Thematic | April 2020
Strategy
Refer our earlier reports
on Ind-AS
Accounting impact of COVID-19 situation
Effect widespread across sectors
The COVID-19 situation has significantly impacted economies and their financial
markets globally. As Indian companies approach the financial year end, it is important
to evaluate the impact of this situation on
companies’
financial reporting.
Our discussions with various accounting experts indicate the level of impact will
depend on the industry under which the company operates as well as company-
specific exposure to financial instruments/transactions.
On the accounting front, this would not only impact key financial statements (income
statement and balance sheet) but could also raise questions on the going-concern
assumptions of some entities.
The outbreak, followed by lockdown, would not only have an immediate impact due
to reduced activity levels but also potentially change various accounting estimates
(leading to an increase in write-offs, expected credit loss/provisioning, the fair
valuation assessment of various assets and liabilities, and revenue recognition, among
others).
Furthermore, this could result in various contracts
such as those pertaining to lease
accounting, revenue recognition, and onerous provisioning
being changed (in some
cases due to the invocation of force majeure clauses). Some sectors may even witness
a plunge in the selling price of certain goods or their obsolescence leading to inventory
loss.
We believe that some companies may, however, consider these situations to be
transitory and choose not to make any significant changes in their long-term
estimates. Nevertheless, the companies will be required to make more robust
disclosures on estimates/judgments used in preparing the financial statements.
This is likely to have a significant impact on financials, automobile, retail,
commodities, hotels, media, aviation, capital goods and infrastructure sector, among
others.
Automobile, hotels, retail, commodities may witness asset impairment
Companies in significantly impacted sectors such as automobiles, hotels, retail,
metals, and oil & gas (upstream companies) may see disruptions due to lower
demand and realizations. These factors may act as indicators that could trigger the
impairment test for their non-current assets; on the other hand, goodwill and
intangible assets with infinite life (as required by Ind-AS) would continue to have
their annual impairment check, albeit with more stringent parameters.
ECL provisioning could impact financials, capital goods, automobile, IT
Financial instruments (covered under Ind-AS 109) such as loans, trade and other
receivables, investments in debt instruments, financial guarantees, and loan
commitments are subject to impairment loss, measured as per expected credit loss
approach in the income statement. Sectors such as financials (NBFC), capital goods,
autos (for their captive financing book), and IT are exposed (primarily in
loans/receivables) to sectors/companies that may be affected by the COVID-19
situation. Banks (yet to migrate to Ind-AS) are likely to witness an increase in NPA
provisioning as per the
RBI’s prudential guidelines.
Sandeep Ashok Gupta
Research Analyst
(S.Gupta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1551
Umesh Jain
Research Analyst
(Umesh.Jain@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 7193 4221
April 2019
1
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
Commodity, retail may witness inventory loss
The COVID-19 situation has resulted in the reduced movement of inventory,
obsolescence, and reduction in the value of selling price. Ind-AS requires inventory
to be valued at lower of cost or net realizable values. This may result in a write-
down in inventory valuations, primarily in the commodity and retail sectors.
Lease changes may impact aviation, retail, media, hotels
Due to COVID-19, changes may be observed in the terms of lease arrangements, or
lessors may give some concessions to lessees in lease payments or in the form of
rent holidays. Such revised terms or concessions shall be considered when
accounting for leases, which may lead to the application of accounting pertaining to
lease modification. Lessees may also need to evaluate the impairment in right to use
of asset. This is likely to have an impact on the aviation, retail, media and hotels
sectors.
Hedges in IT, auto, capital goods, FMCG, telecom, oil & gas may turn
ineffective
Companies following hedge accounting may need to reassess the effectiveness of
cash flow hedges (availed to hedge probable transactions). If these hedge
transactions are no longer effective, companies will be required to recognise MTM
gains/losses (including those accumulated in reserves) to the income statement.
This may primarily impact companies in the IT, automobile, capital goods, FMCG,
and telecom sectors.
Capital goods and IT revenue/provisioning may be impacted
Companies in the capital goods and IT sectors, which recognize revenues on the
basis of long-term contracts, may need to assess the enforceability of existing or
new contracts (including renegotiations/modifications). Furthermore, they may
need to evaluate provisioning, if any, required for onerous contracts.
Fair valuation assessment / Deferred tax impact to be seen across sectors
Ind-AS requires financial assets/liabilities to be fair valued at each reporting period
and corresponding gains/losses to be provided through the income statement/OCI,
as per their classification. Also, DTA/DTL recognised by companies may be impacted
due to a change in the estimates of future profit/impairment of assets. These
changes are likely to impact companies across sectors.
