36
4.54
21.71
9.00
2.23
8.53
5.50
0.88
100.00
10.28
10.28
Hispanic
25.13
24.74
3.82
58.12
20.18
8.84
12.57
7.72
1.91
4.19
4.00
0.64
100.00
15.22
15.22
Other
16.44
6.19
0.96
41.10
5.45
2.39
32.88
7.72
1.91
9.59
3.50
0.56
100.00
5.82
5.82
White
11.72
52.06
8.05
40.84
64.00
28.05
27.26
75.56
18.73
20.19
87.00
13.86
100.00
68.69
68.69
Total
15.46
100.00
15.46
43.82
100.00
43.82
24.78
100.00
24.78
15.94
100.00
15.94
100.00
100.00
100.00
87.4118
93.8048
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
Race
Men
Women
Total
Black
33.33
7.00
3.43
66.67
13.44
6.86
100.00
10.29
10.29
Hispanic
46.60
14.50
7.10
53.40
15.94
8.13
100.00
15.23
15.23
Other
69.86
8.31
4.07
30.14
3.44
1.75
100.00
5.82
5.82
White
50.06
70.20
34.37
49.94
67.19
34.29
100.00
68.66
68.66
Total
48.96
100.00
48.96
51.04
100.00
51.04
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 3) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =
26.2121
26.8034
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
President overall
Obama
Romney
Unsure
Total
Black
58.73
12.35
6.04
34.13
7.34
3.51
7.14
21.95
0.73
100.00
10.28
10.28
Hispanic
62.83
20.03
9.79
37.17
12.12
5.79
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
15.58
15.58
Other
30.14
3.67
1.79
65.75
8.19
3.92
4.11
7.32
0.24
100.00
5.95
5.95
White
45.81
63.94
31.24
50.72
72.35
34.58
3.47
70.73
2.37
100.00
68.19
68.19
Page 7
Total
48.86
100.00
48.86
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
47.80
100.00
47.80
44.8084
.
3.34
100.00
3.34
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
Total
Black
37.30
7.87
3.87
5.56
7.87
0.58
57.14
13.61
5.93
100.00
10.37
10.37
Hispanic
40.22
12.40
6.09
14.67
30.34
2.22
45.11
15.69
6.83
100.00
15.14
15.14
Other
56.16
6.87
3.37
9.59
7.87
0.58
34.25
4.73
2.06
100.00
6.01
6.01
White
52.28
72.86
35.80
5.77
53.93
3.95
41.95
65.97
28.72
100.00
68.48
68.48
Total
49.14
100.00
49.14
7.33
100.00
7.33
43.54
100.00
43.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
33.7379
30.9646
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
Black
51.59
14.04
5.40
38.10
7.97
3.99
10.32
9.42
1.08
100.00
10.47
10.47
Hispanic
48.91
19.44
7.48
35.87
10.96
5.49
15.22
20.29
2.33
100.00
15.30
15.30
Other
35.62
5.62
54.79
6.64
9.59
5.07
100.00
6.07
Page 8
2.16
3.33
0.58
6.07
White
34.39
60.91
23.44
54.63
74.42
37.24
10.98
65.22
7.48
100.00
68.16
68.16
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
32.1099
32.1277
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
Black
50.79
13.33
5.34
3.97
5.05
0.42
45.24
9.21
4.76
100.00
10.52
10.52
Hispanic
43.48
16.67
6.68
15.22
28.28
2.34
41.30
12.28
6.34
100.00
15.36
15.36
Other
32.39
4.79
1.92
5.63
4.04
0.33
61.97
7.11
3.67
100.00
5.93
5.93
White
38.31
65.21
26.13
7.59
62.63
5.18
54.10
71.41
36.89
100.00
68.20
68.20
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
27.6765
26.2865
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 9
Race
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Black
47.17
12.63
4.52
46.23
8.43
4.43
6.60
5.38
0.63
100.00
9.58
9.58
Hispanic
34.64
15.66
5.60
48.04
14.80
7.77
17.32
23.85
2.80
100.00
16.17
16.17
Other
22.22
3.54
1.26
61.90
6.71
3.52
15.87
7.69
0.90
100.00
5.69
5.69
White
35.57
68.18
24.39
53.62
70.05
36.77
10.80
63.08
7.41
100.00
68.56
68.56
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
18.4792
18.3950
Pr = 0.005
Pr = 0.005
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Race
