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Space

North America's Next Total Solar Eclipse is Just 7 Years Away

By Brian Donegan

August 23, 2017

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Shown above is the path of the April 8, 2024, total solar eclipse.
(Michael Zeiler, www.GreatAmericanEclipse.com)

At a Glance

  • The next total solar eclipse will take place in about seven years on April 8, 2024.
  • Average April weather conditions provide some perspective on viewing conditions.
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If you were unable to get in the path of the Great American Solar Eclipse on Aug. 21, the good news is that the next total solar eclipse will pass through North America less than seven years from now.

April 8, 2024, is when the next total solar eclipse will slice through the continent, beginning in Mexico, entering the United States in Texas, cutting a diagonal across the Lower 48 to Maine and finishing in Canada's maritime provinces.

Totality will begin at 12:38 p.m. EDT and end at 3:55 p.m. EDT along the entire path of the eclipse. The maximum eclipse will be observed near the cities of Nazas, Mexico, and Torreón, Mexico, where totality will last four minutes and 28 seconds.

This is a much different path than August's eclipse, which started in the Pacific Northwest, cut across the nation's heartland and ended in the Southeast.

(MORE: How the Solar Eclipse Changed the Weather)

Interestingly, a few locations south of St. Louis in southeast Missouri that experienced totality on Aug. 21 will also be in the path of totality for the April 8, 2024, total solar eclipse. This includes Farmington, Missouri, and Cape Girardeau, Missouri.

But will the weather cooperate for April 2024's solar eclipse?

While it's obviously much too early for us to make a credible, specific forecast for the weather conditions seven years from now, average April weather conditions over many years provide some perspective on the chance rain or cloudiness could block your view.

Cloud Cover

There is a higher chance the eclipse could be blocked by clouds in the northern states than in the southern states.

Dr. Brian Brettschneider, a climatologist with the University of Alaska-Fairbanks and the Western Regional Climate Center (WRCC), constructed the map below that shows average afternoon cloud cover in early to mid-April.

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This map shows the average cloud cover (percent) at 2 p.m. EDT from April 3-13, based on 1979-2016 ERA-Interim data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF).
(Dr. Brian Brettschneider/WRCC)

Buffalo and Cleveland average 60- to 70-percent cloud cover on a typical early-April afternoon, while San Antonio and Austin average only 30- to 40-percent cloud cover during that time. These cities are all in the path of totality for the April 2024 eclipse.

Dr. Brettschneider also constructed the map below that shows the cloudiest month of the year.

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This map shows the cloudiest month of the year.
(Dr. Brian Brettschneider/WRCC)

In portions of the Southwest, Great Basin, Rockies and Plains, April is the cloudiest month of the year, on average. This is also true in a narrow band that stretches from north Florida to central Virginia, as well as in much of Maine, northern New Hampshire and parts of Massachusetts and Connecticut.

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This is bad news for residents of northern New England because the path of totality will pass directly through that region, and odds favor of stubborn cloud cover which would likely inhibit viewing.

(MORE: America's Dreariest Cities)

Keep in mind, however, that this map represents strictly climatological averages. A strong area of high pressure parked over New England would yield mostly sunny skies for most of the region, but that can't be determined until a few days to a week before this total solar eclipse.

On average, April is the sixth-cloudiest month of the year for the overall Lower 48 states, according to Dr. Brettschneider's March 2015 blog.

Precipitation Chance

Of course, rain would also inhibit viewing of the eclipse since clouds would likely be thick if they are producing precipitation. In early April, some places could even be dealing with late-season snowfall.

Brettschneider's map below indicates where rain may create headaches for eclipse hunters on April 8, 2024.

image
This map shows the wettest month of the year.
(Dr. Brian Brettschneider/WRCC)

April is the wettest month for parts of the Southeast, lower Mississippi Valley, central Great Basin and southeast New Jersey. April showers do bring May flowers, after all.

The only region in that list which will see totality is the lower Mississippi Valley in portions of Arkansas and southeast Missouri.

Even if April isn't the wettest month, on average, in a certain location, this doesn't mean rain won't block your view of the total solar eclipse in seven years. Any individual low-pressure system could spread thick clouds and rain (or snow) across a region, fading away all hopes of seeing this phenomenal sight.

(MORE: Yes, April is Actually the Snowiest Month in These Places)

Again, a specific forecast for rain or snow cannot be accurately made until a few days prior to the eclipse. We hope you'll check back to weather.com in about seven years for those details.

There are 29.9-million people that live in the April 2024 eclipse path, Dr. Brettschneider told weather.com. The August 2017 eclipse had 9.3-million people living in its path.

After the April 2024 eclipse, the next total solar eclipse in North America won't be until 2045.

Brian Donegan is a meteorologist at weather.com. Follow him on Facebook and Twitter.

People watch the start of the solar eclipse and raise their hands in prayer at an eclipse viewing event led by Native American elders at Big Summit Prairie ranch in Oregon's Ochoco National Forest near the city of Mitchell on August 21, 2017. The Sun started to vanish behind the Moon as the partial phase of the so-called Great American Eclipse began, with millions of eager sky-gazers soon to witness "totality" across the nation for the first time in nearly a century. (Robyn Beck/AFP/Getty Images)
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People watch the start of the solar eclipse and raise their hands in prayer at an eclipse viewing event led by Native American elders at Big Summit Prairie ranch in Oregon's Ochoco National Forest near the city of Mitchell on August 21, 2017. The Sun started to vanish behind the Moon as the partial phase of the so-called Great American Eclipse began, with millions of eager sky-gazers soon to witness "totality" across the nation for the first time in nearly a century. (Robyn Beck/AFP/Getty Images)
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