April 2020
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
SECTORIAL HEAT MAP
ACCOUNTING IMPACT ON SECTORS DUE TO COVID-19 SITUATION
Sector
NBFC
Oil & Gas
Aviation
Hotels
FMCG
Automobiles
Infrastructure / Capital Goods
Telecom
Retail
Media
Pharmaceuticals
Cement
Metals & Mining
✓#
✓*
Revenue
recognition
Impairment of
goodwill and
non-current
assets
Onerous
contract
provisioning
Inventory
valuation
ECL
Fair value
assessment
Lease
accounting
Hedge
accounting
DTA/DTL
IT
Note: 1. *Oil & gas upstream business could be impacted due to COVID-19
2. # Credit loss expected in captive finance business of auto companies
3. Banks would continue to follow RBI/I-GAAP guidelines and are expected to report higher NPA provisioning on loans and advances, fair value assessment of investment books, and
DTA/DTL.
Source: MOFSL
April 2020
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
COVID-19 to materially impact financial statements
Going-concern assumptions need to be revaluated for some entities
Financial statements are normally prepared on the assumption that an entity is
a going concern and would continue to operate in the foreseeable future. In
assessing whether the going-concern assumption is appropriate, management
considers all available information regarding the future, which is at least, but
not limited to, twelve months from the end of the reporting period.
A company needs to assess the impact of COVID-19 and the measures
undertaken on its ability to continue as a going concern. The impact of COVID-
19 after the reporting date should also be considered, and if, after the reporting
date, management either intends to liquidate the entity or cease trading, or has
no realistic alternative but to do so, financial statements should not be prepared
on a going-concern basis.
Necessary disclosures as per Ind-AS 1 shall also be made, such as material
uncertainties that might cast significant doubt upon an entity's ability to
continue as a going concern.
Lockdown could trigger impairment of goodwill and non-current assets
Ind-AS 36 requires all companies to assess for impairment of the carrying value
of non-current assets (except goodwill and intangibles with an indefinite life)
whenever there is a potential indication due to external or internal criteria. On
the other hand, goodwill and intangible assets with infinite life are subject to
annual impairment tests.
The COVID-19 situation may result in temporary shutdown in operations or an
immediate drop in demand or prices, resulting in decline in revenues and
profitability as well as economic activity. These are factors companies may
consider as indicators that impairment testing is required.
Depending on specific facts and circumstances, companies would need to
consider providing detailed disclosures on the assumptions and sensitivities
considered related to the effects of COVID-19.
Rising ECL provisioning on exposure to materially impacted sectors
Financial instruments within the scope of Ind-AS 109, such as loans, trade
receivables, other receivables, and investments in debt instruments are not
measured at fair value through profit or loss and are subject to impairment loss
recognition and measurement based on an approach called Expected Credit Loss
(ECL).
Widespread contraction in economic activity across the globe due to the rapid
spread of COVID-19 is likely to impact the quantification of ECL and classification
of financial assets into three buckets for the recognition and measurement of
impairment loss. Recognition of 12-month ECL v/s Lifetime ECL is based on the
segregation of credit exposure into three buckets: a) Stage 1 comprises those
with no significant increase in credit risk, b) Stage 2 includes those with
significant increase in credit risk, and c) Stage 3 consists of the credit impaired.
In the case of certain financial assets, such as trade receivables, where the
April 2020
4
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
simplified approach is applicable, this segregation of credit exposures into three
buckets is not required.
Measurement of ECL: Adverse impact on the business of borrowers or debtors
may affect the following credit risk parameters:
Risk of default (probability of default), i.e., the likelihood of default by the
borrower may have increased significantly due to reduced economic
activity.
Another parameter is the estimated amount of loss itself in the event of a
default (loss-given default). Contraction in economic activity and its impact
on consumers may have affected the value of collaterals and business cash
flows, thus adversely affecting the expected amount of loss.
In this period of substantial business dislocation, borrowers may tend to
fully utilize undrawn limits and loan commitments, which in turn would
impact another credit risk parameter, i.e., exposure at default.
With regard to banks and insurance entities, preparers need to consider the
impact of COVID-19 on the classification of loans and advances into the
Standard, Substandard, Doubtful, and Loss categories, in addition to the
Prudential Regulatory requirements of the RBI and Insurance Regulatory and
Development Authority of India (IRDAI).
Inventory losses due to obsolescence or lower NRV
In accordance with Ind-AS 2
Inventories, it may be necessary for companies to
write down inventories to net realizable value (NRV) due to reduced movement
of inventory, decline in selling prices, or inventory obsolescence on account of
lower-than-expected sales. This, in our view, is likely to have a material impact
on the commodity and retail sectors.
Furthermore, it is unlikely that normal production capacity would be reviewed
for allocating fixed production overheads for FY20 due to the adverse impact on
utilization of production capacity due to the effects of COVID-19 on the overall
economy or segments in which the entity operates. Hence, fixed overheads (due
to capacity underutilization) need to be expensed and not capitalized (to
inventory).