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Black
46.23
9.66
4.47
26.42
16.00
2.56
27.36
7.02
2.65
100.00
9.68
9.68
Hispanic
54.19
19.13
8.86
15.08
15.43
2.47
30.73
13.32
5.02
100.00
16.35
16.35
Other
40.68
4.73
2.19
11.86
4.00
0.64
47.46
6.78
2.56
100.00
5.39
5.39
White
44.87
66.47
30.78
15.05
64.57
10.32
40.08
72.88
27.49
100.00
68.58
68.58
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
19.4173
18.5287
Pr = 0.004
Pr = 0.005
Page 10
Page 11
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
Age group
30-49
50-64
18-29
65+
Total
Catholic
15.72
25.77
3.98
41.19
23.82
10.44
27.04
27.65
6.85
16.04
25.50
4.06
100.00
25.34
25.34
Jewish
8.62
2.58
0.40
56.90
6.00
2.63
22.41
4.18
1.04
12.07
3.50
0.56
100.00
4.62
4.62
Muslim
8.11
1.55
0.24
67.57
4.55
1.99
18.92
2.25
0.56
5.41
1.00
0.16
100.00
2.95
2.95
Other
18.23
34.02
5.26
51.93
34.18
14.98
19.06
22.19
5.50
10.77
19.50
3.11
100.00
28.84
28.84
Protestant/Oth.Christ
14.58
36.08
5.58
36.04
31.45
13.78
28.33
43.73
10.84
21.04
50.50
8.05
100.00
38.25
38.25
Total
15.46
100.00
15.46
43.82
100.00
43.82
24.78
100.00
24.78
15.94
100.00
15.94
100.00
100.00
100.00
50.2423
51.3596
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
Religious affiliation
Men
Women
Total
Catholic
42.45
21.99
10.77
57.55
28.59
14.59
100.00
25.36
25.36
Jewish
71.93
6.68
3.27
28.07
2.50
1.28
100.00
4.55
4.55
Muslim
29.73
1.79
0.88
70.27
4.06
2.07
100.00
2.95
2.95
Other
55.80
32.90
16.11
44.20
25.00
12.76
100.00
28.87
28.87
Protestant/Oth.Christ
46.88
36.64
17.94
53.13
39.84
20.33
100.00
38.28
38.28
Total
48.96
100.00
48.96
51.04
100.00
51.04
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =
30.5132
31.1004
Page 12
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
President overall
Obama
Romney
Unsure
Total
Catholic
58.86
31.05
15.17
39.24
21.16
10.11
1.90
14.63
0.49
100.00
25.77
25.77
Jewish
62.96
5.68
2.77
33.33
3.07
1.47
3.70
4.88
0.16
100.00
4.40
4.40
Muslim
16.22
1.00
0.49
67.57
4.27
2.04
16.22
14.63
0.49
100.00
3.02
3.02
Other
52.68
31.22
15.25
42.54
25.77
12.32
4.79
41.46
1.39
100.00
28.96
28.96
Protestant/Oth.Christ
40.09
31.05
15.17
57.76
45.73
21.86
2.16
24.39
0.82
100.00
37.85
37.85
Total
48.86
100.00
48.86
47.80
100.00
47.80
3.34
100.00
3.34
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =
71.5280
65.4509
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
Page 13
Total
Catholic
38.29
20.27
9.96
8.23
29.21
2.14
53.48
31.95
13.91
100.00
26.01
26.01
Jewish
33.33
3.02
1.48
22.22
13.48
0.99
44.44
4.54
1.98
100.00
4.44
4.44
Muslim
67.57
4.19
2.06
16.22
6.74
0.49
16.22
1.13
0.49
100.00
3.05
3.05
Other
47.29
27.81
13.66
8.83
34.83
2.55
43.87
29.11
12.67
100.00
28.89
28.89
Protestant/Oth.Christ
58.42
44.72
21.98
3.06
15.73
1.15
38.51
33.27
14.49
100.00
37.61
37.61
Total
49.14
100.00
49.14
7.33
100.00
7.33
43.54
100.00
43.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =
70.4463
68.6167
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
Catholic
52.85
36.07
13.88
38.92
20.43
10.22
8.23
18.84
2.16
100.00
26.27
26.27
Jewish
35.19
4.10
1.58
51.85
4.65
2.33
12.96
5.07
0.58
100.00
4.49
4.49
Muslim
16.22
1.30
0.50
83.78
5.15
2.58
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
3.08
3.08
Other
40.82
30.24
11.64
41.69
23.75
11.89
17.49
43.48
4.99
100.00
28.51
28.51
Protestant/Oth.Christ
28.92
28.29
10.89
61.15
46.01
23.03
9.93
32.61
3.74
100.00
37.66
37.66
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
84.3413
.
Page 14
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
Catholic
50.63
33.33
13.36
9.81
31.31
2.59
39.56
20.19
10.43
100.00
26.38
26.38
Jewish
46.30
5.21
2.09
5.56
3.03
0.25
48.15
4.20
2.17
100.00
4.51
4.51
Muslim
16.22
1.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
83.78
5.01
2.59
100.00
3.09
3.09
Other
39.23
27.71
11.10
12.39
42.42
3.51
48.38
26.49
13.69
100.00
28.30
28.30
Protestant/Oth.Christ
34.51
32.50
13.02
5.09
23.23
1.92
60.40
44.10
22.79
100.00
37.73
37.73
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =
58.9312
.
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Catholic
39.39
29.55
10.57
46.13
23.58
12.38
14.48
33.08
3.88
100.00
26.83
26.83
Jewish
56.25
6.82
2.44
41.67
3.44
1.81
2.08
0.77
0.09
100.00
4.34
4.34
Muslim
35.14
3.28
1.17
56.76
3.61
1.90
8.11
2.31
0.27
100.00
3.34
3.34
Page 15
Other
38.59
30.30
10.84
44.37
23.75
12.47
17.04
40.77
4.79
100.00
28.09
28.09
Protestant/Oth.Christ
28.74
30.05
10.75
64.01
45.61
23.94
7.25
23.08
2.71
100.00
37.40
37.40
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 8) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =
51.6726
53.0361
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Religious affiliation
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Catholic
55.25
32.15
14.89
18.64
31.43
5.02
26.10
18.64
7.03
100.00
26.94
26.94
Jewish
41.67
3.94
1.83
35.42
9.71
1.55
22.92
2.66
1.00
100.00
4.38
4.38
Muslim
91.89
6.71
3.11
8.11
1.71
0.27
0.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
3.38
3.38
Other
27.30
16.37
7.58
15.79
27.43
4.38
56.91
41.89
15.80
100.00
27.76
27.76
Protestant/Oth.Christ
50.36
40.83
18.90
12.65
29.71
4.75
36.98
36.80
13.88
100.00
37.53
37.53
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Pr = 0.000
Sex
Age group
Men
Women
Total
18-29
37.11
11.73
5.74
62.89
19.06
9.73
100.00
15.47
15.47
30-49
55.09
49.35
24.16
44.91
38.59
19.70
100.00
43.86
43.86
50-64
48.06
24.27
11.88
51.94
25.16
12.84
100.00
24.72
24.72
65+
45.00
14.66
7.18
55.00
17.19
8.77
100.00
15.95
15.95
Total
48.96
100.00
48.96
51.04
100.00
51.04
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 3) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =
20.5227
20.6738
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Age group
President overall
Obama
Romney
Unsure
Total
18-29
40.72
13.19
6.44
47.94
15.87
7.59
11.34
53.66
1.79
100.00
15.82
15.82
30-49
54.19
48.58
23.74
44.69
40.96
19.58
1.12
14.63
0.49
100.00
43.80
43.80
50-64
47.32
23.54
11.50
50.00
25.43
12.15
2.68
19.51
0.65
100.00
24.31
24.31
65+
44.67
14.69
7.18
52.79
17.75
8.48
2.54
12.20
0.41
100.00
16.07
16.07
Total
48.86
100.00
48.86
47.80
100.00
47.80
3.34
100.00
3.34
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
54.8432
43.3801
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 16
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Age group
Total
18-29
43.32
13.57
6.67
8.56
17.98
1.32
48.13
17.01
7.41
100.00
15.39
15.39
30-49
50.47
45.06
22.14
8.82
52.81
3.87
40.71
41.02
17.86
100.00
43.87
43.87
50-64
48.32
24.12
11.85
5.70
19.10
1.40
45.97
25.90
11.28
100.00
24.53
24.53
65+
52.28
17.25
8.48
4.57
10.11
0.74
43.15
16.07
7.00
100.00
16.21
16.21
Total
49.14
100.00
49.14
7.33
100.00
7.33
43.54
100.00
43.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
9.3348
9.6515
Pr = 0.156
Pr = 0.140
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Age group
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