Need to reassess lease accounting due to modification in lease terms
The COVID-19 situation may result in changes being made to lease
arrangements or lessors giving some concession to the lessees in lease
payments or in the form of rent holidays. Such revised terms or concessions
shall be considered when accounting for leases, which may lead to the
application of accounting pertaining to lease modification.
Lessors should evaluate asset value impairment due to decline in demand for
assets and/or steep decline in rentals. Lessees, on the other hand, would need
to evaluate the impairment in right to use of asset.
April 2020
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
Hedge accounting
Ind-AS 109 has elaborate requirements on the application of hedge accounting,
an accounting choice for entities. Requirements include the qualifying criteria
for hedge accounting, how to assess the hedge effectiveness, and accounting for
its impact in financial statements.
The standard permits a highly probable forecast transaction to be a qualifying
hedged item. If a company has adopted cashflow hedge accounting for certain
forecast transactions, it should assess whether the transaction still qualifies as a
highly probable forecast transaction considering the business environment.
The company would need to assess any hedge ineffectiveness and record its
impact in profit and loss.
Fair value assessment to change due to changing market conditions
Ind-AS requires certain financial assets/liabilities to be recognized on the basis
of the fair value on the measurement date, with gains/losses on the fair
valuation to be recognized in the income statement / other comprehensive
income (OCI), as per the categorization.
Ind-AS recognizes that there are different methods of determining fair values:
on the basis of their quoted active values (Level 1) or by applying various
valuation techniques (Level 2 and Level 3). The spread of COVID-19 has led to a
significant increase in volatility, decrease in the value of financial instruments,
and decline in volumes or levels of activity. This may require adequate judgment
to determine whether the quoted price is based on transactions in an orderly
market. It may not always be appropriate to conclude that all transactions in
such a market are not orderly.
Also, to determine the value of assets/liabilities using valuation techniques
(Level 2/3), various assumptions, such as discount rates and credit spread /
counter-party credit risk, need to be reassessed considering the impact of
COVID-19.
Revenue recognition assessment based on enforceability of customer
contract
The COVID-19 situation may lead to changes in the pattern of revenue
recognition by companies. Companies recognizing revenues on the basis of long-
term contacts may need to assess the enforceability of existing or new
contracts, including the renegotiations/modifications.
Certain companies may witness an increase in sales return, price discounts, and
decrease in volume discounts, which would need to be provided for.
Provisions and disclosures of onerous contracts
Onerous contracts are those for which unavoidable costs of meeting obligations
under the contract exceed the economic benefits expected to be received under
it.
As a result of the COVID-19 situation, some contracts may become onerous for
reasons such as increase in cost of material/labor. A company should consider
whether any of its contracts have become onerous and provide adequate
disclosure on the judgment and estimates applied in recognizing and measuring
the provisions.
April 2020
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
Deferred tax asset and liability need to be reassessed
COVID-19 could affect future profit estimates. Thus, companies with deferred
tax assets should reassess forecast profits and the recoverability of deferred tax
assets in accordance with Ind-AS 12
Income Taxes, considering the additional
uncertainty arising from the event.
Management may also consider whether the impact of COVID-19 affects its
plans to distribute profits from subsidiaries and whether it needs to reconsider
the recognition of any deferred tax liability in connection with undistributed
profits and any changes arising in deferred tax liabilities due to asset
impairment. Also, deferred tax liability recognized with regard to any asset
impaired needs to be adjusted for.
Management should disclose any significant judgments and estimates made in
assessing the recoverability of deferred tax assets in accordance with Ind-AS 1.
Insurance claims to be recognized based on certainty
Companies that have availed insurance covers to protect against loss of profit
due to disruptions such as COVID-19 can recognize the claims only when there is
a virtual certainty of recoverability (i.e., the claims have been accepted by
insurance companies for payment).
Disclosures to be more robust in annual financial reporting
The annual disclosure requirements of companies are likely to be more robust
due to the COVID-19 situation. They are likely to cover a more detailed
discussion on risk associated with the outbreak/lockdown and the expected
impact (if significant) on the company.
Disclosures would include the identification of key assumptions about the
impact of COVID-19 on material estimates and sources of estimation uncertainty
that could lead to material adjustments in the carrying value of assets/liabilities.
More disclosures are likely on any changes to a
company’s credit, liquidity,
currency, and other price risk as well as its policy and processes to manage this
situation.
April 2020
7
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Thematic | Strategy
Investment Rating
BUY
SELL
NEUTRAL
UNDER REVIEW
NOT RATED
Expected return (over 12-month)
>=15%
< - 10%
> - 10 % to 15%
Rating may undergo a change
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In
case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation
consistent with the investment rating legend.
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www.motilaloswal.com.
CIN No.: L67190MH2005PLC153397.Correspondence Office Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad(West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst: INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance
Corporate Agent: CA0579 ;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth
Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance
Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt. Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group
company of MOFSL. Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in
securities market is subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOFSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
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