18-29
45.99
18.57
7.15
42.78
13.29
6.65
11.23
15.22
1.75
100.00
15.54
15.54
30-49
36.43
41.47
15.96
50.28
44.02
22.03
13.28
50.72
5.82
100.00
43.81
43.81
50-64
41.02
26.13
10.06
51.53
25.25
12.64
7.46
15.94
1.83
100.00
24.52
24.52
65+
32.99
13.82
5.32
54.12
17.44
8.73
12.89
18.12
2.08
100.00
16.13
16.13
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
Page 17
14.0771
14.5824
Pr = 0.029
Pr = 0.024
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Age group
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
18-29
36.61
13.96
5.59
16.39
30.30
2.50
46.99
13.89
7.18
100.00
15.28
15.28
30-49
42.13
46.25
18.53
4.74
25.25
2.09
53.13
45.23
23.37
100.00
43.99
43.99
50-64
38.98
23.96
9.60
9.49
28.28
2.34
51.53
24.56
12.69
100.00
24.62
24.62
65+
39.38
15.83
6.34
8.29
16.16
1.34
52.33
16.32
8.43
100.00
16.11
16.11
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
25.2967
23.4588
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.001
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Age group
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
18-29
21.85
8.33
2.98
56.29
14.63
7.68
21.85
25.38
2.98
100.00
13.64
13.64
30-49
34.01
42.42
15.18
54.45
46.30
24.30
11.54
43.85
5.15
100.00
44.63
44.63
50-64
42.12
29.04
10.39
50.18
23.58
12.38
7.69
16.15
1.90
100.00
24.66
24.66
65+
42.33
20.20
7.23
47.62
15.49
8.13
10.05
14.62
1.72
100.00
17.07
17.07
Page 18
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
52.48
100.00
52.48
33.3043
32.2384
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Age group
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
18-29
45.95
13.41
6.21
7.43
6.29
1.00
46.62
16.71
6.30
100.00
13.52
13.52
30-49
52.05
50.10
23.20
11.48
32.00
5.11
36.48
43.10
16.26
100.00
44.57
44.57
50-64
39.19
21.10
9.77
26.74
41.71
6.67
34.07
22.52
8.49
100.00
24.93
24.93
65+
41.94
15.38
7.12
18.82
20.00
3.20
39.25
17.68
6.67
100.00
16.99
16.99
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 6) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =
45.2968
44.1287
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
President overall
Obama
Romney
Unsure
Total
Men
46.82
46.74
22.84
50.33
51.37
24.55
2.84
41.46
1.39
100.00
48.78
48.78
Women
50.80
53.26
26.02
45.38
48.63
23.25
3.82
58.54
1.96
100.00
51.22
51.22
Total
48.86
100.00
47.80
100.00
3.34
100.00
100.00
100.00
Page 19
47.80
3.34
3.4392
3.4448
100.00
Pr = 0.179
Pr = 0.179
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
Total
Men
52.53
52.26
25.68
9.93
66.29
4.86
37.54
42.16
18.35
100.00
48.89
48.89
Women
45.89
47.74
23.46
4.83
33.71
2.47
49.28
57.84
25.19
100.00
51.11
51.11
Total
49.14
100.00
49.14
7.33
100.00
7.33
43.54
100.00
43.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =
23.1046
23.3223
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
Men
32.48
41.04
15.79
52.65
51.16
25.60
14.87
63.04
7.23
100.00
48.63
48.63
Women
44.17
58.96
22.69
47.57
48.84
24.44
8.25
36.96
4.24
100.00
51.37
51.37
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =
23.7085
23.8809
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 20
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
Men
38.38
46.46
18.61
6.37
37.37
3.09
55.25
51.86
26.79
100.00
48.50
48.50
Women
41.65
53.54
21.45
10.05
62.63
5.18
48.30
48.14
24.87
100.00
51.50
51.50
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =
8.5019
8.5652
Pr = 0.014
Pr = 0.014
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Sex
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Men
32.54
44.95
16.08
54.66
51.46
27.01
12.80
53.85
6.32
100.00
49.41
49.41
Women
38.93
55.05
19.69
50.36
48.54
25.47
10.71
46.15
5.42
100.00
50.59
50.59
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =
5.1551
5.1621
Pr = 0.076
Pr = 0.076
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Page 21
Sex
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Men
45.20
48.32
22.37
18.27
56.57
9.04
36.53
47.94
18.08
100.00
49.50
49.50
Women
47.38
51.68
23.93
13.74
43.43
6.94
38.88
52.06
19.63
100.00
50.50
50.50
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 2) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =
4.1826
4.1912
Pr = 0.124
Pr = 0.123
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
President
overall
Total
Obama
9.46
9.38
4.61
9.46
62.92
4.61
81.08
90.74
39.51
100.00
48.72
48.72
Romney
90.03
87.77
43.13
3.44
22.47
1.65
6.53
7.18
3.13
100.00
47.90
47.90
Unsure
41.46
2.85
1.40
31.71
14.61
1.07
26.83
2.08
0.91
100.00
3.37
3.37
Total
49.14
100.00
49.14
7.33
100.00
7.33
43.54
100.00
43.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Page 22
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
Obama
73.04
92.44
35.58
10.75
10.47
5.24
16.21
68.84
7.90
100.00
48.71
48.71
Romney
5.21
6.48
2.49
90.28
86.38
43.23
4.51
18.84
2.16
100.00
47.88
47.88
Unsure
12.20
1.08
0.42
46.34
3.16
1.58
41.46
12.32
1.41
100.00
3.41
3.41
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
President
overall
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
Obama
76.03
92.50
37.06
11.82
69.70
5.76
12.16
11.47
5.93
100.00
48.75
48.75
Romney
4.70
5.63
2.25
4.00
23.23
1.92
91.30
84.81
43.82
100.00
48.00
48.00
Unsure
23.08
1.88
0.75
17.95
7.07
0.58
58.97
3.72
1.92
100.00
3.26
3.26
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Page 23
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Obama
68.27
93.43
33.42
14.58
13.60
7.14
17.16
71.54
8.40
100.00
48.96
48.96
Romney
4.11
5.56
1.99
90.47
83.30
43.72
5.42
22.31
2.62
100.00
48.33
48.33
Unsure
13.33
1.01
0.36
60.00
3.10
1.63
26.67
6.15
0.72
100.00
2.71
2.71
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
President
overall
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Obama
25.98
27.42
12.69
28.22
86.29
13.79
45.79
59.32
22.37
100.00
48.86
48.86
Romney
66.98
70.02
32.42
4.15
12.57
2.01
28.87
37.05
13.97
100.00
48.40
48.40
Unsure
43.33
2.56
1.19
6.67
1.14
0.18
50.00
3.63
1.37
100.00
2.74
2.74
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Page 24
Manages $1 M better
Obama
Romney Undecided
Total
No
0.68
0.86
0.33
92.54
90.70
45.39
6.78
28.99
3.33
100.00
49.04
49.04
Undecided
26.97
5.18
2.00
39.33
5.81
2.91
33.71
21.74
2.49
100.00
7.40
7.40
Yes
83.02
93.95
36.16
4.01
3.49
1.75
12.98
49.28
5.65
100.00
43.56
43.56
Total
38.49
100.00
38.49
50.04
100.00
50.04
11.47
100.00
11.47
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Approve
Obama's
job
performanc
e?
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
No
0.68
0.83
0.33
2.04
12.12
1.00
97.27
92.25
47.66
100.00
49.00
49.00
Undecided
20.69
3.75
1.50
42.53
37.37
3.09
36.78
5.17
2.67
100.00
7.26
7.26
Yes
87.40
95.42
38.23
9.54
50.51
4.17
3.05
2.58
1.34
100.00
43.74
43.74
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =
1.2e+03
1.4e+03
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 25
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Approve
Obama's
job
performanc
e?
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
No
8.54
12.12
4.34
85.77
82.96
43.54
5.69
24.62
2.89
100.00
50.77
50.77
Undecided
30.00
6.06
2.17
47.50
6.54
3.43
22.50
13.85
1.63
100.00
7.23
7.23
Yes
69.68
81.82
29.27
13.12
10.50
5.51
17.20
61.54
7.23
100.00
42.01
42.01
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Approve
Obama's
job
performanc
e?
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
No
63.72
69.63
32.24
7.58
24.00
3.84
28.70
38.50
14.52
100.00
50.59
50.59
Undecided
51.25
8.09
3.74
6.25
2.86
0.46
42.50
8.23
3.11
100.00
7.31
7.31
Yes
24.51
22.29
10.32
27.77
73.14
11.69
47.72
53.27
20.09
100.00
42.10
42.10
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Page 26
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Manages $1
M better
U.S. direction?
Right dir
Unsure Wrong dir
Total
Obama
87.69
84.58
33.89
9.72
45.45
3.76
2.59
1.94
1.00
100.00
38.65
38.65
Romney
2.50
3.13
1.25
2.00
12.12
1.00
95.49
92.41
47.75
100.00
50.00
50.00
Undecided
43.38
12.29
4.92
30.88
42.42
3.51
25.74
5.65
2.92
100.00
11.35
11.35
Total
40.07
100.00
40.07
8.26
100.00
8.26
51.67
100.00
51.67
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pearson chi2( 4) =
likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =
1.0e+03
1.2e+03
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Manages $1
M better
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Obama
66.67
69.19
24.75
14.84
10.50
5.51
18.49
58.46
6.87
100.00
37.13
37.13
Romney
8.97
13.13
4.70
86.03
85.89
45.08
5.00
22.31
2.62
100.00
52.39
52.39
Undecided
60.34
17.68
6.32
18.10
3.61
1.90
21.55
19.23
2.26
100.00
10.48
10.48
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 27
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Manages $1
M better
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Obama
28.71
23.27
10.78
29.44
69.14
11.05
41.85
41.65
15.71
100.00
37.53
37.53
Romney
64.16
72.39
33.52
6.82
22.29
3.56
29.02
40.19
15.16
100.00
52.24
52.24
Undecided
19.64
4.34
2.01
13.39
8.57
1.37
66.96
18.16
6.85
100.00
10.23
10.23
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
U.S. direction?
Senate overall
Heller
Berkley
Unsure
Total
Right direction
67.51
74.49
26.65
15.10
11.36
5.96
17.39
58.46
6.87
100.00
39.48
39.48
Unsure
61.33
11.62
4.16
16.00
2.07
1.08
22.67
13.08
1.54
100.00
6.78
6.78
Wrong direction
9.24
13.89
4.97
84.54
86.57
45.44
6.22
28.46
3.34
100.00
53.75
53.75
Total
35.77
100.00
35.77
52.48
100.00
52.48
11.74
100.00
11.74
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 28
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
U.S. direction?
Total
Right direction
25.69
22.09
10.23
28.44
70.86
11.32
45.87
48.43
18.26
100.00
39.82
39.82
Unsure
30.67
4.54
2.10
4.00
1.71
0.27
65.33
11.86
4.47
100.00
6.85
6.85
Wrong direction
63.70
73.37
33.97
8.22
27.43
4.38
28.08
39.71
14.98
100.00
53.33
53.33
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Key
row percentage
column percentage
cell percentage
Senate
overall
Approve of Sandoval
Approve Disapprov
Unsure
Total
Berkley
21.99
16.96
7.85
34.27
76.57
12.24
43.73
41.40
15.62
100.00
35.71
35.71
Heller
66.03
74.75
34.61
4.18
13.71
2.19
29.79
41.40
15.62
100.00
52.42
52.42
Unsure
32.31
8.28
3.84
13.08
9.71
1.55
54.62
17.19
6.48
100.00
11.87
11.87
Total
46.30
100.00
46.30
15.98
100.00
15.98
37.72
100.00
37.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
Pr = 0.000
Pr = 0.000
Page 29
closed on:
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